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Federal Reserve Governor Bowman stated that implementing a Federal Reserve capital plan linked to U.S. Treasury bonds has many benefits.

Variant Fund investment partner Alana Levin stated in her market thoughts for Q4 2026 that the bottom of the crypto market likely occurred at some point in July. She wrote in early July that the bottom seemed close, with Bitcoin at $59,000, Ethereum at $1,600, and ZEC at $420. She mentioned that the question has shifted to whether the bull market is genuinely starting or if it's a false rally, and which projects will benefit the most in the early bull market, assuming the market is in the early stages of a new crypto bull market.Levin indicated that the increasingly formed consensus is that marginal funds are most likely to flow into value storage protocols as currency and protocols that can generate income. She believes Bitcoin is the dominant asset for digital value storage currently, while other competing assets may be valued based on their market capitalization relative to Bitcoin's market cap and its changes. For income-generating protocols, she expects investors to examine whether the income comes from crypto-native activities (like Pump) or traditional financial activities (like Hyperliquid), whether it persists during market downturns, and profit margins; projects with exposure to real-world assets and stablecoin growth, which are expected to attract institutional users and are still led by founders after surviving a bear market, are more likely to achieve higher multiples.She also categorized on-chain projects that can benchmark against non-crypto businesses as a third category, believing that most belong to narrative trading rather than long-term investment. Themes include routing, reasoning, computing power, data collection, and interface-related directions in artificial intelligence, and she is skeptical about whether most scenarios require blockchain; if such projects significantly outperform, she would view it as a signal of nearing the top.

For the week ending September 19, the number of continuing claims for unemployment benefits in the United States was 1.701 million, lower than the expected 1.725 million, and the previous value was revised from 1.719 million to 1.712 million.

According to GlobeNewswire, Grayscale's Zcash ETF (ZCSH) announced that it has completed the previously announced "3-for-1" share split, which took effect before the opening of the U.S. stock market, and the fund shares will trade based on the split-adjusted basis from that day onward.Grayscale stated that shareholders registered as of the close on September 28 will receive an additional 2 shares for every 1 share of ZCSH held before the split, meaning each share before the split will convert into 3 shares after the split. This split will not change the total value of shareholders' investments, and the net asset value (NAV) per share will be adjusted to approximately one-third of the pre-split amount.After the split, ZCSH continues to trade on NYSE Arca, with the trading code and CUSIP number remaining unchanged.

According to Bitcoin Magazine, Market Disruptors podcast host Mark Moss stated that despite the recent interest rate hike by the Federal Reserve, Bitcoin continues to rise. He believes that most people misinterpret the reasons for the long-term increase in interest rates, suggesting that a booming economy could be one of the answers, and noted that Bitcoin benefits from both currency devaluation trades and an optimistic technological future.Moss pointed out that the United States is facing $40 trillion in debt, and that a monetary reset is a process rather than a single event. He outlined four ways to address the debt issue, focusing on the trends from 2029 to 2030. He also discussed stablecoins and the Genius Act, believing that approximately 6 billion people worldwide want to hold U.S. dollars.He mentioned that institutions are buying Bitcoin while retail investors are selling, and referenced Bitcoin's S-curve and compound annual growth rate, providing a price target of $1 million.

According to Catcher Predict monitoring, in the Polymarket event "Bengals vs. Steelers," the "Bengals" option in the sub-market "2H Spread -4.5" experienced a sharp fluctuation in winning probability, plummeting from 35% an hour ago to the current 19.5% (a fluctuation of 15.5%). Please note the impact of related breaking news.

Bitwise has submitted the final prospectus for its NEAR spot ETF and has also released a 39-page investment report on NEAR, co-authored by Bitwise Chief Investment Officer Matt Hougan.The report provides various scenario forecasts for NEAR: under the baseline scenario, NEAR is expected to reach $155 by 2030; under the extreme bullish scenario, the target price is $562; while the bearish scenario predicts $1.63.The report does not shy away from the risks of a significant decline in NEAR's price. In the extreme bullish scenario, Bitwise compares NEAR to Visa. The report notes that Visa processed payment transactions totaling $15.7 trillion in 2024, with a current market capitalization of approximately $701 billion, and uses this as one of the references for assessing NEAR's potential future value. The report also includes a product page for Bitwise's European NEAR ETP at the end.

Cryptocurrency KOL and former FTX community partner Benson Sun stated that he expects the current Bitcoin market to show a gradual new high slow bull trend, rather than forming a clear top after a rapid short-term rise like in 2013 and 2017. Before the true cycle top arrives, the market may experience multiple local top signals. He believes that after 2021, the main buyers of BTC have gradually shifted from retail investors to institutions such as publicly listed companies, spot ETFs, and corporate treasuries.Since institutions mainly buy spot, some funds will also use Delta Neutral strategies for arbitrage, and traditional indicators such as funding rates and MVRV Z-Score may not rise to extreme levels again at the cycle top. Recently, the cycle top is more likely to manifest as institutional funds losing momentum rather than retail sentiment becoming overly heated. The Institutional Liquidity Index (ILI) mainly references overall dollar liquidity, the mNAV of Strategy, and the net flow of Bitcoin ETFs to determine whether institutional funds follow up when BTC reaches new highs. When BTC sets a new rolling 30-day high while ILI does not rise simultaneously, it constitutes a yellow divergence; when BTC breaks historical highs while ILI diverges and is below 50, it constitutes a red divergence.Benson Sun indicated that he would use the frequency of yellow divergences as a reference for judging the cycle process: each occurrence would lead to a proper reduction in altcoin positions and leverage; as the market enters the later stages, he would gradually increase the proportion of BTC and ultimately retain only spot. If a red divergence occurs, he would stop participating further.

According to Forbes, Bitcoin approached $90,000 earlier this month. Meanwhile, global debt continues to rise, and the "currency depreciation trade" surrounding the decline in purchasing power of fiat currency has become one of the factors driving up assets like Bitcoin and gold.Data from the Institute of International Finance shows that global debt increased by $10 trillion in the first half of this year, surpassing $365 trillion in total. The U.S. debt has exceeded $40 trillion, with annual interest payments rising to $1.27 trillion, surpassing defense and Medicare spending, and only lower than Social Security spending. The institute warns that as benchmark interest rates rise, interest costs will also increase.Nic Puckrin, founder of Coin Bureau and cross-asset analyst, stated that the current environment is favorable for "currency depreciation assets" like Bitcoin and gold, which is part of the reason for Bitcoin's recent rise. The larger the debt of major economies, the more likely it is to suppress real borrowing costs and allow inflation to erode the real value of debt, thereby enhancing the attractiveness of such trades.Analysts from The Kobeissi Letter pointed out that the purchasing power of the dollar has declined by 23% since 2020; if assets only increased by 30% during the same period, investors have essentially just broken even in terms of real purchasing power. The U.S. inflation rate has been above the Federal Reserve's 2% target for 60 consecutive months.

B.AI announced that Xiaomi's latest MiMo-V2.6 series will launch exclusive discounts on September 25 at 15:00 (SGT): MiMo-V2.6-Flash will enjoy a 90% discount, and MiMo-V2.6-Pro will enjoy a 50% launch discount.This series supports 1M ultra-long context and multimodal understanding, covering high-frequency agents and complex reasoning scenarios, helping developers run API calls at a low cost.

U.S. Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin stated that China and the United States have agreed to extend the trade truce agreement until January 10 of next year.Foreign Ministry spokesperson Geng Shuang suggested inquiring with the relevant Chinese authorities about the status of China-U.S. economic and trade consultations.

From September 22 to September 28, five major projects under TRON ECO—SUN, JUST, WINkLink, BitTorrent, and AINFT—launched the "Moonlight Tarot: Reveal Your Exclusive Identity" Mid-Autumn Festival themed event. Users can choose the tarot identity card that best fits them, tag the corresponding project, and include a reason that combines the characteristics of that project's products. At the same time, tag three friends and include the topic #TRONECOMoonTarot to participate.The event sets up 25 popularity awards for tarot (TRON ECO exclusive peripheral gift packages) and 10 lucky tarot signs (TRON ECO doormats), totaling 35 gifts. As the moon is full, the card array is open, and five identities await to be claimed—whether you are the "Trader" who excels in efficient trading, the "Alchemist" skilled in asset operations, the "Insightful" one connecting on-chain and off-chain, the "Communicator" enthusiastic about spreading information, or the "Architect" building AI Agents, you can find your role in this Mid-Autumn Tarot journey.Bring the topic and reveal your identity card, and celebrate a Mid-Autumn Festival with TRON ECO that is filled with cards, gifts, and surprises.

Arthur Hayes published a new long article titled "Safety First," with the core argument that the claims of "safety first" by Anthropic, OpenAI, and SpaceX, which lead to a slowdown in AGI development, are not out of concern for human welfare but rather due to economic realities. The market does not want AI; it wants AI at "Chinese prices," meaning it needs intelligence that is 100 times cheaper than what is currently available. Hayes points out that "safety first" essentially destroys the demand for computing power. If the spending on training new models decreases and laboratories shift towards efficiency optimization, customers will spend less on computing power. The three major AI laboratories do not generate any profits, and their demand for computing power supports over $10 trillion in investment-grade debt and hundreds of billions in low-quality debt, which rely on profitable tech companies like Nvidia, Broadcom, Google, and Microsoft for off-balance-sheet endorsements. The real backstop is the holders of insurance policies in the United States.Hayes cites an analysis by Nick Nameth that reveals a "self-insurance scam": private equity giants (such as Apollo, KKR, Brookfield, etc.) acquire insurance companies, stuffing AI data center debt and SaaS private credit impacted by AI into insurance assets, and then provide false endorsements with minimal capital through affiliated self-insurance reinsurance companies. Nameth estimates that the total amount of these false reinsurance assets reaches $1.54 trillion. Once the AI data center debt is downgraded by rating agencies due to insufficient demand for computing power, insurance companies will be forced to add capital, while the affiliated reinsurance companies will be unable to pay, leading to insolvency for the insurance companies. In most states in the U.S., the insurance protection limit is only $250,000 to $300,000, and existing insurance companies only pay into the protection fund afterward, which encourages all parties involved to maximize risk-taking. When AIG was bailed out in 2008, TARP funds ultimately flowed to Goldman Sachs and led to record bonuses, while the general public only received foreclosure notices; Hayes believes this scenario will repeat itself.For cryptocurrency investors, the conclusion is a win-win situation. If the U.S. government chooses to become the "last buyer of computing power," it will print money in the name of national security to fund unproductive economic goods, driving up financial speculation and Bitcoin prices; if the government chooses to bail out insolvent insurance companies, it will also need to print money to cover bad AI debts, increasing the money supply and pushing up Bitcoin. Hayes specifically points out that the Federal Reserve voted unanimously last week to raise interest rates by 25 basis points, and RMP bond purchases have stopped since August 14, but commercial banks have taken over to create over $100 billion in currency, and the interest rate hike allows banks to earn an additional $7.5 billion in excess reserve interest each year. This money will be used to expand loans and market speculation, and the net effect remains stimulative. The fluctuations in the cryptocurrency market, which saw a slight increase at the end of August, are about to end, the supply of dollars will continue to grow, and Bitcoin and some selected altcoins will rise. Hayes also described this situation as "incredibly wonderful," stating that the government will not allow the free market to stop building AI data centers, there will be an oversupply of spot computing power, the usage of AI agents will increase, and the surge in money printing will drive investors to chase cryptocurrency assets.

TSMC's 2-nanometer N2 mass production marks the transition of advanced semiconductor processes from FinFET to GAA generation. Industry analysts point out that with the simultaneous increase in process complexity, CMP track counts, wafer monitoring frequency, and material specifications, the demand for equipment, CMP consumables, reclaimed wafers, and advanced materials is rising, providing growth opportunities for suppliers like Zhongsha, Shengyang Semiconductor, Xinying Materials, and Songsheng. TSMC's N2 adopts nanosheet GAA technology, which can improve performance by 10% to 15% at the same power consumption compared to N3E, or reduce power consumption by 25% to 30% at the same speed, with chip density increasing by over 15%.In Zhongsha's largest customer Diamond Disk business, advanced processes account for 63%, with N3 and N2 each accounting for 22%, and 1.4 nanometers already shipped in small quantities; after N3 enters N2, the value of CMP content increases by 10% to 15%. Shengyang Semiconductor's monthly production capacity for reclaimed wafers is adjusted to 1.1 to 1.2 million pieces by the end of 2026, with a capital expenditure budget of 4.82 billion yuan for 2026, and it is estimated that the compound annual growth rate for reclaimed wafer expansion from 2025 to 2029 will reach 25% to 30%. Xinying Materials' core products Rinse, BARC, and EBR are expected to see shipments rise seasonally as N2 capacity ramps up, while Songsheng's semiconductor revenue accounted for 66% in the first half of the year, with a year-on-year increase of about 25%, and TSMC-related revenue increased by about 170% year-on-year.

According to CoinDesk, the U.S. SEC has launched a five-year innovation exemption that provides a pathway for eligible tokenized U.S. stocks to be traded through automated market makers (AMM) on public blockchains. Analysts from Goldman Sachs and Citizens believe that Coinbase, Robinhood, and Circle could become early beneficiaries of this policy.The new framework requires tokens to retain shareholder rights such as dividends and voting rights while imposing limits on the number of stocks and trading volume that trading platforms can offer. Goldman Sachs stated that Coinbase's existing tokenized stock products already possess several of the required features, and its institutional custody business and Coinbase Tokenize may also benefit.However, Coinbase's current trading platform uses a centralized limit order book, and to operate a trading venue directly under the exemption, it will still need to build AMM infrastructure or route trades to decentralized trading platforms on Base.Currently, the stock tokens offered by Robinhood for markets outside the U.S. are derivatives that only provide price exposure and do not possess the complete shareholder rights required by the framework, thus requiring further adjustments to the product. Robinhood has previously stated plans to add 1:1 redemption and voting rights features for stocks.Analysts also believe that an increase in on-chain securities trading may drive demand for tokenized cash, benefiting Circle indirectly, with USDC potentially being used for settlement and collateral in on-chain markets.

According to Catcher Predict monitoring, in the Polymarket event "Bengals vs. Texans," the "Bengals" option in the sub-market "1H Spread -13.5" has experienced significant fluctuations in winning probability, rising from 24% an hour ago to the current 42% (a fluctuation of 18%). Please note the impact of related breaking news.

According to Catcher Predict monitoring, the probability of the "Over" option in the sub-market "O/U 31.5" for the "Bengals vs. Texans" event on the Polymarket has experienced significant fluctuations, soaring from 71% an hour ago to the current 88% (a fluctuation of 17%). Please note the impact of related breaking news.

On September 16, B.AI announced the official launch of its five popular models at a 90% discount. Starting from September 16 at 17:00 (SGT), Qwen3.8-Flash, Hy3, and MiMo-V2.5 officially joined the discounted lineup, teaming up with the already discounted DeepSeek-V4.1-Flash and GLM-5.3-Flash to fully construct B.AI's exclusive 90% discount family of five popular models.This means that developers only need to pay 10% of the official standard price to seamlessly switch between diverse needs such as inference, programming, multimodal, Chinese scenarios, and high-frequency APIs, creating low-cost AI infrastructure in a cost-effective manner. Whether for individual development or team-scale deployment, B.AI makes top-tier computing power no longer expensive, truly achieving a low-cost, high-freedom model invocation experience. Start your experience now: https://chat.b.ai/chat