botto

Crypto analyst Ali Charts posted that, based on Bitcoin's four-year cycle, he expects BTC to reach the market bottom between October 6 and 16.He believes that before the final capitulation phase arrives, investors should develop a dollar-cost averaging strategy in the range of $62,000 to $48,000, gradually accumulating Bitcoin. He assesses that the current bear market is nearing its end and states that now is the time to start turning bullish.

On-chain analysis firm Glassnode stated that the native support for Bitcoin has begun to disappear. The large buy walls accumulated below the price in June have started to withdraw, and the remaining support is clearly thinning, forming a weaker bottom structure.Glassnode indicated that it continues to closely monitor this indicator in its weekly updates, showing that the liquidity and buy thickness below the market are weakening, and attention should be paid to the subsequent price volatility risks.

According to Cointelegraph, asset management company VanEck stated that Bitcoin is approaching the cycle bottom, which may mean that investors should start to gradually rebuild their positions.

Bitget has launched the US stock bottom-fishing interest-earning product FCN (Fixed Coupon Note), allowing users to use USDT to subscribe to structured products linked to US stock rToken and set target purchase prices. According to the product rules, if the observation price at maturity is greater than or equal to the exercise price, users will receive the USDT principal and the agreed USDT interest; if the observation price at maturity is lower than the exercise price, the USDT principal will be converted into the corresponding number of US stock rToken at the exercise price, while also receiving the agreed USDT interest.At the same time, the platform has launched a first-time rebate activity. Users who successfully subscribe to FCN for the first time with a single amount of no less than 1,000 USDT can receive up to 20 USDT; if the cumulative subscription amount reaches the specified threshold, an individual can receive a maximum cashback reward of 10,000 USDT. For more details, please refer to the official Bitget platform.

Renowned trader Killa posted that during the last bull market, Bitcoin began to recover from its lows before the ETF rumors and official approvals, emphasizing that the market often reflects positive news in advance.Therefore, this round may be similar; the current "Clarity Act" is forming a new narrative. "If it indeed becomes a catalyst, it is likely to mark the beginning of the first meaningful upward phase for BTC after the first bear market recovery, and the approval itself will soon push BTC towards a new ATH (just like the ETF approval)."Killa, a quantitative trader focused on BTC, predicted the peak of this bull market in May 2025 and has over 200,000 followers on the X platform. In mid-April, he shorted Bitcoin at $74,688 and turned bullish during the market-wide decline on June 5.

Renowned trader Doctor Profit posted that a historical indicator for Bitcoin is signaling that "the bottom has either formed or is very close." In 2015, 2019, and 2022, the bear market bottom formation phase began when the realized price of holders for 3 to 6 months fell below the realized price of holders for 1 to 2 years. He believes this indicates that newer buyers are capitulating and selling at a loss, with Bitcoin gradually transferring to longer-term holders.Currently, this crossover is appearing for the fourth time, while the BTC price is below the average cost of both categories of holders. However, historically, this signal does not immediately lead to a reversal; Bitcoin typically experiences several months of sideways movement to complete the bottoming process, so this phase can also be seen as a long-term accumulation range. He believes we are currently in the bottom formation and long-term accumulation phase of the bear market. Doctor Profit stated that over the past few weeks, he has been gradually buying BTC in batches within the range of $54,000 to $64,000, continuing to build his position incrementally with 5% of his portfolio each time.

CryptoQuant analyst MorenoDV_ stated that data shows the Ethereum Unspent Net Profit and Loss (NUPL) on the Binance platform has fallen back to around -0.35, entering a range that has historically corresponded to significant price bottoms multiple times.This indicator reflects the unrealized profit and loss status of a specific group of holdings, and the current negative value indicates that the overall Ethereum holdings are in a relatively deep unrealized loss.

According to Binance spot data, the market has experienced significant fluctuations. EPIC has dropped by 22.56% in 24 hours, while DODO has increased by 7.79%, showing a rebound after hitting a low.At the same time, OSMO, RE, and ENSO have all shown a "high and then low" state, with declines of 6.75%, 5.51%, and 5.23% respectively. In addition, ASTSB and LSK have reached new highs today, with increases of 6.53% and 9.41% respectively.

Jiang Zhuoer, the founder of the Liebit Mining Pool (B.TOP), stated in a post that the previous three major bottoms of Bitcoin were accompanied by "high losses and large fluctuations," while the current characteristics are "losses not high enough and smaller fluctuations." He believes that rather than betting on this being an unprecedented "calm bottom," it is better to view it as a "breathing stage" in the process of finding a bottom.Jiang Zhuoer cited the market situation in 2018 as an example, when the $6,000 level of BTC was tested multiple times and was seen by many investors as a bottom that would not be broken. Before breaking below, BTC traded sideways in the $6,000 to $7,000 range for about two and a half months, which is quite similar to the current sideways trading in the $60,000 to $70,000 range for two months, after which the price fell to $3,000.

Cryptocurrency analyst Ai posted on the X platform that multiple technical indicators at the monthly level for Bitcoin are releasing bullish signals, suggesting that the current market may have formed a macro bottom. Data shows that the TD Sequential indicator triggered a buy signal on the Bitcoin monthly chart last month. This indicator previously successfully identified the bottom of the bear market in 2022 and is now showing a similar signal again. Additionally, Bitcoin's current price is close to the 50-month simple moving average (SMA). Historical data indicates that since 2014, this long-term moving average has repeatedly become an important support area for Bitcoin and corresponds with multiple market bottoms.Meanwhile, the Chande Momentum Oscillator (CMO) has fallen back to around -71. The last time this indicator reached a similar level was in June of this year, when Bitcoin's price briefly dropped to $57,000. Historically, extreme low levels of CMO often coincide with market bottom areas. Analysts believe that Bitcoin may still oscillate in the range of $60,000 to $67,000 in the short term, but the TD Sequential buy signal, 50-month moving average support, and CMO oversold condition together indicate that a long-term cycle bottom may have formed. The market will focus on whether subsequent prices can break through the oscillation range to confirm a new upward trend.

The founder of the Liebit Mining Pool (B.TOP), Jiang Zhuoer, made a prediction about the bottom of this bear market based on the previous three rounds of Bitcoin bull and bear cycles: "According to historical data fitting, the decline ratios for the four cycles are: 86.9%, 84.1%, 77.6%, 65.1% (this round prediction), corresponding to a BTC price of $44,016, expected to occur on October 31."

Well-known crypto KOL Ansem posted that signs of a bottom forming are appearing in the crypto market. Firstly, prices are beginning to show resilience against negative news; for example, when Saylor sold millions of dollars in the range of $58,000 to $60,000, BTC continued to form higher lows. Secondly, crypto-native mobile applications are starting to see actual user growth, with Pump.fun's weekly revenue increasing by 20% and Fomo surpassing 100,000 users within a week; institutional interest is also rebounding, including progress from Robinhood Chain and billionaire Paul Tudor Jones publicly bullish on BTC. Additionally, the popularity of crypto-related content on social media is rising again.Ansem stated that if on-chain tokens continue to create higher highs after the initial volume peaks, the number of holders of popular tokens continues to grow, mainstream media refocuses its reporting, developers experiment with new on-chain mechanisms, and successful protocols provide incentives through airdrops, it may further confirm that a new bull market has begun.

Crypto analyst Crypto Dan posted on the X platform that Bitcoin is currently in a severely undervalued range. From a cyclical perspective, Bitcoin is close to historical bottom positions. Although it is still uncertain whether this is the absolute bottom, the indicator shows that the current level of interest from market participants in the crypto market is comparable to that at past bottoms.Crypto Dan stated that looking ahead to the next upward cycle around 2027, the current level is undoubtedly in a cheap range.

According to Cointelegraph, Markus Thielen, founder of the crypto research firm 10x Research, pointed out in the latest report that if Bitcoin's closing price in August can stabilize above $63,000, it will trigger multiple cyclical indicators to turn bullish, thereby confirming that the bear market bottom has been reached.The report shows that Bitcoin's closing price in July failed to reach this threshold, with the current quote around $63,140, just one step away from the confirmation signal. In terms of positioning strategy, 10x Research indicates that it still prefers to hold long positions, but if Bitcoin falls below key support levels and moving averages, it will shift to a neutral stance. In terms of risk warnings, the report notes: if the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield continues to rise, it may force the Federal Reserve to resume interest rate hikes in September; at the same time, the potential selling pressure of about 100,000 BTC from miners transitioning to AI businesses, as well as the liquidation actions of Bitcoin treasury companies, all constitute supply-side pressure.

Well-known trader CryptoD stated on social media, "Recently looking back at community messages, I found that the entire Meme ecosystem has become very fragmented. The Chinese and foreign markets are gradually forming different ecosystems, leading to ineffective concentration of funds. Additionally, the market has been in a bear phase for a long time, with no significant increase in funds, but rather more chains emerging and liquidity becoming more dispersed.However, I also believe that the overall crypto market is gradually approaching the bottom, and Q3 and Q4 are likely to be the last period to calmly position before the next bull market."Previous reports indicated that CryptoD earned over 10 million dollars by trading the Meme coin TRUMP.

According to Ai Yi's monitoring, the address 0xb37 deposited 1.448 million USDC to Hyperliquid this morning as collateral, and then placed a total buy order of 10 million USD for SKHX in the range of 991.22 to 1016.6 USD.If the price of Hynix continues to drop, the related buy orders may be executed.

Cryptocurrency analysis firm Glassnode stated that since February of this year, the 3-month Bitcoin futures basis yield has been below the 2-year U.S. Treasury yield. Historically, there has only been one similar prolonged period: from August 2022 to January 2023, which ultimately marked the cycle bottom.

Well-known analyst PlanB stated that Bitcoin's closing price in July was $62,818, with the 200-week moving average corresponding to $63,000. It seems that Bitcoin has begun the process of bottoming out.This process typically takes 1-3 months, during which BTC may drop to lower levels.

Tom Lee posted on platform X, stating that given the "panic" of policymakers, the South Korean stock market may be in the final stage of bottoming out.Tom Lee also quoted Appaloosa fund manager David Tepper, saying that when policymakers start to panic, the market will stop panicking.