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BTC $66,346.39 -0.78%
ETH $1,992.12 -1.46%
BNB $608.35 -1.27%
XRP $1.42 -4.56%
SOL $81.67 -4.53%
TRX $0.2795 -0.47%
DOGE $0.0974 -3.83%
ADA $0.2735 -4.22%
BCH $452.56 -6.31%
LINK $8.64 -2.97%
HYPE $28.98 -1.81%
AAVE $122.61 -3.42%
SUI $0.8440 -4.59%
XLM $0.1605 -4.62%
ZEC $260.31 -8.86%
BTC $66,346.39 -0.78%
ETH $1,992.12 -1.46%
BNB $608.35 -1.27%
XRP $1.42 -4.56%
SOL $81.67 -4.53%
TRX $0.2795 -0.47%
DOGE $0.0974 -3.83%
ADA $0.2735 -4.22%
BCH $452.56 -6.31%
LINK $8.64 -2.97%
HYPE $28.98 -1.81%
AAVE $122.61 -3.42%
SUI $0.8440 -4.59%
XLM $0.1605 -4.62%
ZEC $260.31 -8.86%

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Bitcoin may drop below $60,000, and the return period could extend to 2027, with increased selling pressure from whales intensifying downside risks

According to Cointelegraph, the latest data shows that if Bitcoin further falls below $60,000, the time for the market to recover to historical highs may be delayed until 2027.Analysis indicates that Bitcoin has retraced about 48% from its peak of approximately $126,000 in 2025. According to historical patterns, for every additional 10% drop, the recovery period is extended by an average of about 80 days. If $60,000 is the bottom for this phase, it is expected to take about 300 days to complete the recovery; however, if it continues to drop to the $40,000-$45,000 range, the overall retracement will exceed 60%, and the recovery period may extend to about 440 days, pushing the timeline to after the second quarter of 2027.On-chain indicators also show that the bottom has not yet been confirmed. The comprehensive market index (BCMI) is currently around 0.27, above the historical bottom range (approximately 0.12-0.15), indicating that there is still room for further downside. In terms of capital flow, the continued selling by whales is intensifying pressure. Data shows that the selling intensity by large holders has reached its highest level in nearly 18 months, while liquidity in both the spot and futures markets is weakening simultaneously. Institutional views suggest that the current market is in a deep adjustment cycle, and if the macro environment remains tight (including high interest rates or even rate hikes), it will further delay the recovery pace of the cryptocurrency market.

$50 million increase in holdings and a 15% profit ratio: Global enterprises' financial resources are accelerating the transition to "productive assets."

According to BBX data, yesterday global listed companies showed strong momentum in "revenue monetization" and "mainstream financial institutions entering directly" in cryptocurrency asset allocation:$50 million strategic increase: Nomura's digital asset subsidiary Laser Digital announced yesterday that it has completed a $50 million increase in Bitcoin treasury on behalf of its parent company. This marks the first time a major Japanese financial giant has clearly decoupled its proprietary positions from institutional brokerage business, indicating that Japanese financial institutions are beginning to view BTC as core Tier 1 capital.Direct conversion of advertising revenue: Reddit disclosed in its quarterly supplemental filing submitted to the SEC yesterday that it has begun converting part of its excess cash reserves and advertising revenue into BTC and ETH. Reddit stated that the allocation of its on-chain native assets aims to provide underlying liquidity for the future "contributor economy."$25 million hedging initial position: Zillow Group's board approved a $25 million allocation for Bitcoin yesterday. As a real estate technology giant, Zillow plans to use BTC as a cross-border liquidity buffer for its global home purchase settlement business to combat fluctuations in multiple fiat currency exchange rates.15% net profit allocation: WonderFi officially established financial guidelines yesterday, announcing that it will convert 15% of its net profit each quarter into Bitcoin reserves over the next three years. It executed its first purchase of $2.4 million yesterday, with total holdings steadily increasing.$10 million debt transformation: Stronghold Digital disclosed yesterday that the $10 million in cash freed up through a debt-to-equity agreement has all been converted into Bitcoin, establishing a financial restructuring goal of "low debt, high holdings."

Hong Kong Financial Services and the Treasury Bureau: Currently exploring arrangements and feasibility for upgrading the digital currency wallet to increase usage limits and expand application scenarios

The Secretary for Financial Services and the Treasury of Hong Kong, Xu Zhengyu, introduced the development of stablecoins and digital renminbi in Hong Kong, stating:The People's Bank of China and the Hong Kong Monetary Authority are working closely together to optimize the arrangements for digital renminbi. Currently, the number of mainland operating institutions responsible for operating digital wallets has increased from four to five, while the number of local Hong Kong banks participating in the "Faster Payment System" for digital wallets has increased from 17 to 18. The number and usage of digital wallets opened with Hong Kong mobile numbers have shown stable growth.According to the People's Bank of China, as of the end of January 2026, approximately 80,000 digital wallets have been registered. The Hong Kong Monetary Authority and local banks have been actively promoting the application of digital renminbi in Hong Kong. Currently, the number of local merchant retail points accepting digital renminbi has increased from about 300 to approximately 5,200, covering chain retail stores, hotels, travel agencies, restaurants, convenience stores, and supermarkets.The People's Bank of China and the Hong Kong Monetary Authority are exploring the arrangements and feasibility for upgrading digital wallets to increase their usage limits, expand application scenarios, and enhance user experience. As the policies and technical details involved still require in-depth discussion, specific plans and timelines are yet to be finalized.Stablecoins and central bank digital currencies (such as digital renminbi), as well as other new payment tools, including tokenized deposits and cross-border connections for rapid payment systems, have the potential to be applied in transaction settlements, local or cross-border payments, and other scenarios, provided they comply with relevant legal and regulatory requirements.These payment tools each have their own characteristics and varying degrees of maturity, and their future development prospects are largely determined by market forces. The government and financial regulatory agencies will continue to explore the potential and application scenarios of various new payment tools, better leveraging their synergies to address more pain points in the real economy.
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