Analysis: Powell's investigation triggered a brief surge in Bitcoin to over $92,000, but continuous net outflows from ETFs and weak leverage demand constrained upward momentum
According to Cointelegraph, Bitcoin briefly rose above $92,000 on Monday due to a criminal investigation by U.S. federal prosecutors into Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell. Analysts are questioning whether the independence of the Federal Reserve might be compromised, which could benefit alternative assets like Bitcoin that are considered scarce.Although this news triggered a brief surge, traders remain cautious overall, primarily influenced by ongoing outflows from Bitcoin ETFs and weak demand for bullish leverage. Even with a recent rebound, Bitcoin is still down about 23% from its peak in October 2025, while gold and silver reached all-time highs in 2026. This divergence in trends has led traders to start questioning whether the narrative of "Bitcoin as a digital store of value" is weakening.The annualized premium of Bitcoin futures (i.e., basis) remains at a neutral to bearish level of about 5%. Generally, when market sentiment truly turns bullish, the premium of Bitcoin futures relative to spot often reaches or exceeds 10%. More importantly, Bitcoin spot ETFs recorded a total net outflow of $1.38 billion over four consecutive trading days.Even more concerning is that despite Strategy increasing its holdings of Bitcoin worth approximately $1.25 billion over the past month, the price of Bitcoin has still failed to effectively hold above $94,000. Overall, the appeal of Bitcoin and cryptocurrencies remains sluggish, as reflected in ETF fund flows and weak demand for Bitcoin long positions. This indicates that the probability of an unexpected surge to $105,000 in the short term is relatively low.