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花旗:受短債推動,美債收益率曲線料將趨陡

2025-12-15 14:50:39
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ChainCatcher 消息,花旗利率策略師在一份報告中稱,受短債推動,美債收益率曲線料將趨陡。在"牛市趨陡"中,短期利率比長期利率下降得更快。策略師們在一份報告中表示:"由於失業人數增加或勞動力參與率持續反彈,失業率上升的風險越來越大,我們對 2026 年的牛市持趨陡傾向。"

因此,花旗策略師認為,市場應該已經消化了美聯儲今年下半年進一步降息的預期,這將使"腹部"(即曲線的中間部分)保持穩定。"在強勁的經濟背景下,再加上鴿派的美聯儲和對供應的擔憂日益加劇,收益率曲線應該會進一步趨陡。"(金十)

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