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The US-Iran ceasefire boosts market sentiment, Tom Lee says the US stock market's phase bottom may have been confirmed

Due to Trump's announcement of a two-week temporary ceasefire between the U.S. and Iran, market risk sentiment quickly rebounded, and the three major U.S. stock indices saw a significant rebound. The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose more than 1300 points in a single day, marking its best performance in nearly a year; WTI crude oil futures, on the other hand, plummeted over 16%.Tom Lee, head of research at Fundstrat, stated that the current market has confirmed a phase bottom and is moving back toward historical highs. He pointed out that despite the previous surge in oil prices and escalation of conflicts, the stock market did not show a significant decline, indicating strong market resilience, while the ceasefire has become a catalyst for sentiment reversal.He expects that the S&P 500 index may rise to 7300 points within the year, which still has about 7.6% upside potential from the current level, and is optimistic about the subsequent performance of technology stocks, software, energy, and financial sectors. Among them, the "seven tech giants" are seen as the core driving force behind this round of rebound.Several institutional investors also believe that as geopolitical risks ease and oil prices fall, the market has entered a "relief rebound" phase, combined with the approaching earnings season, making the current time a potential window for buying on dips.

The ceasefire between the US and Iran boosts risk appetite, leading to a collective rise in global stock indices

Due to the impact of the phased ceasefire agreement between the U.S. and Iran, market risk aversion has significantly eased, and major global stock indices have generally risen. According to data from the Gate platform, the Asia-Pacific market performed impressively: the Taiwan MSCI Index (TW88) rose by 5.39%, closing at 2,835.36; the Nikkei 225 Index (JPN225) increased by 5.83%, closing at 354.12; the Australia 200 Index (AUS200) rose by 4.97%, closing at 6,338.18.The European and American markets also saw a broad increase, with the Nasdaq 100 Index (NAS100) rising by 3.96%, closing at 24,987.64; the S&P 500 Index (SPX500) increasing by 2.82%, closing at 6,759.58; the Dow Jones Industrial Index (US30) rising by 2.46%, closing at 47,742.26; and the Russell 2000 Index (US2000) increasing by 4.29%, closing at 2,635.59. In Europe, the German DAX 40 Index (GER40) rose by 5.78%, closing at 28,214.80; and the UK FTSE 100 Index (UK100) increased by 3.50%, closing at 14,338.18.At the same time, the rise in market risk appetite has led to a decline in volatility, with the VIX Index (VIXUSDT) falling by 5.27%, closing at 23.305, and the Gold Volatility Index (GVZ) also dropping by 3.48%, closing at 36.08. Overall, the easing of geopolitical tensions has significantly boosted global stock market performance, with funds accelerating their return to risk assets.
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