BTC $62,998.88 +0.20%
ETH $1,878.76 +0.20%
BNB $606.69 -0.48%
XRP $1.00 +0.03%
SOL $75.37 +0.44%
TRX $0.3309 -0.33%
DOGE $0.0698 -0.13%
ADA $0.1774 -0.66%
BCH $204.00 -0.52%
LINK $9.42 +1.68%
HYPE $57.45 +2.57%
AAVE $85.90 -1.02%
SUI $0.6771 -0.52%
XLM $0.1570 -0.59%
ZEC $486.99 -0.30%
BTC $62,998.88 +0.20%
ETH $1,878.76 +0.20%
BNB $606.69 -0.48%
XRP $1.00 +0.03%
SOL $75.37 +0.44%
TRX $0.3309 -0.33%
DOGE $0.0698 -0.13%
ADA $0.1774 -0.66%
BCH $204.00 -0.52%
LINK $9.42 +1.68%
HYPE $57.45 +2.57%
AAVE $85.90 -1.02%
SUI $0.6771 -0.52%
XLM $0.1570 -0.59%
ZEC $486.99 -0.30%

非農數據公布前,CME 預計美聯儲降息概率已達 99.3%

2025-09-05 11:35:42

ChainCatcher 消息,美國 8 月非農就業數據將於今晚公布,在此之前,據 CME"美聯儲觀察"數據,美聯儲 9 月降息 25 個基點的概率為 99.3%,維持利率不變的概率為 0.7%。

而在 Polymarket 上,降息 25 基點概率相對保守,目前為 88%。

此外,用於押注美聯儲政策動向的衍生品合約顯示,到明年年底,美聯儲將累計降息五次(每次 25 個基點),將聯邦基金利率從當前的 4.25%-4.5% 區間降至約 3%。

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