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Bullish Q2 financial report: Net loss of 280 million USD, digital asset trading volume of 32.6 billion USD

According to GlobeNewswire, the cryptocurrency asset trading platform Bullish announced its financial performance for the second quarter of 2026. The company stated that as the global securities market gradually migrates to public chains, Bullish is planning to build a complete issuer-supported tokenized securities service system around issuance, listing, trading, and tracking.Bullish CEO Tom Farley stated that the global securities market, which is nearly $300 trillion in scale, is turning to public blockchains, and Bullish hopes to collaborate with issuers to drive this process. Once the proposed acquisition of Equiniti is completed, the company will form an integrated platform covering securities token issuance, listing, trading, and tracking.Financial data shows that Bullish's digital asset sales in the second quarter amounted to $32.6 billion, down from $58.6 billion in the same period last year; the net loss was $280 million, compared to a net profit of $108.3 million in the same period last year, corresponding to a diluted loss per share of $1.78.However, the company's core business performance has improved. Adjusted revenue (non-IFRS) for the second quarter reached $92.6 million, a year-on-year increase of 62%, higher than $57 million in the same period last year; among them, subscription, service, and other revenues reached a record $62.7 million. Adjusted trading revenue was $29.9 million, a year-on-year increase of 24%; adjusted EBITDA was $29.5 million, compared to $8.1 million in the same period last year; adjusted net profit was $14.3 million, compared to a loss of $6 million in the same period last year.In terms of business progress, Bullish stated that the acquisition of the UK fintech company Equiniti is progressing and is expected to be completed in early 2027, still subject to regulatory approvals and other customary conditions. In addition, Bullish's CoinDesk Index continues to gain institutional adoption. Morgan Stanley launched Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Solana-related trading products based on the CoinDesk benchmark index, attracting over $400 million in inflows in the second quarter.In terms of regulation, Bullish has obtained approval from the Gibraltar Financial Services Commission (GFSC) to provide secondary trading services for tokenized securities, becoming one of the first regulated platforms to offer issuer-supported tokenized securities trading.The company has also raised and refined its full-year guidance for 2026, expecting subscription, service, and other revenues (non-IFRS) to be between $225 million and $245 million, adjusted operating expenses to be between $225 million and $230 million, and financing costs to be expected between $52 million and $60 million.

Analyst: The Bitcoin bull market may have started, with multiple technical indicators signaling a bottom

Cryptocurrency analyst Ai posted on the X platform that multiple technical indicators at the monthly level for Bitcoin are releasing bullish signals, suggesting that the current market may have formed a macro bottom. Data shows that the TD Sequential indicator triggered a buy signal on the Bitcoin monthly chart last month. This indicator previously successfully identified the bottom of the bear market in 2022 and is now showing a similar signal again. Additionally, Bitcoin's current price is close to the 50-month simple moving average (SMA). Historical data indicates that since 2014, this long-term moving average has repeatedly become an important support area for Bitcoin and corresponds with multiple market bottoms.Meanwhile, the Chande Momentum Oscillator (CMO) has fallen back to around -71. The last time this indicator reached a similar level was in June of this year, when Bitcoin's price briefly dropped to $57,000. Historically, extreme low levels of CMO often coincide with market bottom areas. Analysts believe that Bitcoin may still oscillate in the range of $60,000 to $67,000 in the short term, but the TD Sequential buy signal, 50-month moving average support, and CMO oversold condition together indicate that a long-term cycle bottom may have formed. The market will focus on whether subsequent prices can break through the oscillation range to confirm a new upward trend.

Arthur Hayes: The burst of the AI bubble will trigger "super printing," driving Bitcoin back into a bull market

Arthur Hayes published a new article titled "Situationship," suggesting that the AI bubble may eventually burst, but its subsequent impact could drive global liquidity expansion and become a catalyst for the next Bitcoin bull market. Hayes believes that the key to determining whether AI is a bubble lies in how investors define AI infrastructure construction. He points out that the market generally views the trillions of dollars in AI capital expenditure as "technology investment" and assigns high growth valuations, but its essence is closer to "real estate investment."He states that the current AI infrastructure construction is actually about building data centers, power facilities, and other underlying assets that support computing power, rather than directly investing in technology companies like Apple. "Financial institutions, private credit funds, and governments may mistakenly believe that investing in AI data centers is equivalent to investing in tech giants, while in reality, it is more akin to investing in highly leveraged infrastructure projects." Hayes believes that the core reason for the AI bubble's burst is not that corporate profits cannot be realized, but rather excessive credit expansion. He indicates that, supported by the U.S. and Chinese governments, financial intermediaries may overbuild data centers, power facilities, and related supply chains, ultimately creating credit cycle risks similar to those of the 2008 financial crisis, rather than a profit valuation crisis like that of the 2000 internet bubble.However, Hayes believes that the long-term value of AI remains immense. He points out that the computing resources operating within data centers will drive the development of "silicon-based life," having a profound impact on human civilization similar to that of the railroad era. Regarding market impact, Hayes expects that after the AI bubble bursts, governments and central banks may adopt more aggressive monetary easing measures, repairing the financial system through "massive money printing," pushing risk assets back into an upward cycle, and ultimately benefiting Bitcoin. Hayes states that the core variable of the current AI cycle is whether the capital market has mispriced AI infrastructure, and this judgment will determine the future direction of the market.

Data: $63,000 has become the current battleground for Bitcoin bulls and bears, as well as an important market support level

According to Glassnode data, around $63,000 is becoming an important support and battle zone for Bitcoin (BTC) in the current market. Bitcoin has been oscillating between $60,000 and $67,000 in recent weeks, with over 3% of the circulating supply of BTC, approximately 515,000 BTC, having a cost basis concentrated around $63,000; additionally, over 362,000 BTC is concentrated in the $61,000 region.Glassnode points out that currently, only the supply density in the $78,000 to $82,000 range is higher than this area, which corresponds to Bitcoin's peak in May. Furthermore, the current price of Bitcoin nearly coincides with the 200-week moving average. Glassnode data shows that the 200-week moving average is currently around $63,657, while the BTC price is about $63,822, indicating a significant historical accumulation and strong cost support in this area.From the 30-day Accumulation Trend Score, all types of investors are currently in a net accumulation state, with retail buying pressure being the most evident; at the same time, whale addresses holding over 1,000 BTC are also continuously increasing their positions, indicating that long-term capital is still being deployed. The $63,000 area has become a key price zone in Bitcoin's short-term market structure, and investor accumulation behavior may provide important references for subsequent trends.
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