lit

As the first centralized exchange (CEX) to connect with Polymarket, Gate's data shows that in the prediction event "How will the Federal Reserve's April interest rate decision change?", the market estimates the probability of interest rates remaining unchanged at a high of 99%. Currently, the overall sentiment in the macro market is cautious, with most participants expecting to maintain a wait-and-see stance in this month's meeting, awaiting more economic data guidance. Keeping interest rates unchanged helps stabilize market liquidity and risk appetite, and various assets, including stock indices and commodities, are expected to attract investor interest. Gate has a comprehensive layout of traditional asset categories, covering the widest range in the network.In addition, users can directly access the prediction market through the Gate App, entering the Polymarket page from the platform's homepage Alpha and using USDT in their exchange account to participate in event predictions. This integration marks a key step for Gate in the fusion of the crypto trading ecosystem and prediction markets, also bringing users a more open and diverse market participation experience.

According to Jinshi reports, CME's "Fed Watch" shows that the probability of the Federal Reserve raising interest rates by 25 basis points in April is 0.5%, while the probability of keeping rates unchanged is 99.5%. In addition, the probability of the Federal Reserve cumulatively cutting rates by 25 basis points by June is 1.4%, the probability of keeping rates unchanged is 98%, and the probability of cumulatively raising rates by 25 basis points is 0.5%.

According to Hyperbridge's official disclosure, the loss from the Token Gateway vulnerability incident has been revised from an initial estimate of $237,000 to approximately $2.5 million, with the increase mainly coming from losses in incentive pools on Ethereum, Base, BNB Chain, and Arbitrum.The attacker extracted about 245 ETH from the relevant contracts and then bypassed the MMR proof verification mechanism by forging cross-chain messages, minting 1 billion bridged DOT and selling them into a thinly traded market. Currently, some of the stolen funds have been traced on-chain to Binance, and Hyperbridge is collaborating with Binance's compliance team and law enforcement agencies for an investigation.Native DOT of Polkadot and products like Intent Gateway are unaffected, while the Token Gateway and the bridged DOT contracts on the four affected EVM chains remain suspended. The MMR verification logic patch is undergoing external audit, and the bridging functionality will be restored after the audit is completed.

Yili Hua posted on platform X, acknowledging that he is very ordinary yet important. Whether in the classical industry or entering the cryptocurrency space, we have always focused on primary investment Liquid Capital & investment bank Liquid Digital and secondary trading Trend Research (crypto) & Trend Investment (classical). Although operating projects and exchanges are very profitable, our energy and capabilities are indeed limited, leaving us only to envy and be jealous.In 2018, we incubated a market maker, but because the team kept the profits for themselves and left the losses to us, we were left battered and bruised. After exiting in 2019, we have not deeply participated in market making again; at most, we have seen some good trading teams and made some investments. Conspiracy theories are always the most popular, but I am not a hexagonal warrior; where would I have the ability and energy to manage projects? The exchanges are very clear about this.

OKX Boost and RootData announced a partnership to engage in deep collaboration around the standards for high-quality industry projects, aiming to enhance the transparency and overall quality of crypto market projects.It is reported that OKX Boost is a premium project screening channel launched by OKX Wallet in September last year, designed to discover potential projects based on real DEX data and incentivize real trading users. RootData, as a leading Web3 asset data platform, has long been committed to building a highly credible Web3 database and has launched a series of products such as the "Transparency Ranking" to continuously promote information transparency in the industry.In this collaboration, RootData will work with ChainCatcher to provide transparency review and quality assessment support for OKX Boost and projects launched on OKX, helping to further enhance project screening standards and information disclosure levels; at the same time, RootData will also improve its database and data processing model through OKX Boost.

Gate, as the first centralized exchange to connect to Polymarket, shows that the probability of a closing market value forecast of over $2 trillion for the SpaceX IPO is about 46%, making it the highest probability option currently.It is reported that Gate has launched the first phase of the Pre-IPOs project, SpaceX (SPCX). The subscription for this phase of SpaceX (SPCX) will be open from April 20, 2026, 18:00 to April 22, 18:00 (UTC+8), supporting participation in both USDT and GUSD. After the subscription is completed, the SPCX asset certificates are expected to be distributed before April 22, 22:00 (UTC+8) and will enter pre-market trading in a 100% unlocked form, with pre-market trading starting at April 24, 18:00 (UTC+8). The total subscription amount is 33,900 SPCX, with a total value of approximately $20.01 million, a unit price of $590, corresponding to an implied valuation of about $1.4 trillion.In terms of participation mechanism, Gate Pre-IPOs adopts "average locked amount per hour" for allocation, emphasizing early participation weight. The minimum participation threshold is 100 USDT, and no handling or custody fees are charged. Gate Pre-IPOs will continue to focus on early participation opportunities for high-quality projects before listing, providing users with a new entry point to access global quality assets.

According to Jinshi reports, ECB board member Müller stated that the possibility of an interest rate adjustment at the April meeting cannot be ruled out.

The newly established political action committee in the crypto industry, Fellowship PAC, has raised approximately $11 million, with $10 million coming from Cantor Fitzgerald and $1 million from Anchorage Digital. It has spent about $3 million on political advertising, with this portion of the expenses paid to Nxum Group, which was co-founded by Tether US CEO Bo Hines.The PAC primarily supports Republican candidates and invests funds in congressional and state-level elections. Although the organization has ties to Tether executives, its main funding sources are financial institutions, and it is currently unclear whether Tether can directly participate in related political donations.

According to Cointelegraph, Chicago-based cryptocurrency derivatives exchange Bitnomial has launched Injective monthly futures contracts, marking the first entry of the Injective token into the regulated derivatives market in the United States. The contract is settled in INJ, expires monthly, and allows traders to gain price exposure without holding the underlying asset, with all cryptocurrencies or USD available as collateral through Bitnomial.Institutional clients can trade the futures immediately, while retail trading is expected to open in the coming weeks through Bitnomial's Botanical platform. Bitnomial also plans to introduce INJ perpetual futures and options.Analysts state that the launch of the Injective futures contracts will begin a six-month trading record, which is expected to support the application for a spot ETF. Previously, Canary Capital submitted a staking-based INJ ETF application to the SEC.

According to Jinshi News, CME's "Fed Watch" shows that the probability of the Federal Reserve raising interest rates by 25 basis points in April is 1.6%, while the probability of keeping rates unchanged is 98.4%. By June, the probability of a cumulative rate cut of 25 basis points is 0%, the probability of keeping rates unchanged is 98%, and the probability of a cumulative rate increase of 25 basis points is 2%.

Cantor Fitzgerald donated $10 million to the political action committee Fellowship PAC, which is chaired by Tether's U.S. executive Jesse Spiro.Fellowship PAC was established in 2025 and has received over $100 million in committed funding, aimed at supporting candidates who promote friendly regulation of digital assets. The organization has previously invested over $1 million in advertising support for multiple elections. Cantor has a close relationship with Tether, having provided custodial services for its stablecoin reserves since 2021, and this donation further strengthens their collaboration on policy matters. In addition to Cantor, institutions like Anchorage Digital have also participated in donations. Industry insiders believe that as the regulatory battle intensifies, the crypto industry is continuously increasing its political investments in Washington to seek a clearer and more enforceable regulatory framework.

According to Decrypt, U.S. Senator Warren recently expressed concerns about Musk's planned payment platform X Money, stating that it could pose risks to consumer protection, national security, and the stability of the financial system.Warren pointed out that after acquiring and reshaping X, Musk is pushing it to become a "super app" that covers "all aspects of users' financial lives," potentially even replacing the traditional banking system. She questioned the performance of the X platform in terms of security and content governance, believing that this undermines its credibility in entering the consumer finance sector.Additionally, Warren criticized the current regulatory environment for becoming more lenient, including the "GENIUS Act" promoted by the Trump administration, which provides a "special pathway" for private companies to issue stablecoins, potentially weakening necessary regulatory constraints.

According to Arkham monitoring, Dragonfly received 55.8 million LIT from Lighter. Analysis indicates that this may be the investor token share of Dragonfly, which will be locked for 1 year and will be unlocked in phases after the TGE. It is expected that these tokens will not be liquid again before December 30, 2026.

According to on-chain analysis platform Arkham (@arkham), attackers exploiting the Bridged Polkadot vulnerability have transferred all stolen funds into Tornado Cash, involving an amount of approximately $269,000.

According to CriptoNoticias, an independent security researcher disclosed a prompt injection vulnerability in Coinbase AgentKit, allowing attackers to induce the AI agent to execute unauthorized token transfers through malicious commands, without the need for human confirmation.The vulnerability has been validated through actual transactions on the Base Sepolia test network. Additionally, the researcher pointed out that the vulnerability also exposes the infinite approval process for ERC-20 tokens, as well as access to remote servers within the same execution context of the agent, extending the risk beyond just wallet depletion; however, the report did not detail which specific infrastructures might be affected.The vulnerability was submitted to the Coinbase bug bounty program in February and was officially validated, ultimately classified as medium severity and a bounty of $2,000 was paid. However, the researcher emphasized that the actual impact of the vulnerability is far greater than the official rating.

Polymarket's latest data shows that the market bets on the probability of BTC reaching $80,000 before May 1 of this year is 32%, the probability of reaching $85,000 is 8%, and the probability of falling to $65,000 is 22%.

According to Jinshi reports, former U.S. Treasury Secretary Yellen stated that Federal Reserve Chair nominee Kevin Warsh lacks "credibility" in advocating for interest rate cuts.

OpenAI announced the launch of the GPT-5.4-Cyber model, which is fine-tuned from GPT-5.4 for cybersecurity scenarios, reducing the refusal limits on security-related requests under specific conditions to support specialized operations such as binary reverse engineering.According to the introduction, the model is only available to vetted security vendors, corporate security teams, and researchers through the "Trusted Access for Cybersecurity" (TAC) program. OpenAI stated that the relevant layered mechanism will limit the scope of model usage and impose additional constraints on access in low visibility scenarios.

According to Jinshi reports, CME's "Fed Watch" shows that the probability of the Federal Reserve raising interest rates by 25 basis points in April is 1.6%, while the probability of keeping the rates unchanged is 98.4%. By June, the cumulative probability of a 25 basis point rate cut is 1.6%, the probability of keeping the rates unchanged is 96.9%, and the cumulative probability of a 25 basis point rate hike is 1.5%.