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first_img ARK Invest Digital Asset Research Director: USDe scale is expected to expand to 40 billion USD

ARK Invest's Director of Digital Asset Research Lorenzo Valente published a discussion on the synthetic dollar protocol Ethena: tokenized stocks are changing the landscape in which ENA operates. He stated that the supply of USDe had bottomed out at $3.8 billion and has now risen by about 30%, recovering to nearly $5 billion.Lorenzo Valente: The inverted or low funding rates in the crypto market have forced more USDe collateral to shift towards off-chain yields such as government bonds, with sUSDe's average annualized rate once approaching or falling below SOFR; the market capitalization has remained stable over the long term, and the open interest has also limited the pace of expansion. He noted that basis trading has rebounded to about 20% of the collateral and is growing rapidly, with the U.S. stock market size at approximately $70 trillion, averaging over 8% annual growth. Continued bullish demand is expected to bring sustained positive funding rates, with lower stock volatility and lower hedging costs.He believes this is the first clear path for USDe to expand its supply to over $20 billion, and reaching $30 billion to $40 billion in the next 12 to 18 months would not be surprising, as the upper limit has shifted from crypto open interest to tokenized stock open interest. He also mentioned that Ethena's infrastructure and operations have been validated, and it is expected that Ethena Pay will further drive USDe from the demand side, with the chains, protocols, and vaults supporting USDe's supply and circulation strategies becoming the main beneficiaries.

first_img BPI questions MSCI's non-operating company rules, Strategy and Metaplanet may be removed from the index

According to Cointelegraph, the Bitcoin Policy Institute (BPI) released a research report questioning the process by which MSCI established its latest index rules. MSCI had previously listed companies such as Strategy and Metaplanet as potential "non-operating companies," which could lead to their removal from the index.MSCI first proposed excluding digital asset treasury companies from global indices in 2025, but after facing opposition, it shelved the plan in January and opted for a broader review of "non-operating companies." On August 3, MSCI put forward a broader proposal that could still result in the exclusion of Strategy and Metaplanet. In a report titled "The Invisible Committee of Wall Street," BPI pointed out that metadata shows the presentation MSCI consulted is stored in an internal folder specifically for digital asset treasury companies.According to the proposal, MSCI will first assess whether a company has a significant amount of operational assets before applying five additional financial tests. Its own simulations indicate that Strategy, Metaplanet, and uranium investment company Yellow Cake would be excluded. In 2025, JPMorgan analysts estimated that if Strategy were excluded, it could face an outflow of approximately $2.8 billion. BPI also questioned MSCI's reliance on "operational assets," stating that the term is not a standardized balance sheet category under U.S. GAAP or IFRS. MSCI concluded its opinion collection on September 30 and is expected to announce results on or before October 16, with related changes set to take effect during the index review in November 2026.
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