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QCP Capital: The current surge in Bitcoin is mainly driven by spot funds, but the current market structure still has vulnerabilities

QCP Capital released the latest market analysis stating that BTC has broken through the previous trading range of $82,500 to $85,700 that lasted for a week, reaching a high of $86,913 during the day, the highest since September 23. It is currently trading around $85,900, up 14.6% from the low of $74,968 on September 15. QCP pointed out that during this round of increase, the annualized funding rate for perpetual contracts was only 5.4%, indicating that the market was mainly driven by spot funds rather than leveraged trading. QCP believes that this round of BTC's rise diverges from traditional macro market signals. In September, the yield on the 30-year U.S. Treasury bond rose to 5.62%, and the 10-year yield reached 5.29% at one point, while gold recorded its worst month of the year. Although rising real interest rates typically put pressure on gold and risk assets, BTC still rose.QCP believes that this market trend is more consistent with concentrated capital trading driven by institutional fund inflows, regulatory catalysts, and technical improvements, rather than purely a currency depreciation trading logic. Regarding institutional funds and regulatory factors, the U.S. Bitcoin spot ETF recorded net inflows of approximately $3.5 billion and $2.6 billion in August and September, respectively. QCP noted that the innovative exemption policy released by the U.S. SEC on September 17 provided a new regulatory catalyst for the market, but since the CLARITY Act failed to pass in the Senate earlier, market structure legislation may be delayed until 2027. Therefore, current regulatory support comes more from the administrative level, and long-term policy certainty remains limited.In the options market, yesterday's options trading nominal amount was approximately $2.5 billion, involving 54 transactions with a nominal amount exceeding $5 million each. Among them, one client sold in batches call options expiring on October 30 with a strike price of $90,000, totaling over 4,000 contracts with a nominal amount of $346 million; at the same time, they actively bought call options with the same strike price expiring on November 27. QCP believes that this operation reflects that some traders are rolling their positions from October to November to position for the U.S. midterm elections, quarterly Treasury refinancing, and market volatility around the December Federal Reserve meeting.On the macroeconomic front, the Federal Reserve will hold a monetary policy meeting from October 27 to 28. QCP stated that after Federal Reserve official Williams said there was no need to rush to adjust policies further, and with the August core PCE coming in below expectations, market expectations for maintaining interest rates in October have warmed. However, the market still expects an approximately 80% probability of a 25 basis point rate hike in December. The U.S. non-farm payroll report for September, to be released tonight, will be an important short-term test, with the market expecting an increase in non-farm payrolls of 84,000 to 93,000, an unemployment rate holding at 4.1%, and an average hourly wage year-on-year growth rate expected to be 3%.On the technical front, the support level of $82,500 has been tested three times in the past week, while $87,400 is the location of the September high and is a key resistance for BTC to further challenge $90,000. The implied volatility term structure in the options market is in a contango state, with a 7-day implied volatility of 30.3 and a 90-day implied volatility of 37.1; the 30-day risk reversal indicator is approximately -2.5 volatility points, indicating an increase in demand for short-term put protection. QCP believes that although BTC shows resilience in a macro environment of rising real interest rates, the market is still mainly driven by capital flows and position changes, and it cannot yet be considered that macro risks have been eliminated. U.S. employment data, Treasury supply, and the intensive policy events in the coming weeks may still trigger market volatility.

Institutional capital inflow coexists with market deleveraging, Gate continues to expand multi-asset trading capabilities

According to Gate's latest institutional weekly report, from September 21 to 27, the decline in oil prices and the easing of trade risks provided some support for U.S. stocks and crypto assets. However, the yield on the U.S. 10-year Treasury bond broke above 5%, and the high interest rate environment continues to put pressure on the valuations of risk assets. In terms of capital, the weekly net inflows for BTC and ETH ETFs were approximately $2.386 billion and $690 million, respectively, while the supply of stablecoins increased by about $1.59 billion, indicating a rebound in institutional capital and on-chain liquidity.The market trading structure remains differentiated. The weekly trading volume on Gate TradFi is about $100 billion, maintaining a high level overall; on-chain funds are further concentrated in structural opportunities such as USDC and SOL LST. In the derivatives sector, BTC rose 4.06% weekly, but the open interest across exchanges decreased by 12.81%, with funding rates turning negative temporarily, and options open interest significantly contracting, indicating signs of deleveraging in the market as prices rebound.Against the backdrop of continuous changes in capital flows and market structure, Gate institutions are continuously improving the multi-asset trading system, covering spot, contracts, stocks, ETFs, options, and other TradFi assets. They are also promoting API trading, cross-platform execution, and settlement collaboration based on infrastructures like OES and CrossEx, providing support for institutions to participate in cross-market trading and diversified asset allocation.

first_img Anthropic: Zhipu GLM-5.3 has end-to-end network utilization capabilities

On September 29, 2026, the Anthropic Frontier Red Team published a research article authored by Andrew Fasano, Marius Fleischer, Cole McFaul, Robert Xiao, and Tripp Gallagher. The article states that about five months ago, Anthropic released the Claude Mythos Preview through Project Glasswing in a limited manner, as it can autonomously construct end-to-end exploit capabilities; trusted defenders discovered over 10,000 vulnerabilities in critical software based on this, and similar capabilities have now spread to other models.The article mentions that the GLM-5.3 developed by ZhiPu AI (known overseas as Z.ai) is similar to the Claude Mythos Preview, possessing strong autonomous end-to-end exploit development capabilities, but it is released with open weights and lacks meaningful abuse restrictions. In simulated tests, the success rate of bypassing GLM-5.3 defenses using simple methods was about 64% to 100%, while the same methods failed to make the protected Claude model perform harmful tasks; these capabilities can also be used by defenders to strengthen systems.On September 17, 2026, the National Institute of Standards and Technology's Artificial Intelligence Standards and Innovation Center assessed that GLM-5.3 is currently the most powerful open-weight model in terms of network capabilities, lagging behind the U.S. frontier by about four months in its network benchmarks, and Anthropic stated that the capability conclusions are generally consistent.

first_img Satellite communication company Space Network signs a $50 million pre-purchase in the Philippines

Satellite communication infrastructure company Space Network has signed a binding pre-purchase agreement worth $50 million with Philippine infrastructure company HQ Company International Holdings to provide satellite connectivity to the Philippines through the low Earth orbit satellite network Freeport. The signing ceremony was held at SKY 31 in Seoul, attended by Space Network CEO Tae Lim Oh and HQ Company CEO Yongsoo Samuel Cho.According to the agreement, Space Network will provide access to the Freeport network, technical hardware, software, and ongoing engineering support, while HQ Company will be responsible for local sales, customer acquisition, spectrum authorization, and regional service implementation. Cho is the son-in-law of former Philippine President Fidel V. Ramos and has long been engaged in cross-border investment and infrastructure business in the Philippines. This agreement adds to the $100 million agreement signed by Space Network with Vietnam's DETI Technology in June 2026, bringing the total commercial pre-purchase amount to $150 million.Freeport is built and operated by Space Network, currently featuring 4 low Earth orbit satellites, with plans to expand to approximately 230 satellites by the time commercial services launch in 2029. Operators can purchase regional capacity and build their own services on the open network, with nodes settling through on-chain contracts. The related project Spacecoin combines blockchain protocols with low Earth orbit satellites for service pricing and payments within the network.
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