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According to Jinshi reports, European Central Bank Governing Council member Kazaks stated that he would not oppose the market's bets on two interest rate hikes this year.

Polish Prime Minister Donald Tusk stated that a cryptocurrency company linked to "Russian gangs and intelligence agencies" is funding political opponents and influencing domestic cryptocurrency regulatory legislation.During a parliamentary vote on Friday, Tusk pointed out that some Polish politicians obstructing cryptocurrency regulatory legislation are serving the interests of a company named Zondacrypto, which is accused of providing "financial support" to political figures and has ties to Russia. Tusk further claimed that the company sponsored the CPAC (Conservative Political Action Conference) event held in Poland last year, during which former U.S. Secretary of Homeland Security Kristi Noem publicly supported President Karol Nawrocki's campaign. Tusk bluntly stated that the company's funding sources involve not only "money related to the Russian mafia (Bratva)" but may also be connected to Russian intelligence agencies.Meanwhile, President Nawrocki won the election in June last year, with support from former U.S. President Donald Trump. The president's office responded that it does not oppose cryptocurrency regulation itself but opposes the "flawed regulatory model" proposed by the government. This controversy arises amid the political tug-of-war in Poland over the cryptocurrency regulatory bill. The bill aims to align with the EU's MiCA (Markets in Crypto-Assets Regulation) framework, but the president previously vetoed the related bill and blocked parliament from overturning the veto in December, hindering the regulatory process.

According to Coingecko data, several tokens in the BRC-20 sector are experiencing slight pullbacks while still rising. Currently, the overall market capitalization of this sector has dropped to approximately $19.2 million, with a 1-hour decline of 2.7%.Among them: MUBI is currently at $0.001196, with a 1-hour decline of 6.2%; ORDI is currently at $7.11, with a 1-hour decline of 3%; SATS is currently at $0.00000001901, with a 1-hour decline of 5.3%; TURT is currently at $0.0002513, with a 1-hour decline of 15.4%; 1000SATS is currently at $0.00001899, with a 1-hour decline of 3.8%.

According to CoinDesk, Bitcoin is currently priced at $74,700, down 0.4% in the last 24 hours. News of ceasefire negotiations between the U.S. and Iran has boosted risk sentiment, with the S&P 500 index reaching a record high on Thursday. Trump stated that the prospects for a permanent ceasefire between the U.S. and Iran "look very optimistic," claiming that Iran has agreed to abandon its nuclear ambitions, hand over nuclear materials, and reopen the Strait of Hormuz, although Iran has not yet confirmed these concessions.Meanwhile, the market is closely monitoring the structural signals behind Bitcoin's price movements. ZeroStack CEO Daniel Reis-Faria stated, "The funding rate is so negative that it indicates the market is heavily short. If Bitcoin continues to rise in this context, a large number of short positions may be forced to close, further accelerating the price upward." He predicts that if the short base is forced to cover, Bitcoin could reach $125,000 within the next 30 to 60 days.On-chain analyst CryptoVizArt provided another perspective: Bitcoin's "True Market Mean" (TMM) shows that the average cost basis of active holders is currently above the market price, indicating that holders are overall in a state of unrealized losses. Since 2016, consistently falling below this mean has often coincided with Bitcoin's most severe downturns, including the bear market from 2018 to 2019 (with a maximum drop of 57%, lasting 282 days) and the decline following the Luna and FTX collapses from 2022 to 2023 (with a maximum drop of 56%, lasting 339 days).Analysts point out that these two judgments are not mutually exclusive—the short squeeze triggered by the extremely negative funding rate and the structural pressure of overall unrealized losses among active holders can coexist. The former may trigger a significant rise, but ultimately could be absorbed by selling from the latter. The future market direction may depend on whether the U.S.-Iran ceasefire can be sustained after its expiration next week.

According to The Block, Circle CEO Jeremy Allaire stated in an interview with Reuters that there is a "huge opportunity" for the renminbi stablecoin. If Chinese authorities wish to enhance the global competitiveness of the renminbi, stablecoins will become an important technical means for currency internationalization, and he predicts that China may launch a renminbi stablecoin in the next 3 to 5 years.It is worth noting that the People's Bank of China and multiple departments have clearly prohibited the issuance of renminbi stablecoins abroad without regulatory approval as of February 2026. Meanwhile, the regulatory attitude in Hong Kong is completely opposite; the Hong Kong Monetary Authority issued the first batch of stablecoin licenses to HSBC and Anchorpoint Financial (a joint venture of Standard Chartered Bank, Animoca Brands, and Hong Kong Telecom) last week.

According to CoinDesk, Blockstream CEO Adam Back stated at Paris Blockchain Week that Bitcoin developers should advance optional quantum-resistant upgrades as early as possible, even though practical quantum computers are still far from being realized.He pointed out that Taproot's flexible design can support the introduction of new quantum-resistant signature schemes without affecting existing users. Previously, Jameson Lopp and others proposed BIP - 361, which aims to gradually phase out addresses vulnerable to quantum attacks within 5 years and freeze Bitcoin that has not completed migration. Adam Back believes that the Bitcoin community can quickly coordinate responses in emergencies without the need for pre-established freezing arrangements.

CryptoQuant analyst Darkfost stated that the number of large transfers sent to exchanges by wholecoiners (investors holding at least 1 full BTC) has significantly decreased.Currently, the average monthly transfer volume of this type on Binance is only about 6,000 BTC, comparable to levels in 2018, and far below the 15,400 BTC seen in 2021. Globally, the transfer volume has dropped from a peak of 80,000 BTC in 2018 to about 27,500 BTC.Darkfost pointed out that this trend is partly due to the continuous rise in Bitcoin prices making it increasingly difficult to hold full BTC, and it also reflects a profound change in market structure: products like ETFs allow investors to gain exposure without directly holding BTC, while more and more investors are shifting to long-term holding strategies.He believes this means that selling pressure has eased, but it has also led to a gradual decline in the liquidity of Bitcoin supply on exchanges.

Recently, some small-cap altcoins that have been active have collectively declined, with the leading coin RAVE dropping over 23% in the last 4 hours.According to GMGN market information, the meme coin "Binance Life" has dropped 19.27% in the last 6 hours, and "Hakimi" has fallen 16.82% in the last 4 hours.ChainCatcher reminds users that the prices of related tokens are highly volatile, and users should invest with caution.

Polymarket's latest data shows that the market bets on the probability of BTC reaching $80,000 before May 1 of this year is 32%, the probability of reaching $85,000 is 8%, and the probability of falling to $65,000 is 22%.

According to SoSoValue data, the overall cryptocurrency market is experiencing a turbulent and differentiated adjustment, with most sectors declining. The GameFi sector has dropped 5.02% in the last 24 hours, with The Sandbox (SAND) and Axie Infinity (AXS) falling 2.41% and 1.94% respectively. Only the CeFi and Meme sectors are relatively strong, rising 0.40% and 0.23% respectively. Within the CeFi sector, Gate (GT) increased by 2.52%, and Binance Coin (BNB) rose by 0.66%. In the Meme sector, Binance Life continues to surge, rising by 66.27%.Additionally, Bitcoin (BTC) increased by 0.40%, surpassing $74,000, and at one point broke through $76,000; Ethereum (ETH) retraced by 1.28%, breaking through the $2,400 mark during trading.In other sectors, the PayFi sector fell by 0.30%, while SafePal (SFP) rose by 1.60%; the Layer1 sector decreased by 0.53%, but TRON (TRX) increased by 0.96%; the DeFi sector dropped by 0.68%, while the newly launched Genius (GENIUS) rose by 24.72%; the Layer2 sector fell by 1.90%, with Mantle (MNT) declining by 3.45%.The cryptocurrency sector indices reflecting historical market trends show that the ssiAI, ssiSocialFi, and ssiDePIN indices fell by 4.02%, 2.99%, and 2.30% respectively.

According to crypto analyst Yu Jin @EmberCN, suspected ARIA-related addresses concentrated on selling 45.64 million ARIA early this morning, exchanging for about 5.42 million USDT, with an average transaction price of about $0.12.As a result, the price of ARIA dropped from about $1.01 to $0.09, a decline of over 90%, with the circulating market value falling from about $315 million to about $38.5 million. The aforementioned tokens were previously transferred from Gate to the blockchain through 8 wallets three weeks ago.

Venus Protocol announced on the X platform that the isolated pools on Venus have now stopped operating, all pools have been suspended, but user funds are safe, and withdrawals remain open. Users can choose to migrate or withdraw based on whether their assets are on Venus Core.

Today, Bitget, in collaboration with media outlet Rhythm, held an online live broadcast themed "Dialogue with Bitget Executives: A Comprehensive Breakdown of the SpaceX Ticket, from Capital Privilege to Universal Sharing," providing a systematic interpretation of the product mechanisms of IPO Prime and preSPAX.Ken, the product head of Bitget IPO Prime, stated that IPO Prime is not the traditional "new coin listing," but rather utilizes digital tokens issued by the regulated issuer Republic to transform the high-threshold, low-liquidity non-standard assets of the primary market into priceable, tradable, and exit-able digital products.Ken pointed out that Pre-IPO opportunities have long been scarce, not only because the targets are of high quality but also due to the inherent high thresholds, strong circles, and low liquidity issues in the primary market. The launch of IPO Prime by Bitget aims to provide users with the opportunity to access potential economic benefits before the listing of unicorn companies through clearer product design and trading mechanisms within a compliant framework.The first phase of the preSPAX launched is an important attempt in this direction, focusing on providing users with a more flexible and tradable participation path.He further stated that from crypto trading to UEX, and now extending to the primary market, Bitget has been continuously pushing the boundaries of trading. In the future, the platform hopes to do more than just list more assets; it aims to further bridge the previously fragmented opportunity structures between different markets, allowing users to access earlier, higher quality, and more diverse global asset opportunities within the same system.

In the 13th anniversary open letter, Gate founder and CEO Dr. Han pointed out that the crypto industry is undergoing a structural reshaping driven by multiple variables. Technological evolution, improvements in regulatory systems, changes in the macro environment, and a broader user base are all working together to influence the industry's development path, continuously raising the overall threshold.Dr. Han stated that this change is reflected not only in compliance and technical requirements but also in the higher demands for platform system capabilities and long-term investment; as the threshold rises, resources and space are accelerating towards participants who possess long-term judgment and sustained investment capabilities, and long-termists will gain more certain growth opportunities in the new cycle.As a global leading crypto asset trading platform, Gate always regards security and transparency as the cornerstone of development, being the first to introduce a 100% reserve proof scheme and continuously expanding its global compliance footprint. Currently, multiple entities under Gate have obtained or completed relevant regulatory registrations, license applications, authorizations, or approvals in jurisdictions such as Malta, Cyprus, the Bahamas, Japan, Australia, and Dubai. At the same time, the platform deeply integrates AI innovative technology, building an ecosystem that covers multi-asset allocation and full-scenario services, driving the industry towards a smarter and more sustainable future.

Liquid Capital (formerly LD Capital) founder Yi Lihua stated that peace negotiations typically move from disagreement to consensus. The motivation for continued warfare among all parties is weakening under the current circumstances, and the conflict may gradually come to an end. "We still insist that the war will end; neither side has any reason to continue fighting. Waiting for a rebound without taking profits, the moment an agreement is reached will be a bullish signal."He pointed out that, from a medium to long-term perspective, the market is generally waiting for a potential large-scale financial crisis. There are signs of defensive positioning on the funding side, such as large capital holding a high proportion of cash and sovereign entities increasing their gold holdings. In this context, if a crisis occurs again, it will be a key moment to test whether Bitcoin possesses the attributes of a safe-haven asset, and it may also present significant opportunities for low-position allocations.In addition, Yi Lihua believes that AI technology is bringing a new round of opportunities for outstanding entrepreneurs. A small number of teams can create global products, reducing financing and organizational management costs. Especially experienced serial entrepreneurs should seize this "AI Age of Exploration."

According to CoinDesk, after selling 70% of its Bitcoin holdings, there are reports that the Kingdom of Bhutan may have stopped or slowed down its Bitcoin mining activities, in stark contrast to the actions of other major institutions and sovereign nations that are increasing their holdings in cryptocurrencies and gold (El Salvador's current Bitcoin holdings have exceeded 7,618 coins).It is reported that due to economic pressure, its hydropower is currently used more for selling electricity to neighboring India rather than for Bitcoin mining. Additionally, the decline in Bitcoin prices, the increase in network difficulty, and halving pressure are all squeezing the profit margins for mining.As of now, the national sovereign wealth fund managing Bhutan's Bitcoin assets, Druk Holding and Investments, has not publicly commented on the status of fund transfers or its mining operations.

According to Politico, three U.S. senators are questioning Trump's use of a luncheon event as bait to promote the purchase of TRUMP coins by "catering" to participants.Senators Elizabeth Warren, Adam Schiff, and Richard Blumenthal have written to the event organizers requesting relevant documents to understand Trump's role in the planning, promotion, and potential profits of the April 25 event at Mar-a-Lago. The event is limited to the top 297 investors holding TRUMP tokens.Notably, Trump is also scheduled to attend the White House Correspondents' Association dinner in Washington that day, raising questions about whether he can participate in both events. The event terms also state that Trump "may not be able to attend." The senators pointed out that the organizers are still using "access to the president" as a promotional point despite doubts about Trump's attendance, effectively encouraging the purchase of the Meme coins he issued, thereby profiting Trump and his family.

The Chicago Mercantile Exchange (CME) Bitcoin futures market continues to weaken. Data shows that the average daily open interest (OI) in March 2026 has fallen below $8 billion, further dropping to about $7.2 billion in early April, marking a new low since February 2024, and it has declined for the fifth consecutive month. Meanwhile, the monthly trading volume in March fell to $163 billion, nearly halving from the peak of January 2025.Market analysis indicates that this round of decline is primarily due to large-scale liquidations of "basis trades." Previously, institutions profited from price differences by buying spot ETFs and shorting CME futures, which was the core driving force behind the growth of CME positions. However, as Bitcoin prices have retreated from a high of $120,000 to below $70,000, the annualized basis yield has significantly compressed. Currently, the basis yield of about 5% is close to the risk-free interest rate level of about 4.5%. When factoring in funding costs and counterparty risks, the arbitrage space has essentially disappeared, prompting leveraged funds to withdraw.

Crypto analyst Ali published a lengthy analysis on the X platform, pointing out that rather than debating whether Bitcoin has bottomed out, it is better to focus on whether the current volatility constitutes a "generational entry opportunity." Based on indicators such as long-term trend lines, on-chain liquidity, and cost distribution, the core "value range" of this cycle is defined.In terms of support, the UTXO Realized Price Distribution (URPD) shows that there is a significant concentration of chips in the range of approximately $63,111 to $70,685, forming the current main support zone; if it falls below $63,111, the market may enter a liquidity vacuum. From a long-term trend perspective, Bitcoin is approaching the key upward trend line of the past decade (approximately $56,000 to $60,000), which historically has often corresponded to accumulation phases before major upward movements.