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Next week's macro outlook: US CPI alongside the decisions of two major central banks, SpaceX IPO is coming in strong

According to Jinshi reports, after the release of significantly better-than-expected non-farm payroll data on Friday, market expectations for the Federal Reserve's interest rate hikes this year surged, causing spot gold to plummet sharply, nearly erasing all gains for the year, marking a fourth consecutive week of declines. Silver's overall trend mirrored that of gold but with slightly stronger volatility, closing down 9.85% for the week. The U.S. dollar index, buoyed by the unexpected non-farm data, rose significantly to just above the 100 mark. Following the non-farm data on Friday, U.S. tech stocks suffered heavy losses. The Dow Jones Industrial Average closed down 1.35%, the S&P 500 index fell 2.65%, marking the largest single-day drop since October 2025; the Nasdaq dropped 4.18%, the largest single-day decline since April 2025.Goldman Sachs believes that the current market sentiment is clearly more greedy than fearful. Deutsche Bank pointed out that the market is highly sensitive to any negative news involving Iran. Here are the key points the market will focus on in the new week (all times are in Beijing time):Monday 23:00, U.S. May New York Fed 1-year inflation expectations;Tuesday 14:00, Germany April seasonally adjusted industrial production month-on-month, April seasonally adjusted trade balance;Tuesday 18:00, U.S. May NFIB Small Business Confidence Index;Tuesday 20:15, U.S. ADP employment change for the week ending May 23;Wednesday 20:30, U.S. May unadjusted CPI, May seasonally adjusted CPI/core CPI month-on-month;Wednesday 21:45, Bank of Canada announces interest rate decision;Thursday 20:15, European Central Bank announces interest rate decision;Thursday 20:30, U.S. initial jobless claims for the week ending June 6, May PPI year-on-year/month-on-month;Friday 14:00, Germany May CPI month-on-month final value;Friday 14:45, France May CPI month-on-month final value;Friday 22:00, U.S. June 1-year inflation expectations preliminary value, June University of Michigan Consumer Confidence Index preliminary value.In the coming week, the market will face a series of important events, but the most anticipated remains the potential initial public offering (IPO) of SpaceX. According to current plans, this transaction may launch on Friday, and if it proceeds, it is expected to have a significant impact on overall market sentiment, although the specific direction is still difficult to determine.In addition to SpaceX, the Apple Worldwide Developers Conference, earnings reports, and TSMC's May sales data may also become important factors influencing market volatility. Next week, U.S. stocks will enter a relatively calm phase of earnings season; although the overall number of reports is not large, heavyweight tech companies Oracle and Adobe will take the stage one after another, becoming the focus of market attention.

Minnesota, USA, signs a bill allowing banks and credit unions to offer cryptocurrency custody services

Minnesota Governor Tim Walz has officially signed HF 3709, a bill that allows banks and credit unions in the state to offer cryptocurrency custody services. The bill will take effect on August 1, 2026. According to the bill's requirements, financial institutions must develop written policies covering risk management, internal controls, and security measures, and submit written notice to the state commissioner of commerce at least 60 days before providing custody services. The bill specifically emphasizes that customer assets must be strictly segregated from the institution's own assets.One of the main authors of the bill, Representative Bernie Perryman, stated that this move aims to allow local financial institutions to "grow alongside their customers," preventing residents from being forced to rely on unregulated out-of-state or offshore providers. The Minnesota Credit Union Network stated that this legislation provides residents with a "safer way to manage crypto assets" and strengthens protections against risks such as fraud and hacking through regulation. With this, Minnesota becomes another state, following New York, Wyoming, and Virginia, that allows banks to offer crypto custody services.Meanwhile, earlier this month, the state also enacted another bill (SF 3868) that bans cryptocurrency ATMs. Starting August 1, the state cannot install new cryptocurrency ATMs, and existing machines must be removed by December 31. As a result, Bitcoin ATM operator Bitcoin Depot has filed for Chapter 11 bankruptcy protection and initiated business liquidation this Monday.
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