iea

The International Energy Agency (IEA) monthly report states that this year the global oil supply-demand gap will be larger than previously expected, as the war in Iran has not ended, and the normalization of oil flows in the Middle East has been delayed until 2027, leading to a surge in fuel prices. Inventory plays a key role in market balance, but the buffer is decreasing, and the global refining system is being stretched to its limits.

The International Energy Agency (IEA) has lowered its global oil demand forecast for this year, primarily due to ongoing export disruptions in the Strait of Hormuz and high fuel prices. The IEA expects global oil demand to decline by 1.56 million barrels per day by 2026, reaching 103.29 million barrels per day. It is anticipated that global oil demand will decrease by 4.9 million barrels per day year-on-year in the second quarter, with a recovery in the fourth quarter, increasing by approximately 580,000 barrels per day.

The IEA monthly report predicts that due to the resurgence of hostilities in the Middle East, the oil market will experience a supply gap of 1.8 million barrels per day in the third quarter, a significant increase from the 800,000 barrels per day gap forecasted in July.

The International Energy Agency (IEA) warned on Wednesday that global oil inventories are declining at a record pace, and the ongoing turmoil caused by the Iran war could lead to further spikes in oil prices. In April, crude oil and refined product inventories fell by nearly 4 million barrels per day—equivalent to the combined consumption of the UK and Germany—potentially weakening countries' ability to cope with supply shocks.The report stated: "As importing countries face unprecedented disruptions in Middle Eastern oil supplies, world oil inventories are declining at a record pace. With ongoing disruptions, the buffer space is rapidly shrinking, which could signal future price surges."

According to Nikkei News, Japan has approved amendments to the Financial Instruments and Exchange Act (FIEA), classifying digital assets as financial instruments and prohibiting insider trading based on non-public information.

According to the WSJ, sources say that the International Energy Agency (IEA) has proposed to release its largest-ever oil reserves to lower the soaring crude oil prices caused by the war between the U.S. and Israel and Iran. Officials stated that the amount of oil released will exceed the 182 million barrels that IEA member countries released in two rounds during the Russia-Ukraine conflict in 2022.The proposal was discussed on Tuesday at an emergency meeting of energy officials from the 32 IEA member countries. Countries are expected to make a decision on the proposal on Wednesday. If there are no objections, the proposal will be approved; however, even if just one country raises an objection, it will delay the implementation of the plan.According to Gate market data, WTI crude oil is currently priced at $82.57 per barrel, down 4.58% for the day.