confirmation

Well-known crypto KOL Ansem posted that signs of a bottom forming are appearing in the crypto market. Firstly, prices are beginning to show resilience against negative news; for example, when Saylor sold millions of dollars in the range of $58,000 to $60,000, BTC continued to form higher lows. Secondly, crypto-native mobile applications are starting to see actual user growth, with Pump.fun's weekly revenue increasing by 20% and Fomo surpassing 100,000 users within a week; institutional interest is also rebounding, including progress from Robinhood Chain and billionaire Paul Tudor Jones publicly bullish on BTC. Additionally, the popularity of crypto-related content on social media is rising again.Ansem stated that if on-chain tokens continue to create higher highs after the initial volume peaks, the number of holders of popular tokens continues to grow, mainstream media refocuses its reporting, developers experiment with new on-chain mechanisms, and successful protocols provide incentives through airdrops, it may further confirm that a new bull market has begun.

Nick Tomaino, founder of 1confirmation, commented on the AI investment fund Situational Awareness regarding the recent discussions surrounding the fund, reflecting a long-standing issue in the investment community: many so-called "elites" and "smart money" lack basic risk judgment capabilities.Tomaino stated that he does not understand all the details of the incident and does not wish to comment on the specific liquidation process, but he believes that a deeper issue is that many investors, driven by wealth and attention, gradually ignore facts, risks, and judgments about others.He cited the collapse of FTX as an example, noting that many people could sense something was off after brief interactions with the founder, but a large amount of "smart money" chose to continue investing and endorsing it in pursuit of returns and market narratives.Tomaino pointed out that the founders of Situational Awareness and the investment circles supporting the fund exhibited similar phenomena: investors of the same type chased grand narratives, provided funding, and promoted publicity, but ultimately the fund fell into trouble due to high-risk bets and market reversals. Industry participants learned lessons to avoid repeating the cycle of "chasing trends—ignoring risks—collectively stepping on landmines."

The latest research from the Cambridge Centre for Alternative Finance shows that approximately 31% of Ethereum node activity is located in the United States, with about 39% distributed in the EU region excluding the UK, indicating that the geographical distribution of Ethereum nodes is still relatively concentrated in Western countries. The research leader, Alexander Neumuller, stated that the current node distribution is not concentrated in a single country but primarily relies on a few cloud service providers, including Hetzner, Amazon AWS, and OVH.It is noteworthy that the Ethereum network does not require half of the validators to fail for issues to arise; when more than one-third of validators go offline simultaneously, the network may be unable to complete the finalization of block checkpoints. Neumuller pointed out that nodes and validators do not have a one-to-one correspondence; a single node may run multiple validators, making it currently impossible to accurately assess the actual impact of a specific node or service provider failure on the validation network. Additionally, the research reassessed the energy consumption situation after Ethereum's Merge. The data shows that Ethereum's current annual energy consumption is approximately 7.9 GWh, equivalent to about 1 megawatt of continuous power, which is only about 0.02% of the pre-Merge level, with energy consumption decreasing by approximately 99.98%. Currently, the proportion of sustainable energy used by the Ethereum network exceeds 56%, higher than the global average. The research also pointed out that the concentration of client software is another potential risk; if a dominant client has a vulnerability, it could affect a large number of network participants. The report was published by the Cambridge Centre for Alternative Finance, with support from the Ethereum Foundation.

Nick Tomaino, founder of 1confirmation, stated on the X platform that bringing real-world assets (RWA) on-chain will become an important direction for driving the next phase of development in the cryptocurrency industry and is expected to lead to large-scale consumer adoption. The core value of bringing RWA on-chain lies in enabling global users to access asset classes that were previously difficult to obtain. "Global accessibility" has always been one of the most attractive features of the cryptocurrency industry and is also a key reason for the success of crypto assets like Bitcoin and Ethereum.Nick Tomaino believes that crypto assets that drive new behaviors and are built on concepts that go beyond mere monetary value will continue to exist in the long term. However, as the market gradually realizes that the cost of creating tokens is close to zero, the model of relying solely on token issuance to drive price increases is difficult to sustain. The growth cycle of many "speculative tokens" is coming to an end, and the market will enter a new growth phase driven by tokens backed by real assets. Currently, stablecoins have become the most mature case of RWA applications, and in the coming year, the on-chainization of assets such as stocks, commodities, government bonds, corporate bonds, and real estate is expected to accelerate further.Nick Tomaino mentioned that on-chain physical collectibles (such as sports cards and jerseys) could become one of the most worthwhile directions for building and investing in RWA today. As the speculative-driven token cycle gradually recedes, on-chain assets supported by real assets and practical use cases will be key to attracting the next batch of users into the cryptocurrency market.

BIT stated in the latest weekly market observation that Bitcoin has recovered most of its decline from June last week, re-establishing itself above the 200-week moving average and entering the key confirmation range of $63,000 to $66,000.Ethereum's weekly increase is even stronger, indicating that this round of rebound has broader market participation.

In a letter to LP for Q2 2026, 1confirmation partner Nick Tomaino stated that the total cash dividends of the entire fund amounted to approximately $317 million, exceeding the total contributions of all funds of approximately $286 million.

Telegram founder Pavel Durov stated in a personal channel that TON leads in the final confirmation time of blocks among L1 chains. Data shows that TON's final confirmation time is about 0.6 seconds, faster than mainstream L1s like Avalanche (about 1 second) and BNB Chain (about 1.1 seconds), while Ethereum takes 13 minutes and Bitcoin about 1 hour.

The Chief Information Security Officer of Slow Fog Technology, 23pds, forwarded a message from the dark web intelligence account Dark Web Intelligence (@DailyDarkWeb), stating that the hacker group ShinyHunters claims to have infiltrated internal systems related to the Anthropic Mythos model and has shared screenshots of the user management panel, AI experiment dashboard, model performance, and cost analysis. The authenticity of this information has not yet been confirmed by Anthropic.Given that many companies have previously applied to trial the related models, if the news is true, it could pose indirect security risks to leading tech companies and those in the cryptocurrency industry.

According to Punchbowl, the hearing for Federal Reserve Chair nominee Waller is scheduled for April 21.

Wintermute stated that the market experienced two distinct phases last week: the first half of the week was driven by ceasefire expectations, with the Nasdaq rising 4.5%, Bitcoin up 2.6%, and the VIX falling below 20. Over the weekend, talks in Islamabad broke down, and the U.S. announced a comprehensive maritime blockade on Iranian ports, causing Brent crude oil to surge 8% in a single day, returning above $103, leading risk assets to give back their gains.On the macro front: U.S. March CPI rose 3.3% year-on-year, with core CPI slightly below expectations at 2.6%. The market believes this is still a concentrated energy shock rather than widespread inflation. Asian markets saw a slight decline overnight, with Nasdaq futures steady. The market's reaction to each new piece of news is weakening, suggesting that it may have priced in the worst-case scenario or is becoming complacent.In terms of crypto assets: Bitcoin closed up 2.6% last week but did not lead the gains. The price has been consolidating in the $65,000-$73,000 range for over two months. Bitcoin spot ETFs saw a net inflow of $22.3 million last week, while Ethereum ETFs continued to bleed, with outflows reaching $327 million year-to-date. Open interest in perpetual contracts has stabilized in the $28-30 billion range.Options traders' gamma exposure in the $68,000-$72,000 range indicates that hedging activities will amplify bidirectional volatility within that range. Wintermute believes that the ceasefire trade is dead, and the market is returning to an escalation trend. However, the market's reaction function is weakening. Confirmation of the reopening of the Strait of Hormuz could push Bitcoin to break above $75,000, while continued escalation may keep prices in a range-bound fluctuation with a downward tendency. The earnings season may partially shift market attention back to fundamentals, which could change the positioning behavior at the edges of the range.

Telegram founder Pavel Durov stated that The Open Network (TON) has completed a major upgrade, increasing block generation speed by 6 times, overall performance improved by about 10 times, and transaction confirmation time has been reduced to sub-second levels, achieving a "near-instant" transaction experience.TON officials stated that this upgrade is based on Catchain 2, and the previous confirmation time of about 10 seconds limited instant payments and application response experiences, while this upgrade will make it possible to "complete payments like sending messages." In addition, TON also stated that higher block generation frequency will enhance validator earnings and strengthen staking incentives. Pavel Durov called this upgrade the first step of the "Make TON Great Again" seven-step plan, with the next phase aiming to further reduce transaction fees by about 6 times.

According to Cointelegraph, the Ethereum client team is testing a mechanism called Fast Confirmation Rules (FCR), aimed at compressing the deposit confirmation time from L1 to L2 networks and exchanges to about 13 seconds, reducing it by up to 98% compared to existing solutions. This mechanism was proposed by Ethereum researcher Julian Ma.FCR determines whether a block can be considered confirmed by evaluating the validators' attestations, rather than relying on the traditional block depth counting method. Its operation is based on two premises: that network message propagation is fast enough, and that no single entity holds more than 25% of the staked ETH. Currently, most users rely on canonical bridges to complete asset transfers, which typically require waiting about 13 minutes; some exchanges and L2s have adopted "k-depth" confirmation rules to shorten the wait, but this method lacks formal security guarantees.FCR can be deployed without a hard fork, and nodes can independently enable it without the need for coordination across the entire network. Ethereum co-founder Vitalik Buterin expressed support for this, believing that the mechanism can provide "hard guarantees" for transactions within a single time slot (about 12 seconds) under specific network conditions. However, there are still voices of skepticism in the community, with some users concerned about whether its trust assumptions can hold up under network pressure. Currently, client and API integration work is still ongoing.

Ethereum co-founder Vitalik Buterin published an article introducing a new Ethereum fast confirmation rule mechanism. This mechanism allows users to receive a hard guarantee that Ethereum transactions will not be reverted (Non-revert) after just one Slot (12 seconds). Vitalik pointed out that the security of this rule is based on two premises: first, that the vast majority of validators are honest nodes, and second, that network latency is below approximately 3 seconds. Although its security is slightly lower than economic finality, it already possesses strong reliability for many application scenarios.

The Ethereum-based pre-confirmation network Interstate has completed a $1.5 million financing round, with participation from Marshland Capital, Taisu Ventures, Bloccelerate, Alpen Labs, GD1, MH Ventures, Alchemy Ventures, Legends Group, Waikit Lau, Sergey Gorbunov, and others.According to reports, Interstate is a company focused on cryptocurrency development, dedicated to enhancing the user experience of Ethereum by shortening transaction confirmation times.

Financial technology company Ruvo has completed a $4.6 million financing round, led by 1confirmation, with participation from Coinbase Ventures, Rebel Fund, Blast, Neer Ventures, First Check Ventures, and Mission Street Capital.Ruvo integrates Pix, stablecoins, bank transfers (ACH/wire), and Visa into a single application.

1confirmation announced that it has begun investing from its fourth fund (Fund IV) and will intensify support for the best early-stage crypto entrepreneurs.The firm stated in a declaration that they established the first crypto venture capital fund 10 years ago, firmly believing that cryptocurrency would empower people and bring more freedom to the world, "and this is happening. Looking forward to the next 10 years."

CryptoQuant indicates that the realized profit of Bitcoin has dropped to 2.5 million BTC, the lowest level since 2024, similar to the level at the start of the last bear market in 2022. Additionally, since 2023, Bitcoin holders have experienced a net loss for the first time, with a cumulative loss of 69,000 BTC since December. This marks a shift in market dynamics from profit-taking to loss confirmation over the past 30 days.

According to Jin Ten, Federal Reserve's Goolsbee stated that a rate cut from the Federal Reserve is expected this year, but data is needed to confirm the outlook.