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zcash

Arthur Hayes: The Japanese market is disrupting the global scene, and positions in high-leverage Bitcoin-related assets such as Strategy and Metaplanet have been closed

Arthur Hayes published an article titled "Woomph" analyzing that the recent continuous depreciation of the yen and the decline in Japanese government bond prices are triggering "anomalies" in the global financial markets. He believes that the Federal Reserve and the U.S. Treasury may be forced to work together to directly intervene in the yen exchange rate and the Japanese government bond market by expanding their balance sheets, thereby injecting new liquidity into the global fiat currency system.He stated, "The yen is strengthening against the dollar, and Bitcoin prices are falling. I will not increase risk until it is confirmed that the Federal Reserve is printing money to intervene in the yen and Japanese government bond market. If there is a significant increase in foreign currency-denominated assets on the Federal Reserve's balance sheet, it will be a good time to increase Bitcoin holdings." Before the yen's trend shows volatility, he has closed positions in high-leverage Bitcoin-related assets such as Strategy and Metaplanet; if his judgment is validated, he will re-enter the market.While waiting for policy clarity, his fund Maelstrom continues to increase its holdings in Zcash, while maintaining positions in other quality DeFi tokens; once the Federal Reserve confirms balance sheet expansion intervention, he will consider increasing positions in DeFi assets such as ENA, ETHFI, PENDLE, and LDO.

Arthur Hayes: If the Federal Reserve expands its balance sheet to intervene in the yen and Japanese government bonds, it will be beneficial for risk assets like Bitcoin

BitMEX co-founder Arthur Hayes published an in-depth analysis in his latest article regarding the recent depreciation of the yen and the decline in Japanese government bond prices, which has caused "anomalies" in the global market. He believes this indicates that the Federal Reserve and the Treasury may soon collaborate to directly intervene in the yen and Japanese government bond markets through "money printing" to inject new liquidity into the global fiat currency system.Hayes specifically outlined the possible intervention path: the New York Fed creates dollar reserves and instructs primary dealers like JPMorgan to sell dollars and buy yen in the foreign exchange market to support the exchange rate, and may invest the acquired yen in Japanese government bonds to lower their yields. This operation will lead to an expansion of the "foreign currency-denominated assets" item on the Fed's balance sheet, essentially meaning that the Fed is taking on the interest rate risk of the yen exchange rate and Japanese government bonds through money printing.He analyzed the motives and consequences of this move: aimed at stabilizing the yen and lowering Japanese government bond yields to prevent Japanese investors from massively selling U.S. Treasuries, avoiding uncontrolled increases in U.S. Treasury yields, while enhancing the competitiveness of U.S. exports.This process will increase global dollar liquidity and may simultaneously boost the euro and yuan exchange rates. Hayes pointed out that this "non-QE" style of balance sheet expansion will ultimately provide upward momentum for risk assets, including Bitcoin. In terms of trading strategy, he stated that a rapid strengthening of the yen against the dollar is usually a signal for reducing risk assets. Bitcoin's decline due to the strengthening yen means he will not increase his risk exposure until it is confirmed that the Fed is intervening in the yen and Japanese government bond markets by expanding its balance sheet.He has closed positions in leveraged Bitcoin-related assets such as Strategy and Metaplanet, stating that he will re-enter if his judgment proves correct. In the meantime, his fund Maelstrom continues to increase its holdings in Zcash, while positions in other quality DeFi tokens remain unchanged. He indicated that if the Fed indeed expands its balance sheet to intervene in the currency and bond markets, he will increase his holdings in DeFi assets such as ENA, ETHFI, PENDLE, and LDO.

Zcash Foundation: The U.S. SEC ends years of investigation without taking enforcement action

The Zcash Foundation stated this Wednesday that the U.S. SEC has officially concluded its years-long investigation into the organization and has made it clear that it does not plan to take any enforcement action or require remediation.The foundation disclosed that it received a subpoena from the SEC in August 2023, related to "In the Matter of Certain Crypto Asset Offerings." Currently, the SEC has completed its review and closed the case. An SEC spokesperson responded that the agency "does not comment on whether an investigation exists."This case closure occurs against the backdrop of a shift in the SEC's stance on crypto regulation. During the Trump administration, the SEC withdrew or terminated enforcement actions or investigations against several crypto entities, including Coinbase and multiple DeFi projects, which is markedly different from the Biden administration's hardline approach characterized by "enforcement-style regulation."Current SEC Chairman Paul Atkins is pushing for updates to crypto regulatory rules through "Project Crypto," focusing on on-chain activities and technological realities.It is worth noting that the Zcash ecosystem has recently experienced fluctuations. On January 8, all employees of the core developer Electric Coin Company collectively resigned due to structural disagreements with the board of its parent organization. In response, the Zcash Foundation emphasized that its commitment to the protocol remains unchanged and pointed out that the Zcash network is independent of any single organization or entity, and that organizational adjustments within the ecosystem do not equate to a deterioration in the health of the network itself.
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