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BTC $60,904.02 +0.10%
ETH $1,560.33 -3.59%
BNB $575.28 -1.39%
XRP $1.10 -0.00%
SOL $62.58 -2.90%
TRX $0.3205 -1.11%
DOGE $0.0819 -0.06%
ADA $0.1591 -0.43%
BCH $218.85 +0.72%
LINK $7.38 -0.25%
HYPE $58.74 -3.90%
AAVE $60.92 -2.66%
SUI $0.7181 +2.83%
XLM $0.2009 +7.52%
ZEC $357.20 +17.35%

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Grayscale: Bitcoin may enter a recovery period in the coming months, but forming a sustainable bottom still requires new buying support

Grayscale's research director Zach Pandl stated that after Strategy disclosed the sale of 32 BTC on June 1, it triggered a new round of volatility in the BTC market. He pointed out that the scale of the sale itself is not important, as Strategy still holds approximately 840,000 BTC on its balance sheet, valued at about $5.5 billion. However, as one of the largest digital asset treasury managers in the world, its strategic shift puts pressure on market sentiment.Pandl believes that more importantly, the recent volatility affects the price of Strategy's variable rate preferred stock tool STRC. STRC is designed to maintain a price of about $100 per share, with a current dividend yield of 11.5%. If the stock price falls below $100, it means investors are demanding a higher return. Strategy can increase dividends, but this will increase future cash flow obligations and may lead to more BTC sales, further suppressing BTC prices. Strategy's leveraged business model is under pressure, increasing volatility across the entire BTC market.At the current levels of STRC and MSTR stock prices, Grayscale believes that Strategy's ability to continue accumulating more BTC is limited. However, Grayscale believes that in the long term, reducing the BTC on the leveraged digital asset treasury balance sheet and allowing more BTC to be distributed across diversified corporate balance sheets will benefit the health of the Bitcoin ecosystem. But before a sustainable bottom for BTC prices is formed, other buyers need to enter the market. Grayscale expects BTC prices to recover in the coming months, but in the short term, BTC's performance may lag behind other segments of the crypto market that directly benefit from regulatory clarity.

"New Stock God" Serenity: Sivers may become a key bottleneck and "choke point" in the CPO industry

The "New Stock God" Serenity published an analysis stating that as Co-Packaged Optics (CPO) technology is expected to enter large-scale deployment in the second half of 2027, Sivers Semiconductors (SIVE) may play both a bottleneck and a key node role in the industry.It pointed out that there are signs of tight supply for Continuous Wave (CW) lasers. Affected by previous orders from NVIDIA, the capacities of companies such as Sumitomo Electric, Furukawa Electric, and Win Semi are highly saturated. Meanwhile, Sivers, which adopts a fab-lite model, has effectively secured a significant amount of CW laser supply by locking in capacity with foundries like Win Semi in advance.The analysis believes that multiple CPO routes, including ASIC projects from Ayar Labs, Jabil, Marvell Celestial, and other large-scale cloud providers, are highly dependent on Sivers' laser solutions, lacking mature alternative sources in the short term, which positions it as a structural "bottleneck" in the entire ecosystem.Additionally, Sivers is the default reference laser design solution for GlobalFoundries, with relevant ecosystem participants including AMD and several CPO chip suppliers. Aside from vertically integrated companies like NVIDIA and Broadcom, most ASIC and commercial CPO projects are likely to revolve around Sivers.Serenity expects that as the CPO market size grows from nearly zero to between $81 billion and $91 billion in about a year and a half, Sivers is likely to replicate Lumentum's growth path and may grow into a company with a market value of around $75 billion in the coming years. However, the above views only represent the personal judgment of market analysts.
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