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XLM $0.1993 -0.10%
ZEC $383.99 -10.91%
BTC $61,134.30 -3.50%
ETH $1,584.46 -9.76%
BNB $576.42 -3.87%
XRP $1.10 -4.18%
SOL $64.18 -5.81%
TRX $0.3207 -1.97%
DOGE $0.0821 -6.32%
ADA $0.1606 -6.92%
BCH $214.45 -11.90%
LINK $7.40 -6.57%
HYPE $60.40 -6.88%
AAVE $62.32 -11.54%
SUI $0.7235 -4.32%
XLM $0.1993 -0.10%
ZEC $383.99 -10.91%

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Analysis: Bitcoin retests the 200-week moving average, with $60,000 as a key support level

Bitcoin fell below $64,000 again after the U.S. stock market opened on Thursday, with a weekly decline of 13.5%, marking the worst single-week performance since 2026. BTC previously dropped to its lowest level since early February and retested the 200-week simple moving average. Trader Daan Crypto Trades stated that BTC continued to decline after encountering a bearish retest in the $80,000 low range, remaining in a larger downtrend since last October. He believes that the current market focus has shifted to whether the $60,000 level can maintain support, with the low $60,000 area combined with the 200-week moving average becoming a key area for bulls to defend.Trading resource The Kobeissi Letter pointed out that since October 2025, the total market capitalization of the crypto market has evaporated by over $2 trillion. In the short term, commentator Exitpump noted that every rebound in the Binance perpetual contract order book encounters sell orders, with buying pressure only just beginning to push prices up, leading to more supply appearing above, and sellers still holding control. Trader Rekt Capital mentioned that on June 13, 2022, BTC touched the 200-week moving average during a bear market pullback; and in the 2026 bear market, BTC nearly touched that moving average again on the same date four years later. He believes that BTC's cyclical performance is "incredible."

Grayscale: Bitcoin may enter a recovery period in the coming months, but forming a sustainable bottom still requires new buying support

Grayscale's research director Zach Pandl stated that after Strategy disclosed the sale of 32 BTC on June 1, it triggered a new round of volatility in the BTC market. He pointed out that the scale of the sale itself is not important, as Strategy still holds approximately 840,000 BTC on its balance sheet, valued at about $5.5 billion. However, as one of the largest digital asset treasury managers in the world, its strategic shift puts pressure on market sentiment.Pandl believes that more importantly, the recent volatility affects the price of Strategy's variable rate preferred stock tool STRC. STRC is designed to maintain a price of about $100 per share, with a current dividend yield of 11.5%. If the stock price falls below $100, it means investors are demanding a higher return. Strategy can increase dividends, but this will increase future cash flow obligations and may lead to more BTC sales, further suppressing BTC prices. Strategy's leveraged business model is under pressure, increasing volatility across the entire BTC market.At the current levels of STRC and MSTR stock prices, Grayscale believes that Strategy's ability to continue accumulating more BTC is limited. However, Grayscale believes that in the long term, reducing the BTC on the leveraged digital asset treasury balance sheet and allowing more BTC to be distributed across diversified corporate balance sheets will benefit the health of the Bitcoin ecosystem. But before a sustainable bottom for BTC prices is formed, other buyers need to enter the market. Grayscale expects BTC prices to recover in the coming months, but in the short term, BTC's performance may lag behind other segments of the crypto market that directly benefit from regulatory clarity.

ARK Invest: The Starlink business alone is enough to support SpaceX's nearly $2 trillion IPO valuation

According to CNBC, ARK Invest's Chief Futurist Brett Winton stated that SpaceX's upcoming IPO could become one of the most significant stock offerings in history, with its satellite internet business Starlink alone being sufficient to support a valuation of nearly $2 trillion.SpaceX has set the IPO price at $135 per share, planning to list on Nasdaq on June 12, with a pre-IPO valuation of approximately $1.77 trillion. The company plans to sell 555.6 million shares, raising about $75 billion, and underwriters may also purchase an additional 83.33 million shares at the IPO price, corresponding to about $11.2 billion. After the IPO is completed, Musk will hold over 82% of the voting control.Winton noted that SpaceX's growth prospects are not limited to launch services but are closely tied to the rapid expansion of AI. ARK estimates that by 2030, the combined enterprise value of companies developing and operating foundational AI models could reach $15 trillion to $20 trillion.Winton stated that investors typically focus on SpaceX's reusable rockets, but Starlink is the main driver of ARK's valuation logic. He mentioned that the current satellite constellation of Starlink can provide approximately 500 Tbps of bandwidth, generating annual revenue of about $13 billion. With the Starship rocket coming into operation, SpaceX can significantly reduce launch costs and deploy more satellites at a faster pace.
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