clarity

According to BBX data, Bitcoin fell to a new low of $61,300 this year yesterday, putting pressure on the cryptocurrency sector. Key signals have emerged from institutions and the legislative level, with the core dynamics as follows:Michael Saylor, founder of Strategy, Inc. (NASDAQ: $MSTR), publicly stated on June 4 that the current decline in Bitcoin is not due to a deterioration in BTC fundamentals, but rather a "phase rotation" of capital from Bitcoin to AI stocks, SpaceX IPO, and other emerging assets—"Bitcoin is not broken; it’s just temporarily not the main character in the momentum trade." Saylor also reiterated his position of continued accumulation. Previously, Strategy spent approximately $2.01 billion (average price $80,985) to acquire 24,869 BTC in the week from May 11 to 17, bringing their total holdings to 843,738 BTC with a total cost of about $63.87 billion (average price $75,700); currently, BTC has fallen below the cost line of $12,300, and all of the company's holdings are in a state of unrealized loss, but management has not publicly indicated any intention to reduce their positions.JPMorgan Chase & Co. (NYSE: $JPM) reported by CoinDesk on June 4 warned in its latest research report that the legislative time window for the CLARITY Act to be voted on by the full Senate is "rapidly narrowing." The wording discrepancies in the stablecoin yield provisions have evolved into the most critical unresolved obstacle for the bill—banks insist on retaining restrictions on "passive income," while the cryptocurrency industry strives for "activity incentive space." If a compromise cannot be reached between the two parties within this month, the timeline for the Senate to complete a 60-vote approval before July 4 will be completely invalidated; the report also pointed out that the capital siphoning effect from the SpaceX IPO and AI stocks has further suppressed institutions' willingness to allocate to BTC in the short term.

The U.S. cryptocurrency market structure bill, the "Clarity Act," is a "support for regulation, support for enforcement" bill that rebuts criticisms from some law enforcement agencies regarding its inadequacy in preventing financial crimes. As the midterm elections approach, the time window for Congress to pass this bill is narrowing. Senator Cynthia Lummis warned that if progress is not made this year, the bill may not be seriously reconsidered until after 2030. Currently, the Clarity Act still faces multiple controversies, including stablecoin yield arrangements, conflicts of interest arising from Trump-related cryptocurrency businesses, and whether anti-money laundering standards are stringent enough.The latest version also incorporates the "Blockchain Regulatory Certainty Act" (BRCA) pushed by DeFi supporters, aimed at clarifying that non-custodial developers should not be regarded as money transmitters. However, some law enforcement groups and lawmakers are concerned that the BRCA and certain provisions of the bill may weaken the ability to track illegal funds and recover victims' assets. Witt stated that lawmakers have responded to these concerns before the Senate Banking Committee vote and added provisions to strengthen regulatory and enforcement foundations.

U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent stated at a Senate Finance Committee hearing that the Treasury is steadily advancing the establishment of a strategic Bitcoin reserve. At the same time, Scott Bessent urged lawmakers to support the digital asset regulatory bill Clarity Ac and expressed hope that the bill could pass this summer to bring the best practices of the U.S. to the domestic market, making the U.S. the capital of global innovation. Regarding the strategic Bitcoin reserve, Scott Bessent pointed out that although the process is complex, it is moving forward, ensuring that best practices are adopted in the complex process so that it can be sustainable in the future.

According to The Block, the Blockchain Association sent a letter on Tuesday to U.S. Senate Majority Leader John Thune and Democratic Leader Charles Schumer, expressing strong support for the Clarity Act. The letter was signed by 160 former national security and law enforcement officials, emphasizing that the market structure for digital assets is a priority for law enforcement and national security.The letter states that the Clarity Act expands law enforcement and financial crime prevention capabilities within the digital asset ecosystem, including key anti-illegal finance and law enforcement provisions, such as expanding the Bank Secrecy Act and sanctions obligations, and establishing a Treasury-led law enforcement agency and private sector information-sharing mechanism. The Blockchain Association emphasizes that these are not measures to relax regulation, but rather tools to enhance law enforcement. The bill has passed the Senate Banking Committee and is currently awaiting a vote by the full Senate. The Blockchain Association also plans to hold a virtual town hall on Thursday to discuss the bill.

According to the official legislative information website of the U.S. Congress, HR3633------The 2025 Digital Asset Market Transparency Act, known as the "CLARITY Act," has officially been included in the legislative agenda of the U.S. Senate.

Jason Smith, the chairman of the U.S. House of Representatives' fundraising committee, stated that digital asset tax legislation must receive bipartisan support; otherwise, the related bill process will not advance. Subsequently, U.S. Representatives Steven Horsford, Max Miller, Suzan DelBene, and Mike Carey jointly proposed the "Digital Asset Protection, Accountability, Regulation, Innovation, Taxation, and Revenue Act" (PARITY Act). The bill aims to update digital asset tax rules, provide a clearer regulatory framework for the market, while enhancing investor protection and preventing market manipulation.Representative Steven Horsford stated that the bill will help ordinary investors participate more safely in the digital asset market and promote wealth accumulation opportunities. Max Miller believes that the current U.S. tax laws are unable to adapt to the rapid development of digital assets and modern financial technology. Currently, the PARITY Act and the advancing CLARITY Act are seen as important components of establishing a comprehensive regulatory system for crypto assets in the United States.The U.S. Congress released a tax policy discussion draft in March this year and held a bipartisan roundtable in May to discuss the tax framework for crypto assets. The market is closely watching whether the CLARITY Act can be passed by 2026. Analysts believe that if both the CLARITY Act and the PARITY Act are ultimately legislated and combined with the subsequent rule-making of the GENIUS Act, the U.S. crypto industry will welcome a clearer regulatory environment, further promoting Web3 and DeFi into the mainstream financial system.

Paul Atkins, the chairman of the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC), stated on social media, "For a long time, the SEC has been at odds with new technologies and innovations, forcing many entrepreneurs and businesses to turn overseas. That era is over. Under President Trump's leadership, and in collaboration with the U.S. government and congressional colleagues, we are providing the much-needed regulatory clarity for the digital asset market."

Paul Atkins, the Chairman of the U.S. SEC, stated that the SEC has long been at odds with the development of new technologies and innovations, leading entrepreneurs to turn to overseas markets. He said this phase has ended. Under President Trump’s leadership and with the cooperation of government and congressional colleagues, the SEC is providing what it calls the "much-needed clarity" for the digital asset market.

According to CoinDesk, during a recent Senate Banking Committee review, substantial progress was made in advancing the Digital Asset Market Clarity Act, referred to as the "CLARITY Act," which passed into the Senate full review stage with a vote of 15 to 9.Several bipartisan lawmakers emphasized the urgent need for the United States to establish a unified regulatory framework covering digital assets to clarify asset classification, trading platform regulation, and market structure rules, thereby providing long-term certainty for the industry. Angela Alsobrooks pointed out from a family perspective that the younger generation shows a natural interest in digital assets, and the regulatory system should strike a balance between "opportunity and protection" to avoid technological development being detached from regulatory constraints. Tim Scott emphasized that legislation should be promoted from the perspective of economic opportunity and the American Dream, while Cynthia Lummis stated that the legislative process has already shown a clear foundation for bipartisan cooperation.Supporters believe that digital assets have become an irreversible trend, with approximately 68 million Americans holding related assets, but a significant amount of trading still occurs on overseas platforms. The U.S. urgently needs to establish a domestic regulatory system to enhance market transparency and investor protection levels.Analysis indicates that the CLARITY Act is seen as a key complement following the stablecoin-related legislation (GENIUS Act). Without supporting rules at the market structure level, the U.S. may lose its leading position in the competition for digital financial infrastructure. As the bill advances to the Senate full stage, there is widespread attention on whether it can achieve final legislation based on bipartisan consensus to establish the core rules of the U.S. digital asset regulatory framework.

Senator Lummis stated that the CLARITY Act will end the regulatory ambiguity faced by American crypto consumers and the industry.

U.S. Senator Cynthia Lummis from Wyoming stated, "No rules do not mean no harm, but rather mean no recourse," and reiterated her push for the Clarity Act legislation over the years, emphasizing that the bill aims to provide a clear regulatory framework for the development of digital assets within the United States.

Bernstein stated in its latest research report that the recently reached compromise on stablecoin yield in the U.S. CLARITY Act is structurally beneficial for Circle and the USDC ecosystem.The report indicates that the current version of the bill prohibits stablecoin issuers from paying interest to passive holders that is "economically equivalent" to bank deposits, but allows reward mechanisms related to real transactions, payments, and usage behaviors to continue. Bernstein believes this means that Circle's current model, which relies on partners like Coinbase to provide USDC reward programs, will gain regulatory recognition, while also limiting the industry's ability to compete for market share through high yields.Bernstein pointed out that the bill actually reinforces the positioning of stablecoins as "payment tools" rather than "deposit substitutes," which helps protect Circle's current business model that relies on reserve income. It continues to give Circle an "outperform" rating and a target price of $190.Data shows that the total supply of global dollar stablecoins has surpassed $300 billion, with USDT and USDC together accounting for about 97% of the market share. Bernstein noted that USDC's share in on-chain payments and wallet transfers is continuously increasing, with its payment share in the AI Agent payment protocol x402 exceeding 99%.Additionally, Bernstein mentioned that Circle's launched ARC chain has completed a total of 244 million testnet transactions, and its ARC token presale previously raised $222 million, with investors including a16z crypto, Apollo Funds, ARK Invest, and BlackRock among others.However, the report also pointed out that the CLARITY Act still needs to complete several legislative procedures before it can officially take effect, including a full Senate vote with 60 votes and coordination with the House version. Polymarket currently predicts a probability of about 62% for it to pass by 2026.

According to Cointelegraph, White House crypto advisor Patrick Witt stated that the CLARITY Act will meet about 90% of the regulatory needs of the crypto industry.

According to BBX data, last weekend Gemini and BlackRock released Q1 data, with the following core dynamics:Gemini (NASDAQ: GEMI): Q1 revenue of $50.3 million (+42%, exceeding expectations), EPS -$0.93 (better than -$1.03); $100 million BTC strategic investment (1,258 BTC, $14/share); credit card +300%, CFTC DCO license; +17% on May 15.Coinbase (NASDAQ: COIN): -7.6% on May 15 (CLARITY Act sell-off, Polymarket 59%, Warsh Fed uncertainty, Form 144); data security costs of $180-400M hanging.BlackRock (NYSE: BLK) IBIT: Mubadala Q1 13F (disclosed on May 16): IBIT holding of 14.7 million shares worth $566 million (+16%), over $500 million for three consecutive quarters; Al Warda holds another $408 million, with a combined peak of over $1 billion.