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ZEC $260.31 -8.86%
BTC $64,448.62 +0.37%
ETH $1,853.45 -0.11%
BNB $589.03 -0.58%
XRP $1.42 -4.56%
SOL $81.67 -4.53%
TRX $0.2795 -0.47%
DOGE $0.0974 -3.83%
ADA $0.2735 -4.22%
BCH $483.22 -5.08%
LINK $8.64 -2.97%
HYPE $28.98 -1.81%
AAVE $122.61 -3.42%
SUI $0.9138 -6.63%
XLM $0.1605 -4.62%
ZEC $260.31 -8.86%

xpos

Analysis: Approximately $23.8 billion in nominal value of Bitcoin options will expire on December 26, potentially leading to concentrated clearing and repricing of risk exposure at year-end

On-chain data analyst Murphy stated that approximately $23.8 billion in nominal value of Bitcoin options will expire on December 26, covering quarterly options, annual options, and a large number of structured products. This means that the BTC derivatives market will face a "concentration of risk exposure liquidation and repricing" at the end of the year, with prices potentially constrained by structural factors before expiration, but uncertainty actually increasing afterward.From the data, there is a significant accumulation of open interest (OI) at the two closest positions to the current BTC spot price: 14,674 BTC for the $85,000 Put; and 18,116 BTC for the $100,000 Call. In terms of scale, this is not retail behavior, but rather large-scale long-term capital, most likely from ETF hedging positions, BTC treasury companies, large family offices, and other institutions that hold substantial amounts of BTC spot.The Put at the $85,000 strike price indicates that buyers are the "active party," reflecting a strong demand for downside risk hedging at this price level. Similarly, the large accumulation of Call OI at the $100,000 strike price essentially does not mean "the market is bullish up to here," but rather that long-term capital is willing to cede upside potential above this level in exchange for current certainty in cash flow and overall manageable risk.By buying Puts below and selling Calls above, the distribution of BTC returns is compressed within a bearable range. Given that OI has already formed significantly, this $85,000--$100,000 options corridor will create a structural impact on BTC prices before December 26, characterized by "implicit pressure above, passive buffering below, and volatility in the middle range."

Li Feng, co-founder of Moore Threads, has been exposed for his involvement in an ICO project and a dispute over the default of 1,500 bitcoins

According to Foresight News, Moore Threads surged nearly 470% on its first day of listing on the Sci-Tech Innovation Board on December 5, with a market value exceeding 300 billion yuan. However, at the same time, the past controversies of co-founder Li Feng in the cryptocurrency industry have once again drawn attention.The report pointed out that in 2017, Li Feng, along with Li Xiaolai and others, participated in the issuance of a token project called "Malle Go Coin (MGD)." The project raised about 5,000 ETH during the ICO boom, with several team background claims in the white paper being accused of exaggeration and some fund usage being opaque. Under regulatory pressure, the project was renamed "Alpaca Coin." Additionally, in 2018, OKX founder Star publicly accused Li Feng of borrowing 1,500 bitcoins and failing to repay them on time, claiming that legal proceedings had been initiated in both China and the United States.The borrowing agreement presented by Star at the time showed that the two parties first signed the agreement in 2014, and it was renewed in 2017 due to a request for an extension, but ultimately, a default situation still occurred. Due to issues related to cross-border enforcement and the legal recognition of virtual assets, this dispute has yet to reach a clear resolution.
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