risk

The People's Bank of China announced that in order to promote the development of the foreign exchange market and support enterprises in managing exchange rate risks, the People's Bank of China has decided to lower the foreign exchange risk reserve requirement for forward foreign exchange sales from 20% to 0% starting from March 2, 2026.Next, the People's Bank of China will continue to guide financial institutions to optimize their exchange rate hedging services for enterprises and maintain the basic stability of the RMB exchange rate at a reasonable and balanced level.

U.S. lawmakers have recently resumed discussions on the yield mechanisms of stablecoins, with some legislators expressing concerns that the yields offered by stablecoins could lead to a drain on bank deposits and blur the lines between crypto products and traditional bank deposits.During a Senate Banking Committee hearing, Senator Angela Alsobrooks stated that while she supports financial innovation, the yield mechanisms of stablecoins could create products similar to bank deposits but lack corresponding regulatory and protective measures, potentially leading to future deposit outflow risks. The issue of stablecoin yields has been one of the core topics in legislative negotiations within the crypto market. The stablecoin bill GENIUS, passed in 2025, has prohibited stablecoin issuers from directly paying interest to holders, but it has not banned third-party platforms like Coinbase from offering rewards to users for holding coins.Banking professionals believe that allowing stablecoins to offer yields would undermine the deposit base of the traditional banking system. A previous study by the Independent Community Bankers of America indicated that if stablecoin yield mechanisms were fully opened, bank deposits could decrease by approximately $1.3 trillion, leading to a reduction of about $850 billion in community bank loans. The crypto industry, however, argues that restricting stablecoin yields would stifle innovation. Some industry insiders have stated that there is currently no evidence to suggest a significant correlation between the proliferation of stablecoins and the outflow of bank deposits.Senator Thom Tillis has indicated that he will request regulators to conduct an independent assessment of the risks of deposit outflow that stablecoins may trigger. Meanwhile, the White House has recently organized multiple rounds of meetings between banks and crypto companies, hoping to reach a solution on the issue of stablecoin yields by the end of this month.

The decentralized derivatives platform Lighter published a response on platform X regarding a whale's failed attempt to attack ARC by going long. The liquidity pool LLP Strategies mechanism underwent its first real-world test in the past few hours, and the results showed that the system operated as expected, protecting LLP holders while safeguarding the interests of traders.A trader established a significantly large long position on the ARC perpetual contract relative to the market size, with approximately 600 other traders and market makers taking on counterparty positions on the platform. Ultimately, the open interest reached as high as 50 million USDC.It is reported that LLP Strategies limits downside risk through a "strategy isolation" approach while retaining upside profit potential during price rebounds. As a result, the large long trader incurred a loss of approximately 8.2 million USDC, while LLP's losses were capped at 75,000 USDC. Meanwhile, the short traders who took on the risk realized profits. Lighter stated that this incident validated LLP Strategies' ability to isolate risk and control loss limits under extreme market conditions.

The head of the Solana protocol Meteora, Zen @realdezen, stated that since taking over in March last year, the team has taken insider trading risks seriously and has established practical protective measures.Zen referred to Meteora as a permissionless platform, with the main focus over the past 12 months on enhancing the robustness and reliability of the infrastructure, allowing projects to go live without manual intervention from the team. As a result, the team only became aware of relevant situations after certain projects went live or were integrated. In the related prediction markets, Meteora once became the most probable and ranked first among guesses.

According to Jinshi News, Federal Reserve's Bostic emphasized that monetary policy needs to remain patient and warned that the U.S. may face the risk of rising structural unemployment, a shift that cannot be fixed solely by interest rate adjustments. Bostic pointed out that if the unemployment issue stems from structural factors, significant rate cuts could raise inflation rather than create jobs. He holds a hawkish stance on price stability, cautioning against impulsive reactions to short-term economic "noise," and emphasized that the Fed's primary task remains controlling inflation.

According to The Block, the Federal Reserve recently announced a proposal to permanently remove the consideration of reputational risk factors from the banking regulatory framework, and has opened a 60-day public comment period.The proposal aims to ensure that banking regulatory decisions are based solely on substantive financial risks, preventing banks from refusing services due to customers' political views, religious beliefs, or involvement in legal but sensitive industries.Federal Reserve Vice Chair Michelle W. Bowman stated that there have been multiple cases of de-banking, and such discriminatory practices should not exist within the Federal Reserve's regulatory framework. Senator Cynthia Lummis welcomed the proposal, stating that this move will help the U.S. become a global hub for digital assets.

According to market news, the cryptocurrency exchange Binance has recently implemented stricter risk controls for Venezuelan users using bank card payment channels.Official reports indicate that users purchasing cryptocurrencies with bank cards issued by Venezuelan banking institutions and virtual dollar cards issued in Panama (such as Zinli or Wally) are facing high rejection rates and operational restrictions. The main issues encountered by users include failure to receive verification codes, additional restrictions on virtual cards, and the complete disappearance of certain account payment options. This situation has led to a significant increase in customer service requests at Binance.Analysts point out that these restrictions are related to the current currency arbitrage phenomenon in Venezuela. Users purchase dollars at the official exchange rate and transfer them to international debit cards, then buy USDT on Binance, and subsequently sell it at a higher exchange rate through the peer-to-peer (P2P) market for profit.

With the U.S. Supreme Court rejecting President Trump's previous emergency tariff measures, Trump immediately announced the reactivation of a temporary tariff of up to 15% based on other trade laws, increasing trade uncertainty and putting pressure on risk appetite in the cryptocurrency market.Data from the options trading platform Deribit shows a significant increase in open contracts for put options on Bitcoin with strike prices of $58,000, $60,000, and $62,000, indicating that traders are hedging potential downside risks by buying put options. Put options are typically used to provide protection when prices fall. Market analysis suggests that the repeated imposition of tariff policies, combined with macroeconomic uncertainty, may continue to exert pressure on risk assets, including crypto assets.

UBS reiterates its positive stance on gold, expecting the international spot gold target price to reach $6,200 per ounce in the coming months. Analysts believe that geopolitical risks will remain high amid tensions between the U.S. and Iran, while the Federal Reserve's easing cycle is expected to continue, putting pressure on real interest rates.Analysts point out that global gold demand will exceed 5,000 tons by 2025. UBS expects that with stronger investment flows and continued purchases by central banks, gold prices will rise further. On the supply side, growth appears to be constrained.While high gold prices may incentivize exploration activities, consulting firm Wood Mackenzie estimates that by 2028, about 80 mines will exhaust their current production plans, indicating limited supply elasticity in the short term.

QCP Group released the latest analysis indicating that Bitcoin fell below $65,000 in the early morning session today, triggering approximately $230 million in long liquidations. The market is under pressure as it digests a new round of tariff risks and broader geopolitical uncertainties. President Trump’s move to raise global tariffs from 10% to 15% further exacerbates the cooling of macro risk appetite.With Bitcoin prices still significantly below the average mining cost, pressure on mining companies is evident, prioritizing liquidity over hoarding strategies. Bitdeer has liquidated its Bitcoin reserves, becoming the latest signal of miners de-risking and partially shifting towards the AI sector. However, the market is not entirely bearish; this round of liquidations has been noticeably milder compared to earlier this year, with the market's reaction to news being more restrained.Although the options market is still pricing in downside risks, indicating a cleaner position structure, ETF fund flows resemble basis trade liquidations rather than a complete withdrawal, reflecting an adjustment in the funding structure rather than a total exit from the market.

According to Jin Ten, Federal Reserve official Logan stated that the risks of rising inflation still exist.

According to Jinshi reports, Federal Reserve official Logan stated that the policy is well-prepared to address risks to the mission.

According to CNBC, dozens of Democratic members of the U.S. House of Representatives sent a letter to Treasury Secretary Yellen on Thursday, requesting an investigation into potential conflicts of interest and national security issues related to the Trump family's cryptocurrency project, World Liberty Financial. The letter was led by New York Democratic Congressman Gregory Meeks and was co-signed by 40 other lawmakers.Meeks referred to Yellen as Trump's "follower" during a hearing and questioned the $500 million investment by members of the UAE royal family in World Liberty Financial last year. In a statement released with the letter, Meeks said, "The $500 million transaction involving the Trump family and the UAE royal family not only concerns national financial stability but also involves serious national security implications." At the time of the request for an investigation, World Liberty Financial was applying for a national bank charter. This charter is reviewed and issued by the Office of the Comptroller of the Currency, an independent agency under the U.S. Treasury responsible for regulating the banking industry.

According to Jinshi News, the Federal Reserve's meeting minutes show that more officials have eased their concerns about the labor market, while worries about inflation have increased. Most officials warned that progress in reducing inflation "may be slower and more uneven than generally expected," and believe that the risk of inflation remaining persistently above the Federal Reserve's 2% target "is significant." The market widely expects the Federal Reserve to remain on hold at next month's meeting.

According to Cointelegraph, analyst Yashu Gola stated that the current technical indicators and on-chain data both point to short-term downside risks for Bitcoin.A typical "bear flag" pattern is forming on the Bitcoin daily chart. This structure began with a "flagpole" that dropped sharply to the $60,000 area, followed by price consolidation within a converging trend line, consistently pressured by key moving averages, with weak momentum.If the price clearly breaks below the lower boundary of the flag, it could further test the $56,000 level within two months, representing a decline of about 20% from the current level. Conversely, if it breaks above the upper boundary around $72,700 (coinciding with the 20-day moving average), it could invalidate this bearish structure.On-chain data platform CryptoQuant shows that the Bitcoin "whale inflow ratio" (7-day average) has surged to a historic high of 0.619, well above the 0.40 at the beginning of the month. This indicator tracks the total inflow of the top ten transactions, and its rise is typically interpreted as increased selling pressure from whales.Meanwhile, the Greed and Fear Index is signaling a potential "bottoming signal": the 21-day moving average has crossed below the zero line and is now turning upwards. Historically, this combination often appears alongside a "sustained bottom," and while a brief downturn cannot be ruled out, the possibility of a rebound is accumulating.

According to Jinshi reports, Federal Reserve Governor Barr stated that he still believes there is a "significant risk" of inflation remaining above 2%.

According to FinanceFeeds, two Democratic senators have written to Treasury Secretary Scott Bancenet, requesting an assessment of whether the UAE government's affiliated entity's $500 million investment in the cryptocurrency company World Liberty Financial should undergo a national security review by the Committee on Foreign Investment in the United States (CFIUS).The committee, led by the Treasury Department, is responsible for reviewing foreign investment transactions that may involve sensitive technologies or data. According to a previous report by The Wall Street Journal, G42, supported by Abu Dhabi royal family member Sheikh Tahnoon bin Zayed, acquired a 49% stake in World Liberty Financial through an entity named Aryam Investment 1. The report indicated that some of the funds flowed to the Trump family and its affiliates. The Trump camp denied any knowledge of this. Senators Elizabeth Warren and Angus King questioned in their letter whether the deal could allow a foreign government access to user data and mentioned G42's past collaborations with Chinese companies. They requested the Treasury Department to clarify by March 5 whether a review process has been initiated or if a recommendation has been made to the president.World Liberty Financial is the issuer of the stablecoin USD1, which has circulated over $5 billion since its launch in March 2025. The company lists Trump and his Middle East envoy Steve Witkoff as honorary co-founders. A company spokesperson previously stated that the two were not involved in the UAE-related transactions.

Regarding the issue of accounts being restricted as reported by users, Binance co-founder He Yi stated on the X social platform that the situation may be due to using a VPN to connect to Binance from countries or regions where services cannot be provided. The system will adjust the account to "withdrawal-only mode," and users need to contact customer support for assistance.Previously, some users claimed that they had encountered account restrictions or asset freezes on Binance and other exchanges. Binance emphasized that it is continuously increasing compliance investments and implementing risk control measures in accordance with regulatory requirements.

Vitalik Buterin posted on the X social platform, stating that the current prediction markets are overly focused on short-term cryptocurrency prices and high-dopamine products like sports betting, lacking long-term social information value, which may lead to unhealthy product-market fit.He suggested that prediction markets should be encouraged to develop towards "risk hedging," making them tools for reducing asset or real expenditure risks. Buterin also envisioned constructing a stable mechanism to replace fiat currencies through personalized prediction market shares based on price indices, thereby providing users with more sustainable value hedging solutions. He called for the establishment of a new generation of financial systems, rather than merely relying on speculative flows.