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BTC $65,520.44 -3.35%
ETH $1,918.51 -6.15%
BNB $611.24 -3.46%
XRP $1.42 -4.56%
SOL $81.67 -4.53%
TRX $0.2795 -0.47%
DOGE $0.0974 -3.83%
ADA $0.2735 -4.22%
BCH $456.74 -6.10%
LINK $8.64 -2.97%
HYPE $28.98 -1.81%
AAVE $122.61 -3.42%
SUI $0.9138 -6.63%
XLM $0.1605 -4.62%
ZEC $260.31 -8.86%

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Kyle predicts that Solana's progress will surpass any period in history, becoming the on-chain cornerstone for complex financial applications

Former Multicoin co-founder Kyle Samani predicts that in the next 18 months, advancements in the microstructure of the Solana on-chain market will surpass any other period in cryptocurrency history. Notable expectations include:Alpenglow: A major upcoming consensus mechanism upgrade for Solana, representing one of the largest protocol-level changes in Solana's history.ACE (Application Controlled Execution): Application controlled execution is a key innovation in Solana's core roadmap.MCL (Multi-Concurrent Block Production): Future upgrades for Solana will allow multiple leaders to propose blocks simultaneously, significantly increasing throughput and reducing latency, while improving transaction inclusion times and censorship resistance.PropAMMs (Proprietary Automated Market Makers): Deployed privately by professional market makers/institutions, using real-time price oracles to update quotes and actively manage liquidity, typically not accepting permissionless deposits.Aggregators: Aggregators like Jupiter and Dflow aggregate liquidity from multiple DEXs, AMMs, PropAMMs, etc., to find the optimal execution path for users, providing the lowest slippage and best prices.Conditional liquidity: Prevents market makers from being front-run, allowing them to offer tighter spreads, ultimately resulting in better trade prices and deeper liquidity.Overall improvements to SVM and the scheduler: Including optimizations for compute units, asynchronous program execution (APE), scheduling algorithm upgrades, etc., making programs run faster, more resource-efficient, and supporting higher concurrency.

4E: The SEC's tone is easing, institutional financing is active, and crypto infrastructure is entering a period of acceleration

According to 4E observations, the latest review priorities announced by the U.S. SEC for the fiscal year 2026 do not specifically mention cryptocurrencies, which stands in stark contrast to the "strong regulation" approach of the past few years. New Chairman Paul Atkins emphasized that reviews should not become a "trap-like" process, shifting the focus to core areas such as fiduciary duties, custody, and customer protection, which the market generally interprets as a signal of a more lenient regulatory attitude.On the market side, Kraken announced the completion of an $800 million financing round, reaching a valuation of $20 billion, and received a $200 million strategic investment from Citadel Securities, providing capital and market structure support for its 2026 IPO. Recently, Kraken has expanded its derivatives business through acquisitions, maintaining growth in trading volume and revenue, with significantly enhanced institutional confidence.In terms of technological development, the Ethereum Foundation proposed the "Ethereum Interop Layer (EIL)," aimed at achieving a unified user experience across L2s, allowing all layer two networks to operate as smoothly as a single chain. Solutions built on ERC-4337 enable users to complete cross-chain operations with a single signature, eliminating the need for bridging or intermediaries, directly addressing the current fragmentation issues of L2s, and may become a key infrastructure direction for the Ethereum ecosystem in the coming years.Traditional finance is also accelerating its on-chain transformation. HSBC announced it will open tokenized deposit services to clients in the U.S. and the UAE, enabling cross-border fund settlements in seconds and 24/7 availability, providing large enterprises with more efficient liquidity management tools. Tether has strategically invested in the Bitcoin-collateralized lending platform Ledn, which is rapidly growing its loan volume in 2025, becoming a leader in the crypto lending space.4E Commentary: The regulatory side shows signs of moderation, institutions continue to increase their stakes, technological infrastructure breakthroughs accelerate alongside the on-chain transformation of traditional finance, and the crypto industry still demonstrates structural resilience amidst short-term market fluctuations. The current level of construction may solidify the underlying foundation for the next cycle.

Analysis: Bitcoin reaches the key milestone of $100,000, the macro environment is unclear but still constructive

Singaporean crypto investment firm QCP Capital published an analysis stating that Bitcoin overnight fell below the key support level of $100,000, driving down global risk assets. This round of decline was mainly influenced by the strengthening of the US dollar and uncertainty in Federal Reserve policies, leading to a general setback in market risk appetite.Macroeconomic pressures quickly transmitted to the crypto market, with US spot Bitcoin ETFs experiencing a net outflow of approximately $1.3 billion over four consecutive days, turning from a significant driving force at the beginning of the year into a short-term resistance. The market is witnessing a phenomenon of weak spot demand coexisting with forced deleveraging, where long positions were liquidated for over $1 billion during the price bottoming period, followed by bargain hunting.The structure of the options market has also intensified volatility, with traders maintaining a net short gamma position near the $100,000 strike price, and their hedging behavior amplifying price fluctuations. Currently, $100,000 has become a key psychological level; if ETF fund flows stabilize, market sentiment is expected to recover quickly.On the macro level, the US government shutdown has affected the release of October's non-farm payroll data, leading the market to rely on private indicators to gauge economic trends. Data prior to the shutdown showed economic resilience: Q2 GDP was revised up to 3.8%, employment growth slowed but productivity improved, and the Q3 GDP Now forecast remained at a high of 4%. High-frequency indicators show that the economy is still experiencing moderate expansion.With unclear policy prospects, the Federal Reserve lowered interest rates by 25 basis points in October but released cautious signals, and the expectation for another rate cut in December has weakened. Currently, the market's expectation for subsequent rate cuts stands at 60-65%; if the quiet period is extended, the likelihood of pausing rate cuts will increase, further supporting the dollar and tightening credit. If Bitcoin wants to restart its upward momentum, it will need to wait for a reversal in ETF outflows and a warming of risk sentiment.
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