market

Polymarket has launched "Claude developer Anthropic's next round of financing deadline," with the current probability reported at 22% before the end of June; and 81% before the end of December. The event contract rules are as follows: if the specified company publicly and officially announces that it has completed the next round of financing before the specified date (Eastern Time), the market will ultimately be determined as "yes." Otherwise, this market will ultimately conclude as "no." A qualified announcement must clearly confirm that the new round of financing has been completed, which can be through the specified company (such as a press release) or official announcements from its investors, regulatory documents, or consensus reported by credible media.Informal announcements, statements from anonymous sources, or leaks do not meet the criteria. If the specified company is unable to complete the new round of financing due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by other entities, the market will be settled as "no." The primary settlement source for this market will be the official announcements from the specified company, as well as official documents from the company, such as SEC filings; however, credible consensus reporting can also be used. According to ChainCatcher, the Odaily Seer prophet channel continues to monitor the prediction market and has seen changes before pricing.

According to GMGN data, the market value of Hakimi has risen to over $19 million, currently reported at $18.9 million, with a daily increase of over 90%.The price of meme coins is highly volatile, and investors should be aware of the risks.

According to Jinshi reports, Federal Reserve Governor Waller stated that he will closely monitor the market's response to inflation expectations.

According to Jinshi reports, Federal Reserve Governor Waller stated that the current breakeven growth rate in the job market may be close to zero.

According to Jinshi reports, Federal Reserve Governor Waller stated that high inflation and a weak job market will pose challenges for the Federal Reserve.

According to GMGN data, Binance Life's market capitalization has exceeded $410 million, setting a new rebound high, currently reported at $400 million, with a daily increase of over 13%.The price of meme coins is highly volatile, and investors are advised to participate with caution.

According to Gate market data, the US stock market continues to rise, with the Dow Jones Industrial Average up 2%.

Against the backdrop of easing tensions in the Middle East, Iran announced that the Strait of Hormuz is "fully open" during the ceasefire, leading to a rise in global risk assets. Boosted by the news, Bitcoin briefly surpassed $77,000, reaching a nearly two-month high, with an increase of about 5% in the past 24 hours. Major altcoins also rose, with Ethereum, XRP, and Solana recording gains of around 6%.Iranian Foreign Minister Seyed Abbas Araghchi stated that all commercial vessels can pass through the strait during the ceasefire with Lebanon, but must adhere to the "coordinated shipping lanes" set by Iran. The strait accounts for about 20% of global oil transportation and is a critical energy corridor. In traditional markets, the S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite both reached historic highs, indicating a significant rebound in risk appetite. U.S. President Trump also posted on social media that "the Strait of Hormuz has reopened for commercial activities," but emphasized that Iranian vessels may still face blockade measures until the U.S.-Iran agreement is fully implemented.

According to GMGN data, the market value of the ETH chain meme coin ASTEROID has risen to over 30 million USD, reaching a new high of 33.74 million USD, currently reported at 32.28 million USD.Meme coin prices are highly volatile, and investors should be aware of the risks. Meme coins generally lack practical application scenarios and rely more on emotional speculation, so caution is advised when entering the market.

Gate Research Institute recently released a report titled "The Evolution of Liquidity and Trading Strategies for Crypto Leveraged ETFs," which points out that crypto ETFs are gradually becoming key tools for market liquidity. During the phase of rising risk appetite, funds migrate from spot ETFs to leveraged ETFs to amplify returns, but the "daily reset" mechanism also exposes them to significant loss risks in high-volatility environments. Overall, leveraged ETFs are more suitable for short-term tactical allocations in one-sided trending markets rather than long-term holding tools.The report further indicates that there are significant differences in product structure and usage logic between crypto market leveraged ETFs and traditional financial markets, with investors more inclined to seek short-term volatility gains or hedge through high leverage (such as 5x products).Strategies built on trading data from the Gate platform show that focusing on "right-side entry," combined with volume-driven momentum breakout signals, and employing a phased position building, momentum scaling, and strict stop-loss mechanisms, can help achieve a dynamic balance of risk and return while controlling volatility losses.

According to Jinshi reports, most European stock markets rose, with the German DAX30 index increasing by as much as 2% during the day, the French CAC40 index rising by 1.7%, the Spanish IBEX35 index up by 1.5%, and the Italian FTSE MIB index gaining 1.7%.

According to Gate market data, the Iranian foreign minister stated that the Strait of Hormuz is open to merchant ships, causing significant market fluctuations. Spot gold continues to rise, surpassing $4,840, with an intraday increase of over 1%; spot silver has risen nearly 4% today, currently reported at $81.3 per ounce. Both WTI and Brent crude oil experienced a sharp decline, with WTI crude oil plunging 8% today and Brent crude oil dropping 7%. The US dollar index DXY fell more than 20 points in the short term, currently reported at 97.98, with most non-US currencies rising.

Cryptocurrency exchange Kraken's parent company Payward announced that it will acquire 100% of the digital asset derivatives platform Bitnomial for up to $550 million (cash + stock). The transaction is expected to be completed in the first half of 2026, pending regulatory approval.Bitnomial is the first crypto-native platform to obtain all three U.S. derivatives licenses (designated contract market, derivatives clearing organization, and futures commission merchant). This acquisition will help Payward quickly gain a complete compliant derivatives infrastructure, significantly accelerating its expansion in the U.S. market. After the transaction is completed, Bitnomial's clearing and trading capabilities will be integrated with platforms such as Kraken and NinjaTrader, offering products like spot margin, perpetual contracts, and options to U.S. customers, and will be regulated by the CFTC.This acquisition will also expand Payward Services, allowing banks, fintech companies, and brokerages to access the U.S. compliant derivatives market through a single API. Industry insiders believe that with the market warming up and valuations recovering, merger and acquisition activities in the crypto industry are on the rise, as leading institutions are accelerating their transformation into comprehensive trading platforms for institutional clients by acquiring key capabilities such as compliance, custody, and derivatives.

Despite Bitcoin rising to $76,300 at one point this week, market sentiment remains low, with the Fear and Greed Index still in the "extreme fear" range at 21, indicating a clear divergence between price and sentiment. Institutional views suggest that this round of increases is more akin to "valuation repair" rather than a trend reversal. QCP Capital referred to it as a "relief rally," as macro-level inflation, energy, and policy pressures have not fully dissipated.Glassnode pointed out that Bitcoin is still about 5% lower than the key resistance level of the "real market average" at approximately $78,100, and the current rebound has limited depth. The funding structure is also showing divergence. Spot demand and ETF fund flows have warmed up, but profit-taking has increased, and institutional participation remains cautious, with the derivatives market continuing to lean towards downward hedging. Exchange data also shows that demand is more from offshore and retail funds rather than dominated by U.S. institutions. Analysts state that around $75,000 has become a key support/validation level. If subsequent buying cannot sustain, the price may retreat to the range of $70,000 to $71,000.On the macro front, U.S. stocks continue to hit new highs, and oil prices remain high but have not surged further, which has warmed market risk appetite but still carries uncertainty. The market's focus is shifting towards the Federal Reserve's policy path, and the overall environment still poses constraints on crypto assets. In summary, while Bitcoin maintains its rebound, it oscillates near resistance levels, and the market tone remains cautious, with no consistent bullish trend formed yet.

CoinGecko's report on the cryptocurrency industry for the first quarter of 2026 shows that the cryptocurrency market has shifted from a sharp correction to a prolonged "winter," with the total market capitalization of cryptocurrencies dropping by 20.4% ($622 billion), ending the first quarter of 2026 at $2.4 trillion, a decrease of about 45% from the peak in October 2025.The report also states that the market capitalization of stablecoins remains unchanged at $309.9 billion, with a decline in USDT supply, marking the first decrease since the second quarter of 2022.Crude oil prices performed the strongest in the first quarter of 2026, rising by 76.9%, while Bitcoin fell by 22.0% alongside the stock market.In the first quarter of 2026, the spot trading volume on centralized exchanges decreased by 39.1% to $2.7 trillion, with March setting a new monthly low of $80 billion.Solana continues to dominate the spot trading volume on decentralized exchanges, expected to hold a 30.6% market share in the first quarter of 2026.Driven by the demand for all-weather oil trading, commodity traders currently account for about 30% of Hyperliquid's open contracts.

The Hong Kong Stock Exchange today published a consultation document regarding the shortening of the settlement cycle for the Hong Kong stock cash market (the "Consultation Document"), proposing to shorten the settlement cycle from the current T+2 to T+1, and seeking market opinions on the proposal.

According to Coinglass data, the Coinbase Bitcoin premium index has been positive for 9 consecutive days, currently reported at 0.0117%. The buying sentiment in the U.S. market continues to warm up, after being in negative premium for 15 consecutive days.ChainCatcher Note: The Coinbase Bitcoin premium index is used to measure the difference between the Bitcoin price on Coinbase (a mainstream trading platform in the U.S.) and the global market average price. This index is an important indicator for observing capital flows in the U.S. market, institutional investment enthusiasm, and changes in market sentiment.A positive premium indicates that the Coinbase price is higher than the global average price, which usually means: strong buying in the U.S. market, active entry of institutional or compliant funds, ample dollar liquidity, and optimistic investment sentiment. A negative premium indicates that the Coinbase price is lower than the global average price, which typically reflects: significant selling pressure in the U.S. market, decreased risk appetite among investors, rising market risk aversion, or capital outflows.