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BTC $70,566.83 +0.76%
ETH $2,066.40 +1.31%
BNB $652.52 +1.48%
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SOL $81.67 -4.53%
TRX $0.2795 -0.47%
DOGE $0.0974 -3.83%
ADA $0.2735 -4.22%
BCH $458.04 +2.64%
LINK $8.64 -2.97%
HYPE $28.98 -1.81%
AAVE $122.61 -3.42%
SUI $0.9138 -6.63%
XLM $0.1605 -4.62%
ZEC $260.31 -8.86%

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Federal Reserve officials: Interest rates are likely to remain unchanged for some time, and further rate cuts require evidence of inflation falling to the 2% target

According to Jinshi Data, Boston Fed President Susan Collins stated that, given recent economic data showing improvements in the labor market while inflation risks remain, interest rates are likely to "stay unchanged for some time."Collins mentioned during a panel discussion hosted by the Boston Fed on Tuesday that the labor market is showing "at least a bit more unusual signs of stability." She also pointed out that more evidence is needed to indicate that the inflation rate is moving toward the 2% target."I think it is likely appropriate to maintain the current interest rate range for some time," she said, "after a cumulative easing of 175 basis points over the past year and a half, we are currently in a mildly restrictive range and may be quite close to neutral levels."Chicago Fed President Austan Goolsbee stated that it is not appropriate to lower interest rates further until there is more evidence that inflation is consistently declining.Goolsbee noted that the Supreme Court's decision to overturn several global tariffs imposed by Trump could create more uncertainty for businesses but may also help to curb inflation.During a speech at the National Association for Business Economics conference on Tuesday, Goolsbee expressed his hope to see evidence of inflation cooling to the Fed's 2% target before supporting further rate cuts.

Based on the robot self-charging technology jointly developed by OpenMind and Circle, the FABRIC Foundation will further promote the large-scale deployment of the machine economy and intelligent agents from two main directions

OpenMind and Circle have officially announced a strategic partnership to jointly launch the world's first payment infrastructure specifically designed for autonomous intelligent agents and real-world embodied AI. By deeply integrating Circle's USDC stablecoin with OpenMind's x402 protocol module, this collaboration enables robots and AI entities to achieve direct and autonomous payments for energy, services, and data in the physical world.Based on the collaboration between OpenMind and Circle, the FABRIC Foundation will accelerate the implementation and large-scale deployment from two main directions: Robot Birthplace and Acceleration of Adoption.The payment infrastructure provided by OpenMind + Circle offers machines an "economic brain," while the FABRIC Foundation is responsible for the entire closed-loop chain of "birth, production, operation, and evolution." The synergy among these three will jointly give rise to a true machine economy era—where robots are no longer mere tools, but independent economic entities with autonomous perception, decision-making, action, and payment capabilities. In the coming months, more real-world deployment cases (such as automatic charging stations) are worth continuous attention.

Data: CryptoQuant: Bitcoin has fallen below the 365-day moving average for the first time since March 2022, potentially further dipping to the $60,000–$70,000 range

According to market news, CryptoQuant's weekly report shows that the Bitcoin market has entered a bear market phase.Here are the main analysis points:On-chain indicators show bear market signals: Bitcoin's price reached a peak of $126,000 in early October 2025, at which time the bull market score index was 80 (bullish). However, after the liquidation event on October 10, the index turned bearish and has now dropped to zero, with the current Bitcoin price hovering around $75,000, indicating a weak market structure.Institutional demand has significantly decreased: In 2025, the U.S. spot ETF purchased 46,000 BTC, while in 2026, it net sold 10,600 BTC, resulting in a demand gap of 56,000 BTC compared to last year, continuously exerting selling pressure.U.S. spot demand is sluggish: Despite the price drop, the Coinbase premium has remained negative since mid-October 2025, indicating low participation from U.S. investors. This contrasts sharply with previous bull markets driven by U.S. demand.Liquidity conditions are tightening: The market capitalization growth of USDT has turned negative for the first time in the past 60 days (-$133 million), marking the first contraction since October 2023. The expansion of stablecoins peaked at $15.9 billion at the end of October 2025, and the current decline aligns with the characteristics of bear market liquidity contraction. Additionally, the growth of explicit spot demand has plummeted by 93% over the past year, from 1.1 million BTC to 77,000 BTC.Technical structure shows downside risk: Bitcoin's price has fallen below the 365-day moving average for the first time since March 2022, declining 23% over 83 days, performing weaker than the bear market in early 2022. The loss of key on-chain support levels indicates that Bitcoin may further dip into the $60,000 to $70,000 range.

Galaxy Research Director: Bitcoin may further dip to around $70,000, or even test $58,000

Galaxy Research Director Alex Thorn posted on the X platform, stating that on-chain data, the technical weakening of key price levels, macroeconomic uncertainty, and the lack of clear catalysts in the short term all indicate that BTC may continue to weaken in the coming weeks to months, potentially dipping near the 200-week moving average. Historically, these levels often represent excellent entry points for long-term investors.From January 28 to January 31, Bitcoin fell a total of 15%, accelerating its decline over the weekend. On Saturday alone, it dropped by 10%, and currently, about 46% of Bitcoin's supply is in a state of unrealized loss. After the close in January, Bitcoin experienced its first consecutive four-month decline since 2018. Aside from the exceptional year of 2017, Bitcoin has never seen a situation where, after a 40% retracement from its ATH, it did not further expand to a retracement of over 50% within three months. If it were to retrace 50% from the current ATH, the BTC price would be around $63,000.There is a significant on-chain holding vacuum in the $82,000--$70,000 range, increasing the likelihood of a short-term dip to test demand in that range. The current realized price is about $56,000, and the 200-week moving average is around $58,000. There is still a lack of clear evidence of whales and long-term holders significantly increasing their positions, but the profit-taking by long-term holders is clearly slowing down.Short-term catalysts remain scarce; Bitcoin has failed to participate in the "currency devaluation hedge trades" alongside gold and silver, and the narrative surrounding it is also unfavorable. Although the potential passing of the crypto market structure legislation (the CLARITY Act) could serve as an exogenous catalyst, the probability of it passing has decreased recently, and even if it does pass, its positive impact is more likely to benefit altcoins rather than BTC.Despite BTC potentially oscillating near a maximum discount of about -10% from the ETF cost basis (currently around $76,000), considering the above factors, the probability of Bitcoin further dipping to the supply gap bottom near $70,000, and possibly testing the realized price ($56,000) and the 200-week moving average ($58,000) remains high, with a time frame potentially spanning the next few weeks to months. Historically, these areas often mark the cycle bottom and provide strong entry opportunities for long-term investors.
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