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BTC $77,311.64 +3.07%
ETH $2,427.11 +3.54%
BNB $641.52 +1.05%
XRP $1.49 +2.39%
SOL $89.33 +0.17%
TRX $0.3266 +0.05%
DOGE $0.1002 +0.95%
ADA $0.2617 +1.18%
BCH $454.81 +2.07%
LINK $9.69 +1.24%
HYPE $44.20 +0.82%
AAVE $117.66 +1.88%
SUI $1.01 +2.20%
XLM $0.1743 +4.33%
ZEC $331.26 -3.07%
BTC $77,311.64 +3.07%
ETH $2,427.11 +3.54%
BNB $641.52 +1.05%
XRP $1.49 +2.39%
SOL $89.33 +0.17%
TRX $0.3266 +0.05%
DOGE $0.1002 +0.95%
ADA $0.2617 +1.18%
BCH $454.81 +2.07%
LINK $9.69 +1.24%
HYPE $44.20 +0.82%
AAVE $117.66 +1.88%
SUI $1.01 +2.20%
XLM $0.1743 +4.33%
ZEC $331.26 -3.07%

fishing

Data: BTC and ETH options with a nominal value of 8.9 billion dollars will expire tomorrow, and options market data shows that bottom-fishing strength is beginning to emerge

According to data from Greeks.live, 116,000 BTC options will expire this Friday, with a Put Call Ratio of 0.76, a maximum pain point of $75,000, and a nominal value of $7.9 billion. 206,000 ETH options will also expire this Friday, with a Put Call Ratio of 0.77, a maximum pain point of $2,200, and a nominal value of $980 million.Greeks.live analyst Adam stated that the current cryptocurrency market remains sluggish, with the entire February trend weakly oscillating above $60,000. Tomorrow, options representing 20% of the total open interest will expire, totaling nearly $9 billion, with Bitcoin's open interest reaching a peak in recent years. Thanks to a rebound in the past two days, the implied volatility of Bitcoin and Ethereum has increased this week, with BTC's main expiry IV at 47% and ETH's main expiry IV at 65%. The downward price trend has eased somewhat, but market confidence is still lacking.In terms of trading, large bullish options dominate the market, with a significant amount of medium to long-term bullish trades following yesterday's rebound. From the main options data, the Skew has also rebounded comprehensively, indicating a bottom-fishing force in the market. Adam added that the market is still in a bear phase, with no new funds entering the cryptocurrency space and no obvious hotspots, while pessimistic sentiments are prevalent on social media, suggesting that bottom panic may not have arrived yet.

Glassnode: The reduction of BTC holdings by "diamond hands" poses greater resistance to price increases, as current bottom-fishing funds have failed to create sufficient demand to absorb selling pressure

ChainCatcher news, Glassnode posted on social media that the illiquid Bitcoin supply has begun to decline, with approximately 62,000 BTC moved from long-term dormant wallets since mid-October. When the illiquid supply decreases, more tokens will enter the circulating market, and if there is a lack of strong new demand, the upward price trend will face greater resistance.In this cycle, the illiquid supply was an important driving force, but the recent reversal has broken this trend. Historically, similar supply backflows often weaken market momentum—there was a larger outflow of 400,000 BTC in January 2024, and although the current change is relatively mild, the trend is worth noting.Interestingly, whale wallets have continued to accumulate during this period. Over the past 30 days, whale holdings have steadily increased, and there has been no large-scale selling since October 15. The ongoing largest outflows mainly come from wallets holding 0.1-10 BTC (approximately $10,000 to $1 million in assets). This group has maintained a net selling position since November 2024. Momentum traders have largely exited, while bottom-fishing funds have failed to create sufficient demand to absorb the selling pressure. As first-time buyers remain on the sidelines, this supply-demand imbalance will continue to suppress prices until stronger spot demand emerges.
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