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Polymarket Bitcoin 2026 price prediction market trading volume reached 72.6 million USD, with a reference price of approximately 84,950 USD. The market's implied probabilities show that the chances of Bitcoin reaching 90,000 USD, 95,000 USD, and 100,000 USD before 2027 are 73%, 54%, and 39%, respectively.Kalshi Bitcoin year-end closing price prediction market trading volume is approximately 39.5 million USD, with a predicted value of 86,240 USD. Claude Opus 5.5 and ChatGPT-6 Astra's predictions for Bitcoin's price on December 31, 2026, are 91,500 USD and 94,000 USD, respectively.

The London-based payment infrastructure company OpenPayd's CEO Iana Dimitrova told CoinDesk that the company expects to complete its merger with Titan Acquisition Corp. and list on Nasdaq by the end of this year. The transaction is still subject to the effectiveness of the registration statement with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission and approval from Titan shareholders, with the stock ticker expected to be OP after listing. According to the announced terms, the implied equity value of OpenPayd in the transaction could reach up to $1.1 billion.OpenPayd provides account, foreign exchange, and domestic and international payment services to companies such as Kraken, B2C2, and OKX, and offers infrastructure for converting between fiat currencies and stablecoins, having integrated with the Circle payment network and Fireblocks payment network. Last month, the company incorporated MSB USA Inc. and its 43 state-level money transmission licenses into the group, planning to launch services for U.S. customers by April 2027. For the fiscal year ending April 30, 2026, the company reported revenue of $73 million, up from $57 million in the previous fiscal year, with an EBITDA of $13 million and a net loss of $2.8 million. A company spokesperson stated that the loss was entirely due to a one-time transaction cost of $5.8 million related to this merger.Dimitrova stated that the company intends to acquire businesses that can provide licenses or technology to accelerate its entry into new markets. The listing will provide funding and publicly traded stock that can be used for transactions and collaborations. The company is also considering a private placement before the merger to raise growth capital.

According to GMGN data, the market capitalization of the Solana-based meme coin HOOKED once surpassed 17 million USD, currently reported at approximately 13.96 million USD, with a 24H increase of over 110%. It is reported that HOOKED is the token of the Hooked platform, a meme launch platform within the Solana ecosystem.Hooked integrates Transfer Hook, which supports setting holding, trading, and transfer restrictions for tokens through on-chain rules to reduce issues such as bot sniping, concentrated holdings, and malicious sell-offs. The prices of meme coins are highly volatile and easily influenced by market sentiment and trending events; please be aware of trading risks.

Galaxy Research released a report titled "The Behavior of Polymarket Traders," with data compiled by Stork, based on approximately 2.9 million retail accounts defined by trading frequency on the Polymarket international platform. The report states that since its launch in 2020, the platform has facilitated 1.27 billion orders, involving 3.07 million wallets, with a nominal amount of 82.8 billion USD. 125,429 accounts that placed more than 50 orders on active days were excluded, accounting for 4.1% of accounts but contributing 80.8% of orders and 41% of nominal trading volume.The report shows that 69.2% of retail accounts are below breakeven, with total losses of 338.9 million USD. The median retail account lost about 3 USD, with half of the accounts falling between -36.64 USD and +0.40 USD. The proportion of accounts that did not trade again within 30 days after a loss is 15.2%, while after a profit it is 6.1%. The excluded automated accounts collectively made a profit of 246.8 million USD. The median position for profit-makers is 13.96 USD, while for loss-makers it is 10 USD.44.1% of traders concentrated over 60% of their activity on a single theme. Sports specialists account for 47% of all specialists, with a profit ratio of 25.1%, the lowest among all themes; technology and science specialists have a profit ratio of 41.2%. The report covers the entire history of the international platform and mentions that the platform will introduce taker fees in early 2026. At a price point of 50 cents, crypto market takers pay 1.75 USD for a position of 100 shares or 50 USD, accounting for approximately 3.5% of the invested capital.

According to a report by Financial Associated Press, Tesla's official website released data on October 2, showing that third-quarter deliveries reached 486,532 vehicles, exceeding analysts' average expectation of 463,761 vehicles; during the same period, production was 464,391 vehicles, and energy products deployed amounted to 13.7 gigawatt-hours. This delivery volume is lower than the 497,099 vehicles delivered in the same period last year, which was a record at the time, primarily because American consumers concentrated their purchases before the federal electric vehicle purchase incentives were canceled.Deliveries of Model 3 and Model Y in the third quarter totaled 478,237 vehicles, accounting for approximately 98.3% of the total deliveries for the quarter. Financial Associated Press reported that Tesla has ceased production of the higher-priced Model S and Model X, leaving only Model Y, Model 3, and Cybertruck available for consumer sales, and mentioned the revamped Roadster, which has begun production of a version without a steering wheel and pedals, as well as the sale of the Semi all-electric heavy truck.StoneX analyst Mickey Legg stated that the deliveries were better than expected, which could provide upside potential for automotive business forecasts, but there are still questions regarding the energy business. Financial Associated Press noted that Musk is pushing the company to shift towards artificial intelligence, autonomous vehicles, and humanoid robots, with plans to invest over $25 billion this year to expand factories and establish a Robotaxi business. Regulatory documents this week showed that the company has secured $30 billion in new loans and credit lines. Tesla's stock price rose nearly 6% during the day.

According to Catcher Predict monitoring, in the market prediction event "Argentina vs. Burkina Faso More Markets" on Polymarket, the "Over" option for the sub-market "First Half O/U 4.5" experienced a drastic fluctuation in winning probability, dropping from 46% an hour ago to the current 15% (a fluctuation of 31%). Please note the impact of related breaking news.

According to Matthew Sigel, the head of digital asset research at investment management company VanEck, Bitcoin is currently in the early stages of a bull market, with strong market performance. VanEck has set a mid-term target for Bitcoin's market capitalization to reach half of gold's market capitalization (approximately $500,000) and believes that in the long term, if Bitcoin can capture a significant share of global energy trade, its price could reach $3 million by 2050.Sigel pointed out that the correlation between Bitcoin and gold has reached a multi-year high, and the continuous inflow of institutional investors through channels such as spot ETFs has provided support for the market. Additionally, Bitcoin mining companies, due to their possession of scarce electricity resources in the AI economy, have seen a significant increase in the value of their mining equipment and energy contracts, providing new opportunities for investors. Regarding the quantum computing risk that the market is concerned about, Sigel stated that while this is a problem that needs to be addressed, the community has already begun to pay attention and actively respond, and this does not constitute a reason to sell Bitcoin.

According to GMGN data, the market capitalization of PAID on Solana has fallen below 6 million USD, down over 88% from its peak market capitalization of 51.61 million USD. The current market capitalization is reported at 5.88 million USD, with a 24H decline of nearly 40%.Market news reminds users that the prices of meme coins are highly volatile, and investors should participate with caution.

CryptoQuant analyst Axel Adler Jr. stated that in the past 30 days, Bitcoin's realized market capitalization grew by 1.2% (approximately 12.8 billion USD), reaching 1.079 trillion USD on October 2. Compared to a growth rate of 0.66% a month ago, its growth rate has doubled.

CryptoQuant CEO Ki Young Ju posted on the X platform that this round of the Bitcoin bull market will bring a 3-5 times increase, rather than another round of parabolic surge exceeding 10 times, followed by a milder bear market.Ki Young Ju pointed out that in this cycle, the MVRV has never fallen below 1. Even at the lows, BTC has remained above the average on-chain cost basis for holders. Some investors have incurred losses, but overall holders have never fallen into a loss.

According to Gate market data, due to network revenue being unable to cover maintenance costs, the Layer 2 network Blast announced it will cease operations. Following this announcement, South Korea's two major cryptocurrency exchanges, Upbit and Bithumb, have placed BLAST on their trading watchlists. BLAST has cumulatively dropped over 40%, currently priced at $0.0002433, with a market capitalization of approximately $24 million.

According to Catcher Predict monitoring, in the market prediction event "Argentina vs Burkina Faso More Markets" on Polymarket, the "Over" option for the sub-market "First Half Total 4.5" experienced a sharp fluctuation in winning probability, dropping from 47% an hour ago to the current 24.5% (a fluctuation of 22.5%). Please note the impact of relevant breaking news.

Driven by Securitize, Avalanche's tokenized stock market value increased by $246 million in September, the highest growth among all blockchains.

According to Catcher Predict monitoring, in the predicted market event "Belgium vs. Türkiye - More Markets" on Polymarket, the "Over" option of the sub-market "Türkiye O/U 4.5" has experienced a dramatic fluctuation in winning probability, plummeting from 35.95% an hour ago to the current 19.65% (a fluctuation of 16.3%). Please note the impact of relevant breaking news.

NVIDIA's stock price reached a new historical high after experiencing two months of sell-offs, rising as much as 2.9% during the trading session. The market is optimistic that AI entities will drive an increase in semiconductor demand, boosting stock prices.After NVIDIA announced an increase in its buyback plan by $150 billion, the stock price further rose. So far this year, the stock price has increased by about 27%, with a market capitalization of approximately $5.7 trillion, just under $300 billion away from $6 trillion.

ZachXBT posted on platform X that UPay may allow the sanctioned illegal market Xinbi to issue its Visa crypto card and requested UPay to clarify the situation.ZachXBT stated that Xinbi is mainly involved in pig butchering scams, fraud, money laundering, and human trafficking.

Tesla's third-quarter delivery volume was 486,532 vehicles, while the market estimate was 463,761 vehicles.

Market traders cut bets on the Federal Reserve's interest rate hike in October.