reserve

According to Jinshi reports, Huatai Securities' research report states that in May 2026, the United States added 172,000 non-farm jobs, higher than Bloomberg's consensus expectation of 85,000, with the cumulative revision for the previous two months being 93,000. The unemployment rate and labor participation rate in May remained at 4.3% and 61.8%, respectively, both in line with expectations; hourly wage growth month-on-month increased by 0.1 percentage points to 0.3%, while year-on-year decreased by 0.2 percentage points to 3.4%, also in line with expectations. The market's pricing for the Federal Reserve's interest rate hikes this year has significantly intensified. Huatai Securities maintains the view that the Federal Reserve will keep interest rates unchanged in the second half of the year, with possible rate hikes next year.

According to Jinshi reports, Federal Reserve's Harker stated that a recent interest rate hike may be appropriate as the labor market seems to be balancing. She pointed out that the unemployment rate remains at 4.3%, which is essentially consistent with full employment. Harker believes that given the uncertainty of the economic outlook, it is reasonable to keep interest rates stable, but if recent trends continue, action may be needed soon.

According to Jin Shi reports, Glenmede's Head of Investment Strategy and Research, Jason Pride, stated that the Federal Reserve's considerations remain unchanged, and the constraints for interest rate cuts are still inflation rather than employment.Although the labor market has not accelerated, its resilience is higher than what the unadjusted data suggests, which reduces the urgency for the Federal Reserve to take action regarding employment. Investors should expect the Federal Reserve to maintain interest rates at the next meeting and pay attention to whether energy relief measures after the ceasefire begin to lower the overall inflation rate.

According to Jinshi reports, BNP Paribas expects the Federal Reserve to raise interest rates three times starting in December.

The full text of Nick Begich's Strategic Bitcoin Reserve bill has now been published online.

According to the official website of the U.S. Congress, the full text of the U.S. House of Representatives' "American Reserve Modernization Act" (H.R.8957, ARMA) has been made public. This bill was introduced on May 21 by Alaska Congressman Nicholas Begich and has now been referred to the House Financial Services Committee for review.The main content of the bill includes: incorporating Bitcoin obtained by the government through criminal or civil forfeiture into a strategic Bitcoin reserve managed by the Treasury Department, establishing a minimum holding period of 20 years during which it cannot be sold or disposed of; establishing a quarterly reserve verification mechanism and introducing independent third-party audits; allowing states to voluntarily hold their Bitcoin in independent accounts at the Federal Reserve.In terms of forward-looking provisions, the bill requires the Treasury Department and the Department of Commerce to jointly study feasible paths for increasing Bitcoin holdings in a budget-neutral manner within 180 days, including converting non-Bitcoin digital assets, forfeiture proceeds, voluntary donations, tax or tariff revenues, and utilizing mechanisms related to the Federal Reserve or gold certificates.Analysts point out that compared to the previous "BITCOIN Act," which called for the purchase of 1 million Bitcoins, ARMA is more moderate and politically feasible, but still leaves room for future federal increases in Bitcoin holdings.

According to Jinshi reports, Chen Tiele, the portfolio manager of Brandywine Global Investment Management, stated that the strong non-farm data indicates that the job market is recovering, and the Federal Reserve should focus on inflation issues. The current inflation rate is nearly on par with the unemployment rate (4.3% in May), suggesting that the Federal Reserve may have fallen behind the curve. Inflation swap contracts indicate that traders expect the CPI to exceed 4.2% in July, before falling back to 3.8% in the first quarter.

According to Jinshi, the Director of the National Economic Council of the White House, Hassett, stated that the Federal Reserve should not raise interest rates and pointed out that there will be room for rate cuts. He mentioned that the Federal Reserve has been lagging behind the situation, and there is still a lot of room for rate cuts.

According to Jinshi reports, Lindsay Rosner, the head of multi-sector fixed income investments at Goldman Sachs Asset Management, stated that recent data indicates the Federal Reserve does not need to worry about labor market issues and will focus on inflation concerns. The duration of the Iran war will ultimately determine the Federal Reserve's next actions.

According to Jinshi reports, institutional analyst Anstey stated when evaluating the U.S. non-farm data that considering the Federal Reserve's mission to maintain price stability and achieve full employment, the current job market does not seem to need assistance. At the same time, the inflation rate is far above the Federal Reserve's target of 2%. It is expected that next week's CPI data will show the core inflation rate rising to 2.9%, with overall inflation soaring 4.2% year-on-year. It would be surprising if Federal Reserve policymakers do not further hint at a possible interest rate hike in 2026.

According to Jinshi reports, the market is currently pricing in a Federal Reserve interest rate hike in January next year, with the expected timing before the non-farm data release being March next year.

According to Jinshi reports, U.S. interest rate futures data shows that the probability of the Federal Reserve raising interest rates in December has increased from 48% to 63%.

According to Jinshi reports, CME's "FedWatch" shows that the probability of the Federal Reserve keeping interest rates unchanged until June is 96.4%, and the probability of a cumulative rate cut of 25 basis points is 3.6%. By July, the probability of keeping interest rates unchanged is 88.5%, the probability of a cumulative rate increase of 25 basis points is 8.2%, and the probability of a cumulative rate cut of 25 basis points is 3.2%.

According to Jinshi, the CME "FedWatch" shows that the probability of the Federal Reserve keeping interest rates unchanged until June is 96.4%, and the probability of a cumulative rate cut of 25 basis points is 3.6%. By July, the probability of keeping interest rates unchanged is 88.5%, the probability of a cumulative rate increase of 25 basis points is 8.2%, and the probability of a cumulative rate cut of 25 basis points is 3.2%.

According to Jinshi reports, Federal Reserve's Schmid stated that inflation remains too high, and this has been a struggle lasting five years, with the Federal Reserve still working to find solutions.

According to Decrypt, U.S. Treasury Secretary Behnam stated at a Senate Finance Committee hearing that the Treasury is advancing Trump's executive order to establish a U.S. strategic Bitcoin reserve at a "prudent and steady pace," emphasizing that "best practices" will be adopted to ensure the relevant mechanisms have long-term sustainability.Behnam pointed out that the strategic Bitcoin reserve is a completely new area, and the implementation process is relatively complex, so the government is carefully developing a custody and management framework. Currently, the U.S. government holds approximately 328,400 Bitcoins, valued at about $20.6 billion, and these assets mainly come from seizures in criminal and civil cases.In addition, Behnam urged Congress to advance the digital asset market structure bill, the CLARITY Act, which he believes is crucial for maintaining the U.S.'s leading position in digital asset innovation. The bill aims to clarify the regulatory framework for digital assets and define when crypto tokens are subject to securities or commodities regulatory rules. The relevant legislation is currently under review in the Senate.

According to BBX data, yesterday the intertwining news of traditional finance's entry into cryptocurrency and corporate reserve exits presented the following core dynamics:SoFi Technologies, Inc. (NASDAQ: $SOFI) announced through a BusinessWire official press release that its SoFiUSD stablecoin has officially opened to approximately 14.7 million members within the SoFi app, supporting buying, selling, holding, and conversion, becoming the first national bank in U.S. history to embed its own stablecoin within a banking app (the issuer is SoFi Bank, N.A., regulated by the OCC). SoFiUSD (on-chain code SOFID) is pegged 1:1 to the U.S. dollar and can be used on the Ethereum and Solana networks, with reserves backed by liquid assets and subject to regular independent CPA audits; in the coming weeks, tokenized deposits and 24/7 cross-border transfer functions will be launched, and an institutional trading channel will be opened in collaboration with Bullish exchange. SoFi CEO Anthony Noto stated, "Users no longer have to choose between blockchain technology and regulated bank products." The company's Q1 2026 crypto trading revenue reached $121.6 million, with a net income of approximately $852,000 after costs; SoFiUSD is not insured by FDIC or SIPC, does not constitute legal tender, and on-chain transactions are generally irreversible.Coinbase Global, Inc. (NASDAQ: $COIN) and the prediction market platform Kalshi announced that the two platforms have received approval from the CFTC to launch cryptocurrency perpetual contract products for U.S. customers, becoming the first exchanges approved to offer such products within the U.S.; this move by the CFTC officially brings perpetual contracts from a regulatory gray area into the federal derivatives legal framework, and a policy statement was released simultaneously, indicating that future applications for perpetual contracts in other asset classes will be reviewed on a case-by-case basis. In 2025, the global trading volume of cryptocurrency perpetual contracts reached $61.7 trillion (up 29% year-on-year, according to CryptoQuant data), and the U.S. previously lacked regulated domestic trading venues. This approval is expected to drive a significant amount of institutional and retail funds back from offshore platforms to compliant channels in the U.S., with several other exchanges expected to follow suit with applications.Sequans Communications S.A. (NASDAQ: $SQNS) CEO Georges Karam clearly announced during the recent Q1 2026 earnings call that the company has completely terminated its previously initiated Bitcoin treasury reserve strategy. The company began its cryptocurrency layout in June 2025, raising approximately $384 million through debt and equity financing, and quickly accumulated 3,000 BTC by the end of July 2025; however, the crypto market crash in October 2025 triggered the company to deleverage, selling 970 BTC in November 2025 and another 1,025 BTC in Q1 2026; as of now, it holds approximately 658 BTC (completely debt-free, worth about $46.8 million), and the company stated it will gradually liquidate over time, with all funds returning to its core chip business. Sequans is an IoT/5G semiconductor company, and this case is one of the most significant "failed corporate Bitcoin reserve strategy cases" in 2026.

According to Jinshi reports, CME's "Fed Watch" shows that the probability of the Federal Reserve keeping interest rates unchanged until June is 98.4%, and the probability of a cumulative rate cut of 25 basis points is 1.6%. By July, the probability of keeping interest rates unchanged is 90.2%, the probability of a cumulative rate increase of 25 basis points is 8.4%, and the probability of a cumulative rate cut of 25 basis points is 1.4%.

According to Jinshi reports, Federal Reserve's Logan stated that there are upward risks to inflation, the labor market is stable, economic growth is robust, and artificial intelligence brings additional boosts.

According to Jinshi reports, Federal Reserve official Logan stated that the current monetary policy has not had a restraining effect on the economy.