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According to CoinDesk, Bitcoin is currently priced at $74,700, down 0.4% in the last 24 hours. News of ceasefire negotiations between the U.S. and Iran has boosted risk sentiment, with the S&P 500 index reaching a record high on Thursday. Trump stated that the prospects for a permanent ceasefire between the U.S. and Iran "look very optimistic," claiming that Iran has agreed to abandon its nuclear ambitions, hand over nuclear materials, and reopen the Strait of Hormuz, although Iran has not yet confirmed these concessions.Meanwhile, the market is closely monitoring the structural signals behind Bitcoin's price movements. ZeroStack CEO Daniel Reis-Faria stated, "The funding rate is so negative that it indicates the market is heavily short. If Bitcoin continues to rise in this context, a large number of short positions may be forced to close, further accelerating the price upward." He predicts that if the short base is forced to cover, Bitcoin could reach $125,000 within the next 30 to 60 days.On-chain analyst CryptoVizArt provided another perspective: Bitcoin's "True Market Mean" (TMM) shows that the average cost basis of active holders is currently above the market price, indicating that holders are overall in a state of unrealized losses. Since 2016, consistently falling below this mean has often coincided with Bitcoin's most severe downturns, including the bear market from 2018 to 2019 (with a maximum drop of 57%, lasting 282 days) and the decline following the Luna and FTX collapses from 2022 to 2023 (with a maximum drop of 56%, lasting 339 days).Analysts point out that these two judgments are not mutually exclusive—the short squeeze triggered by the extremely negative funding rate and the structural pressure of overall unrealized losses among active holders can coexist. The former may trigger a significant rise, but ultimately could be absorbed by selling from the latter. The future market direction may depend on whether the U.S.-Iran ceasefire can be sustained after its expiration next week.

According to Arkham monitoring, Dragonfly received 55.8 million LIT from Lighter. Analysis indicates that this may be the investor token share of Dragonfly, which will be locked for 1 year and will be unlocked in phases after the TGE. It is expected that these tokens will not be liquid again before December 30, 2026.

Liquid Capital (formerly LD Capital) founder Yi Lihua tweeted that there is no 100% correct investment and trading; otherwise, one would quickly become the richest person in the world. Over the past year, starting from calling the bottom of ETH at $1450, holding on through the black swan to over $2000, then escaping the top at $4500 before 1011, failing to buy the bottom at $3000, and now insisting on buying the bottom below $2000, even if one is right 4 times, being wrong once can lead to problems. The core of trading is not about being right every time, but rather being prepared for risk control and having strategies to respond to various possible situations.

According to official news, Scroll announced an important proposal regarding protocol and governance operations. The team proposed to dissolve the Security Council and transfer protocol management authority to the Scroll Admin multi-signature address, with the transition expected to be completed within the next ten days.Scroll stated that the costs of the Security Council are no longer reasonable compared to actual usage over the past few quarters, and resources should be better allocated to product development and growth. Scroll will work with key stakeholders to find a new Security Council structure that is more suited to current market conditions.

The blockchain interoperability protocol Hyperbridge disclosed details of the previous DOT attack incident, resulting in a loss of approximately $237,000. The root of the vulnerability lies in the HandlerV1 contract's VerifyProof() function, which lacks input validation and does not verify the leaf_index leafCount, allowing attackers to forge Merkle proofs.Using this, the attacker gained administrator privileges for the DOT token bridging contract on Ethereum, subsequently minting 1 billion bridged DOT (which is about 2800 times the legitimate circulation of approximately 356,000) and cashing out on decentralized exchanges. Hyperbridge stated that it is currently working with security partners to trace the funds, and cross-chain functionality will remain suspended until the investigation is completed.

According to monitoring by lookonchain, the address starting with 0x3386 opened a 25x short position, shorting 6,700 ETH (approximately 14.71 million USD), with an opening price of 2,209.38 USD and a liquidation price of 2,218.7 USD. This means that if the ETH price only rises by about 9 USD, his position will be forcibly liquidated. As of the time of this writing, his position has an unrealized profit of 115,100 USD.

The Chicago Mercantile Exchange (CME) Bitcoin futures market continues to weaken. Data shows that the average daily open interest (OI) in March 2026 has fallen below $8 billion, further dropping to about $7.2 billion in early April, marking a new low since February 2024, and it has declined for the fifth consecutive month. Meanwhile, the monthly trading volume in March fell to $163 billion, nearly halving from the peak of January 2025.Market analysis indicates that this round of decline is primarily due to large-scale liquidations of "basis trades." Previously, institutions profited from price differences by buying spot ETFs and shorting CME futures, which was the core driving force behind the growth of CME positions. However, as Bitcoin prices have retreated from a high of $120,000 to below $70,000, the annualized basis yield has significantly compressed. Currently, the basis yield of about 5% is close to the risk-free interest rate level of about 4.5%. When factoring in funding costs and counterparty risks, the arbitrage space has essentially disappeared, prompting leveraged funds to withdraw.

Binance founder Zhao Changpeng (CZ) recalled in his new book that he was approached in early 2014 to become the CEO of Mt. Gox's China region. This position was facilitated by the head of Susquehanna International Group's China region, originally planned for Susquehanna to provide funding support, Mt. Gox to handle technology, and CZ to manage operations in China, with an approximate 10% equity stake.CZ stated that he subsequently met with Mt. Gox founder Mark Karpeles in Tokyo, but just as both parties were close to signing, Mt. Gox suddenly suspended withdrawals on February 7, 2014, leading to a crisis, and he ultimately decided not to join.

According to Jin Shi's report, Federal Reserve's Goolsbee expressed that he is concerned that the war in Iran will not only slow down economic growth but also raise inflation rates, putting the Federal Reserve in a tricky situation. Goolsbee stated, "What I am most worried about right now is that we have to deal with the impending oil crisis, which will lead to rising prices in the form of stagflation."

AI company Anthropic announced that starting from April 4 at 15:00 Eastern Time, it will prohibit access to third-party tools through the Claude subscription service, including the open-source project OpenClaw. The new regulations require that related features can only be used through additional packages or billed on a pay-as-you-go basis via API.This adjustment means that many developers and teams relying on OpenClaw to build automated workflows will shift from a fixed subscription cost model to an unlimited pay-as-you-go system, significantly increasing overall usage costs. Some developers have indicated that the original usage cost of about $20/month could soar to hundreds or even thousands of dollars.The market generally believes that this move is related to OpenClaw founder Peter Steinberger's recent joining of OpenAI. Meanwhile, Anthropic is accelerating the promotion of its own tool ecosystem, including native integration solutions for Claude, to replace third-party toolchains.It is worth noting that Anthropic has previously tightened third-party access through technical restrictions, updates to service terms, and feature replacements. This policy is seen as a "final blockade" and will be extended to more tools.Industry analysis points out that this event reflects an intensifying trend of "ecosystem tightening" in AI platforms, with leading companies strengthening control through vertical integration. At the same time, the developer ecosystem faces rising cost uncertainties and platform dependency risks, which may further drive some users toward more open alternatives.

According to on-chain analyst @MorenoDV_ in a post on CryptoQuant, the long-term holders (LTH) of BTC are approaching a critical turning point in their adjusted net unrealized profit (NUPL), but the market bottom signal has not yet been triggered.Since the peak on October 6, 2025, LTH profitability has sharply compressed from 58% to 3% over 142 days, reflecting a significant deterioration in investor sentiment and holding structure. However, LTH-NUPL is currently still slightly above zero and has not entered the comprehensive liquidation range necessary for historically forming a market bottom.Analysts point out that true market bottoms in history have formed after LTH holdings have fully turned into losses. The current environment is closer to the late-cycle pressure phase rather than complete liquidation. It is recommended to focus on signals where LTH-NUPL continues to fall below zero, accompanied by long-term compression of price and volatility, as this condition has historically been highly correlated with asymmetric entry opportunities.

The globally oriented Web3 intellectual property (IP) infrastructure project BeatSwap will launch its core product "Space" in Q2. This product is defined as the SocialFi layer in the ecosystem, aimed at directly connecting creators with users and achieving deep integration with other modules of the platform.As a result, a complete user behavior closed loop is formed within the platform: Discovery; Participation; Consumption; Rewards; Trading. The announcement states that the launch of this product marks BeatSwap's evolution towards a full-stack Web3 infrastructure. Through the integration of IP certification and on-chain registration, revenue distribution, incentive mechanisms, and other aspects, the platform constructs an end-to-end closed-loop path, allowing IP rights to complete the full cycle of "creation---usage---monetization" within the same ecosystem.

According to Hurriyet Daily News, the Turkish parliament has removed the tax provisions related to crypto assets during the review of the comprehensive bill.The deleted provisions would have imposed a 0.3% transaction tax on the sale and transfer of crypto assets conducted through service providers and taxed cryptocurrency gains, primarily through withholding at the source. Although these provisions have been removed from the current draft, officials have stated that a revised version may be reintroduced to the parliament in the form of a separate legislative proposal.

According to Hurriyet Daily News, the Turkish parliament removed the tax provisions related to crypto assets during the review of the omnibus bill. The provisions had proposed a 0.3% transaction tax on crypto transactions conducted through service providers and imposed withholding tax on crypto gains.This adjustment stemmed from strong opposition from the opposition parties. Officials stated that the relevant content may be resubmitted in the form of separate legislation in the future.

The Bitfinex analysis report points out that as Trump announced a five-day delay in plans to strike Iranian power facilities and stated that negotiations between the U.S. and Iran are "very smooth and constructive," the market reacted quickly. Bitcoin has maintained its opening position of $67,035 at the beginning of the month this week and is once again under pressure at the lower edge of the $72,000 to $82,000 "vacuum zone." The flow of ETFs further verifies the sensitivity of the market response: on the day the U.S. paused actions, the net inflow of ETFs reached $167.2 million, with IBIT absorbing $160.8 million, marking the largest single-day inflow since March 17, while ending three consecutive days of net outflows after the FOMC.Analysis suggests that the capital flow in the next two to three days will determine whether this rebound is a short-term "relief trade" or the starting point of a new accumulation phase. If the daily inflow of ETFs remains above $100 million, the conditions for supporting the "vacuum zone" may be reestablished; if the pullback deepens, Bitcoin may return to the previous consolidation range.

Elon Musk stated that the planned "increase the exposure weight of creators based on their region" will be paused and further consideration will be given.Previously, X product head Nikita Bier revealed that starting this Thursday (March 26), the X platform will adjust the revenue-sharing incentive mechanism for creators, focusing on increasing the weight of exposure from the creators' regions. This adjustment aims to encourage content that resonates with users in their own country, neighboring countries, and those who speak the same language, while reducing the motivation for creators to specifically optimize traffic for U.S. or Japanese accounts, in order to promote a more diverse content ecosystem on the platform.

YZi Labs transferred 87.5 million RDNT (worth $470,000) to Binance. These RDNT were obtained through vesting unlocks over the past two years, with a value of approximately $3.86 million at the time of unlocking, and now only worth $470,000.