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According to Catcher Predict monitoring on-chain data, it predicts significant capital movements in the Polymarket market. A large whale invested $111,705.63 in a single buy for the "Federal Reserve October Decision" event, targeting "No Change." Based on the current transaction price, the latest corresponding win rate for this subject is 82%.

German government bonds have become the primary safe-haven asset in the global bond sell-off due to concerns over overheating in the U.S. economy and the fiscal situation in other parts of Europe. This week, the yield on 10-year German bonds fell by 0.2 percentage points, while yields in countries like the United States and France rose by 0.05 and 0.22 percentage points, respectively.

Nike's U.S. stock fell over 8% in pre-market trading, as the company predicts a decline in annual revenue, with first-quarter sales for fiscal year 2027 falling short of expectations.

Bonk Guy posted on the X platform that Super Inu (SI) has surpassed 60,000 holders within a week of its launch, with over 30,000 new holders in a single day. In the past two days, the on-chain trading volume exceeded 110 million USD, and the cumulative on-chain trading volume in the past seven days is approximately 163 million USD. He stated that no other meme coin has reached similar data during this cycle and in the past year.Regarding the decline in SI's price, Bonk Guy added that SI's market capitalization had previously risen from 3 million USD to 70 million USD and is currently undergoing a very healthy correction. He believes that a market cap of 100 million USD could become the next target of attention and is optimistic about its future performance. According to market news, SI's market cap is currently reported at 34.46 million USD, with a drop of over 22% in the last 24 hours.

The yield on the 2-year U.S. Treasury bond fell by 7.28 basis points during the day, reporting at 4.814%. The 10-year yield dropped by 2.07 basis points, reporting at 5.272%. The 20-year yield decreased by 1.19 basis points, reporting at 5.674%. The yield on the 30-year Treasury bond fell by 0.58 basis points, reporting at 5.633%.

According to Catcher Predict monitoring on-chain data, it predicts significant capital movements in the market Polymarket. A large whale invested $52,934.62 in a single transaction regarding the "Federal Reserve's October decision" event, targeting a "25 basis point increase." Based on the current transaction price, the latest corresponding winning probability for this subject is 34.92%.

Decrypt, a crypto media outlet, announced the launch of The Information Exchange, positioned as an information and financial network, with technology provided by the prediction market platform Myriad, using MYR as a coordination layer, operating on Solana.This network integrates news, data, market prices, probabilities, and direct participation into a single experience. The products include prediction markets, spot trading, perpetual contracts, structured event products, and new financial instruments, some built by Myriad and others connected to third-party protocols and exchanges.Decrypt stated that the cumulative trading volume of Myriad's prediction markets has exceeded $600 million, allowing information audiences to become market participants within the same experience.After merging with Rug Radio, Decrypt has approximately 1.6 million monthly unique users, around 3.7 million monthly page views, and over 73,000 active email subscribers. MYR can be staked for network functions such as information verification and market settlement, and can also be used to access higher API throughput, low-latency quotes, probability data, and execution services.The announcement stated that a portion of the revenue generated from network economic activities will be used for open market repurchases of MYR, supply reduction, staking incentives, network rewards, treasury, and ecological construction. Holders and stakers can benefit from lower transaction costs, enhanced data access, and paid products or services. The products will be launched in phases over the coming weeks and will continue until Solana Breakpoint.

The decentralized trading protocol Osmosis in the Cosmos ecosystem announced that the maintenance mode of the past few months is coming to an end, and active development will resume. The team stated that the first step is to streamline the core product, including simplifying the tokenomics, focusing on the treasury, and enabling the network to act faster when needed.Osmosis proposed three adjustments to OSMO, all of which will be submitted for on-chain governance. First, further reduce inflation, decrease the circulation of new OSMO, and stop injecting newly minted OSMO into the community pool, making the network rely more on actual revenue. Second, destroy most of the OSMO held by the community pool, as well as the OSMO previously allocated from the community pool. Third, the treasury will only provide liquidity for the core liquidity pool, with a complete list to be published before the changes take effect.The team also plans to reduce the active validator set to 30, stating that a smaller set helps with security incident response and chain upgrade coordination, and aligns with a low-inflation model. Osmosis stated that streamlining the protocol is to prepare for future expansion, as it remains the central venue for IBC asset trading, and seeks community input on the direction of the next steps.

Goldman Sachs will adjust its forecast for the Federal Reserve's interest rate hike from October to December.

Analyst Darkfost stated that the demand from Bitcoin retail investors (trading volume of $0 - $10,000) has rapidly disappeared during this round of BTC price increase, with a 30-day change rate shifting from over 17% to -3.5%.

According to the latest stock derivatives exchange ranking released by RootData, possibly affected by macroeconomic uncertainties, the trading volume of the top five exchanges has significantly decreased in the last 24 hours.Among them, Hyperliquid experienced the largest decline, with a 24h trading volume of approximately 2.161 billion USD, down by 28.99%. Gate had the smallest decline, with a 24h trading volume of approximately 776 million USD, down by 13.04%.

According to a report by The Block, CryptoQuant's research director Julio Moreno pointed out that Bitcoin's closing price last week was above the 365-day moving average, confirming the start of a new bull market. However, Moreno stated that after Bitcoin reached an eight-month high of $87,400, several indicators show that upward momentum is weakening, and a market correction may follow.The report noted that the on-chain unrealized profit margin for short-term traders has risen to 33%, the highest level since December 2024. Historically, when profit margins are at similar levels, it often prompts traders to take profits. Data shows that on September 22, Bitcoin holders realized profits of 25,700 BTC in a single day, setting a record for the highest daily profit since 2026; the altcoin market also showed signs of selling pressure. The seven-day cumulative number of altcoin transactions rose to 76,000, the highest level since October 17, 2025. Meanwhile, spot demand continues to shrink, and the growth of futures demand has significantly slowed.After Bitcoin previously reached an eight-month high of around $87,400, the upward momentum has shown signs of fatigue. Julio Moreno indicated that if a correction occurs, the 365-day moving average (around $80,000) will serve as the primary support, followed by the 200-day moving average (around $71,000) and the on-chain realized price for traders (around $67,000). Provided that the support levels hold, this correction is more likely to be a healthy consolidation in a young bull market rather than a trend reversal.

According to Catcher Predict monitoring, in the market prediction event "Federal Reserve October Decision" on Polymarket, the sub-market "No Change" option's probability of "Yes" has experienced significant fluctuations, soaring from 31.5% an hour ago to the current 52.5% (a fluctuation of 21%). Please note the impact of related breaking news.

Due to consumer confidence and JOLTS data, the decline in U.S. Treasury bonds has narrowed.

According to CoinPost, the National Tax Agency of Japan officially launched the first upgrade of its next-generation core system KSK2 on September 24, marking the first upgrade in about 25 years. The new system centers around personal identification numbers (My Number) and corporate identification numbers, achieving unified management of individual and corporate data, and introducing AI technology to enhance the detection of improper declarations.Cryptocurrency traders and investors are particularly affected, as annual transaction reports submitted by exchanges, bank account deposit and withdrawal records, and information exchange with overseas tax authorities (CRS) data have all been included in the key analysis scope of AI.In addition, statements related to "cryptocurrency profits" on social media will also be compared with declaration data, significantly increasing the risk of tax investigations. The National Tax Agency has also integrated horizontal data between corporations and individuals, making it easier to identify inconsistencies in assets and income for investors who purchase cryptocurrencies through private company investments or with funds from gifts and inheritances.Industry insiders emphasize that properly retaining annual transaction reports and accurately and completely declaring them has become an urgent priority.

K33 Research Research Director Vetle Lunde analyzed that in the past 7 days, the total open interest of CME and perpetual contract BTC decreased by 49,000 contracts, marking the largest weekly decline since October 2025, during which market volatility was low and funding rates continued to decline.Unlike previous significant reductions in positions that were accompanied by forced liquidations, this round of deleveraging is more akin to proactive profit-taking, with overall market sentiment trending towards rationality.

Spain has confirmed that cryptocurrency assets stored in self-custody wallets do not need to be declared as foreign assets. Cryptocurrency assets held in foreign custodial institutions must be declared if the holding value exceeds 50,000 euros; however, if they are bought on a foreign exchange and sold entirely within the same year, they do not need to be declared.

The Asian bond market is expected to follow the decline of U.S. Treasuries, as the U.S.-Iran standoff keeps oil prices high, exacerbating inflation concerns and increasing market bets on further interest rate hikes by the Federal Reserve.New Zealand government bonds opened lower, and Australian government bond futures may decline. The benchmark 10-year U.S. Treasury yield briefly rose by 11 basis points to 5.27%, reaching a new high in 19 years; the 30-year yield rose to 5.55%. Morgan Stanley analyst Chris Larkin stated that the market's focus may still be on interest rates and energy prices.

On Monday, precious metal prices continued to decline, with spot gold dropping nearly 3% during the day and spot silver plunging 5%. Rising oil prices have intensified inflation concerns, reinforcing market expectations for further interest rate hikes by the Federal Reserve.Tim Waterer, Chief Market Analyst at KCM Trade, stated that the combination of high bond yields and high oil prices puts pressure on gold. Investors will focus on U.S. employment and inflation data, including job vacancies, the ADP employment report, the PCE inflation report, and the non-farm payroll report.