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accumulation

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Bitcoin rises to reclaim market focus: companies accelerate accumulation of BTC and ETH

The rebound in the cryptocurrency market has prompted companies to increase their allocation of crypto assets. As the price of Bitcoin rises, Bitcoin mining companies that had actively shifted towards AI businesses have once again become high-beta targets in the BTC market, and the strategy of directly holding Bitcoin on corporate balance sheets has regained market attention. Data shows that Bitcoin rose by about 23% by the end of August, with some mining companies' stock prices increasing by 41% to 67%, outperforming several AI infrastructure companies. The market believes that the U.S. Treasury's expansion of bond repurchases, the White House's positive signals on crypto regulation, and the liquidation of over $1.6 billion in short positions have collectively driven the rise of related assets.In terms of corporate accumulation, Strive purchased 1,800 BTC in the last week of August, costing about $143 million, increasing its total holdings to 23,156 BTC, making it the fifth largest publicly traded company holder of Bitcoin; Strategy simultaneously increased its holdings by 4,603 BTC, with total holdings exceeding 845,000 BTC. Meanwhile, 21 large financial institutions, including Bank of America, Goldman Sachs, and Citigroup, plan to establish a new company and intend to launch a U.S. dollar stablecoin in the first half of 2027, subsequently expanding to other G7 currencies for cross-border payments and digital asset settlements.Regarding Ethereum, Bitmine has continuously increased its ETH holdings for 65 weeks, with the latest holdings exceeding 5.9 million ETH, accounting for 4.9% of Ethereum's circulating supply of about 120.7 million ETH, just one step away from its 5% holding target. Despite the continuous accumulation, the company's current ETH holdings still face an unrealized loss of about $5.1 billion.

Analyst: Bitcoin volatility has decreased by 56% from its quarterly peak, and the market has entered a high compression accumulation phase

On-chain analyst Axel Adler Jr stated in a recent report that the Bitcoin market has entered a significant volatility compression phase. The realized volatility over the past week (30-day moving average) has dropped from about 39 in early March this year to the current level of around 17, with a quarterly decline of over 56%, approaching historical low levels. Currently, the BTC price remains around $73,500, still below the approximately $79,500 200-day moving average. Historical experience shows that extremely low volatility often indicates that the market is accumulating energy, typically followed by a significant directional trend. However, volatility compression itself does not provide directional signals; it merely indicates that the market is about to make a new trend choice.Meanwhile, the Delta indicator, which reflects changes in market premiums (the difference between market capitalization growth rate and realized market capitalization growth rate), has been in negative territory for six consecutive months, further dropping to about -0.0013 in May. This indicator suggests that the growth rate of Bitcoin's market capitalization continues to lag behind the growth rate of realized market capitalization, indicating a contraction in market risk appetite and valuation premium.The current market exhibits a combination of "low volatility + cooling premiums," which is not a typical overheated bull market structure but rather resembles a consolidation phase after emotional cooling. If BTC subsequently returns above the 200-day moving average, and Delta rebounds to near zero, it will indicate that the market has re-entered a risk appetite expansion cycle; conversely, if volatility releases downward and Delta continues to deteriorate, it may enter a deeper risk-averse phase.In summary, Axel Adler Jr stated that the current market direction remains neutral, but the degree of compression is at a high level, and the probability of significant directional volatility in the future is continuously increasing.
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