bet

Berkshire Hathaway submitted its 13F holdings report for the second quarter of 2026 to the U.S. SEC. The data shows that in the second quarter after Warren Buffett stepped down, the company's investment portfolio underwent significant adjustments, with a large purchase of Google’s parent company Alphabet, while reducing positions in the financial and consumer sectors.As of June 30, 2026, the total market value of Berkshire's stock holdings rose to $29.9 billion, up from $26.3 billion in the previous quarter. In the second quarter, the company added one new position, increased holdings in seven stocks, reduced holdings in six stocks, and completely sold out of one target, with the top ten holdings accounting for as much as 88.74%.Among them, Alphabet became the biggest highlight. In the second quarter, Berkshire cumulatively increased its holdings of Alphabet Class A and Class C shares by approximately 48.1 million shares, with the new holdings valued at over $17 billion, pushing Google to replace Bank of America as Berkshire's fourth-largest holding. Currently, its top five holdings are Apple, American Express, Coca-Cola, Alphabet, and Bank of America. In addition to Google, Berkshire also slightly increased its holdings in Delta Air Lines, Lennar, and Macy's. The increase in Delta Air Lines has attracted attention, as the market believes this move may reflect the company's optimism about the recovery of air travel demand and improvement in corporate operations.On the reduction side, Berkshire focused on cutting positions in the financial and consumer sectors in the second quarter. Among them, Bank of America saw a reduction of about 30.2 million shares, with the holding ratio decreasing by 5.89%, corresponding to a market value of about $1.72 billion, making it the largest reduction target; First Capital Financial reduced about 4.2 million shares, with the holding ratio decreasing by about 58%; at the same time, it reduced about 11 million shares of Kroger, with the holding size decreasing by about 22%.The market believes that Berkshire ended a streak of 14 consecutive quarters of net stock selling in the second quarter and net bought nearly $20 billion in stocks, indicating that the new leader Greg Abel is pushing the portfolio towards a technology growth direction, marking a shift in asset allocation in the "post-Buffett era."

Zach Pandl, the head of research at Grayscale, posted on the X platform comparing Ethereum to a "small country" and discussed the ETH issuance mechanism. He believes that Ethereum has only one core "government function": to protect property rights and value exchange within the system. Unlike traditional countries that provide public services through taxation, Ethereum primarily funds network security through "seigniorage," which is the issuance of new ETH.In this framework, the stakers responsible for maintaining network security are akin to a group providing public services, as they receive rewards through newly issued ETH. Therefore, Ethereum's staking mechanism and ETH issuance policy essentially constitute the network's fiscal and monetary policy. Zach Pandl pointed out that the Ethereum community needs to decide how much "new currency" should be used to cover network security costs. More security typically means stronger protection of property rights, but at the cost of a higher ETH issuance rate and potential other risks.For example, if network security increasingly relies on a few large staking service providers, there remains room for discussion about whether these providers can maintain the asset rights of all users completely neutrally. Pandl believes that, just as in traditional economies, no one knows the "optimal level" of government spending and currency issuance; the same applies to Ethereum. However, Ethereum has several key security thresholds, including: 1/3: an attacker reaching this ratio may affect finality; 1/2: affects blockchain fork choice; 2/3: can control the finality process. Some community members believe that the design of Ethereum's monetary and fiscal policy should consider the security trade-offs brought by these key ratios, while the current mechanism has not adequately incorporated these factors. However, the above analogy is not entirely accurate, as it does not yet involve other important factors such as the ETH burn mechanism, MEV, governance, etc.

A giant whale placed a limit short sale order of approximately $203 million on the tokenized aerospace company SpaceX stock SPCX, with a price range of $141.93 to $142.9, betting on a price decline of the token.At the beginning of August, the two-day trading volume of SPCX on the tokenized trading platform Gate reached about $700 million, with a single-day transaction of $332 million on August 4, as the market traded around the 911.5 million shares that were unlocked on August 6. After the unlocking, SPCX rose by 6.1%, closing at $114.92.Documents from the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) show that Elon Musk holds a 48.4% beneficial interest in SpaceX, corresponding to over 6.4 billion shares, valued at over $900 billion at current prices; the related Class B shares give him over 82% of the total voting rights in SpaceX.

Founder of Formula News, Vida, stated that he has hedged through the BTC/USD1 perpetual contract when Bitcoin was around $63,000, exiting about one-third of his BTC position, while still retaining two-thirds of his spot holdings.He indicated that he remains optimistic about Bitcoin in the long term, but the current BTC narrative has been significantly overshadowed by AI, and he expects that a new core narrative will be difficult to emerge in the next 1 to 2 years. He believes that the next bull market for Bitcoin may need to be driven by issues with U.S. Treasuries or the dollar, or rising concerns about fiat currency devaluation, and that prior to this, global assets may first experience repricing.Based on this judgment, he anticipates the opportunity to buy back the positions he exited in the range of $45,000 to $55,000 over the next 1 to 3 years, while retaining two-thirds of his BTC spot as a long-term base.

According to Bloomberg, as a large number of high-growth startups emerge in fields such as artificial intelligence and biotechnology, private equity and Pre-IPO investment tools aimed at ordinary investors are rapidly increasing. Billionaire investor Bill Ackman's investment firm Pershing Square is preparing to launch a new fund to provide investors with the opportunity to participate in high-growth companies that are not yet publicly listed.Currently, Pershing Square has initiated the process to establish "Pershing Square Ventures." This fund will adopt a "permanent capital" model, allowing for long-term holding of investment targets and continuing to hold shares after the invested companies go public.Ackman and Pershing Square Chief Investment Officer Ryan Israel stated in a letter to shareholders that the new fund aims to capture investment opportunities in Pre-IPO companies and expand the company's investment scope beyond the public markets. At present, Pershing Square has not disclosed the target size of the fund, investment strategy details, or specific fundraising timeline.

Market pricing shows that the probability of the Federal Reserve maintaining the interest rate in the range of 3.5%-3.75% in September is about 65%, up from about 60% before the release of the PPI report.

According to blogger Max For AI, DeepSeek Harness (DSH) will officially start public testing on August 13. The final internal test version will be pushed tonight for developers to complete the final plugin compatibility work, and the plugin repository should include the #dsh topic tag. Plugins developed during the internal testing period can be migrated to the developer's personal account and made public. This means that DeepSeek is not only releasing the Harness product this time, but its accompanying plugin ecosystem will also be opened simultaneously. Currently, the official announcement has not been made, and specific details will be based on official information.

Bitcoin was reported at $63,500 around 1:30 PM Eastern Time on August 12, 2026. The total betting amount on the six active markets of the prediction market platforms Polymarket and Kalshi exceeded $120 million, with traders placing bets on Bitcoin's subsequent price.The largest Bitcoin price market on Polymarket had a trading volume of approximately $52.1 million, with a 68% probability that Bitcoin will reach $70,000 by the end of 2026, and a 79% probability of reaching $60,000. The market gives probabilities of 51%, 32%, and 17% for reaching $75,000, $80,000, and $90,000, respectively.Polymarket's market trading volume for August 2026 is nearly $5 million, with a 70% probability that Bitcoin will reach $65,000 and an 81% probability that it will drop to $62,500 that month; the probabilities for reaching $67,500, $70,000, and $75,000 are 38%, 17%, and 3%, respectively. Polymarket also gives a 9% probability that Bitcoin will reach $100,000 within 2026. Kalshi data shows a 12% probability that Bitcoin will reach $100,000 before January 2027, with probabilities of 3% for reaching $150,000 and $200,000, respectively. Polymarket uses Binance BTC/USDT one-minute price K-line, while Kalshi uses CF Benchmarks Bitcoin Real-Time Index, with different settlement rules.

According to Catcher Predict monitoring on-chain data, significant capital movements are predicted in the Polymarket market. A large whale invested $69,500.53 in the event "Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 100 Thieves (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group C," targeting the "Match Winner." Based on the current transaction price, the latest corresponding winning probability for this subject is 29.54%.

According to monitoring by Catcher Predict, in the Polymarket prediction market for the event "BetBoom vs FaZe," the win rate of the "Over" option in the sub-market "Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5" has experienced significant fluctuations, soaring from 50% an hour ago to the current 90% (a fluctuation of 40%). Please note the impact of related breaking news.

Traders continue to bet on the possibility of a Federal Reserve rate hike in September at 45%.

The Beta version of the tokenized asset on the Web3 asset data platform RootData is now online. This page aggregates and displays the market share of the tokenized stock market, popular activities, stock derivatives, and tokenized stock data based on publicly verifiable exchange quotes, order books, on-chain, and issuer data.It is reported that users can view the 24-hour trading volume, liquidity depth, open interest (OI), and the number of active underlying assets on platforms such as Binance, OKX, Gate, Bitget, Hyperliquid, and Bybit. Additionally, users can compare prices, spreads, depth, OI, and other indicators of stock derivatives across different platforms on a single stock detail page, as well as the trading volume, AUM, issuance, and circulation of the corresponding tokenized stocks. This page aims to help exchanges, issuers, and investors more intuitively track the popularity, liquidity distribution, and potential trading opportunities in the tokenized stock market.

Despite the rare coordination between the United States and Japan in promoting the strengthening of the yen, U.S. Treasury Secretary Yellen and Japanese Prime Minister Kishi Sanae's fundamental disagreements regarding the Bank of Japan may undermine their efforts. Yellen believes that tightening monetary policy is crucial to addressing the yen's weakness, while Kishi is cautious about raising interest rates, fearing it may impact economic recovery. The Bank of Japan's benchmark interest rate remains at 1%.

The Gate Research Institute recently reported on "The TradFi Battle of Cryptocurrency Exchanges: Gate CFD's Path to Cross-Asset Breakthrough," indicating that since 2026, cryptocurrency trading platforms represented by Gate have been accelerating their breakthrough of digital asset boundaries, with CFD business becoming the primary trading entry point connecting stablecoin funds and global traditional assets. As user demand for trading and hedging in gold, foreign exchange, stocks, indices, and commodities grows, industry competition has shifted from merely competing on leverage and trading varieties to a comprehensive contest of asset coverage, liquidity, execution quality, risk management, and capital efficiency.In this round of TradFi expansion, Gate is forming a clear first-mover advantage. According to publicly available data, Gate accounts for approximately 39.4% of the trading volume among the five platforms that have disclosed TradFi transaction amounts, completing its transition from catching up to leading in just two months, becoming the largest top-tier platform. More notably, Gate's layout is no longer limited to increasing CFD categories but is based on USDT and a unified account entry, connecting CFDs, perpetual contracts, stocks, ETFs, IPO Access, and wealth management, while further accommodating professional and institutional funds through tools such as API, copy trading, OES, and CrossEx. Whether Gate can convert its temporary transaction advantage into long-term liquidity, capital retention, and professional service capabilities in the next phase will be key to whether its TradFi strategy can form a sustainable barrier.

According to The Block, BlackRock's head of digital assets, Robert Mitchnick, stated that there has been a noticeable but subtle improvement in Bitcoin market sentiment over the past month, and the correlation between Bitcoin and U.S. stocks is weakening, which is healthy for the argument of Bitcoin as a portfolio diversification tool and tail risk hedge.He pointed out that Bitcoin significantly outperformed during the major pullback in the AI sector in July, which is a manifestation of this decoupling. Although Bitcoin has fallen nearly 30% this year and about 50% from a year ago, ETF investors continue to buy—last week, the U.S. spot Bitcoin ETF recorded an inflow of $853.5 million, marking the best weekly performance since mid-April, with BlackRock's IBIT contributing $693.7 million (over 80%) and Fidelity's FBTC contributing $116.4 million. Bloomberg analyst Eric Balchunas noted that after the Coldcard vulnerability was exposed, multiple funds recorded net inflows daily, "it's hard not to see it as a causal relationship."

CryptoQuant founder Ki Young Ju posted that the correlation between Bitcoin and gold has returned to the levels of the digital gold era.

According to data monitored by Catcher Predict, significant capital movements are predicted in the Polymarket market. A large whale invested $131,403.77 in the "LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs. Top Esports - LPL Group Stage" event, specifically on the "Match Winner." Based on the current transaction price, the latest corresponding winning probability for this subject is 62.85%.

The U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) documents show that Alphabet (GOOG.O) reported holding 551.2 million shares of Class A stock in SpaceX (SPCX.O).