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ZEC $260.31 -8.86%
BTC $70,740.69 -2.62%
ETH $2,076.78 -2.43%
BNB $645.12 -1.41%
XRP $1.42 -4.56%
SOL $81.67 -4.53%
TRX $0.2795 -0.47%
DOGE $0.0974 -3.83%
ADA $0.2735 -4.22%
BCH $457.98 -0.19%
LINK $8.64 -2.97%
HYPE $28.98 -1.81%
AAVE $122.61 -3.42%
SUI $0.9138 -6.63%
XLM $0.1605 -4.62%
ZEC $260.31 -8.86%

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Wintermute: If the conflict continues, cryptocurrencies and other risk assets may remain under pressure

According to the market analysis report released by Wintermute, the military strikes by the United States and Israel against Iran have triggered a risk-averse sentiment in the market, causing the price of Bitcoin to drop to $63,000 before rebounding to around $67,000. The military operation, code-named "Epic Fury," began last Saturday evening, targeting Iranian military facilities and reportedly resulting in the deaths of Iran's supreme leader and senior officials. The conflict has lasted for three days, with the Strait of Hormuz effectively closed and airspace in the Gulf region shut down, showing an escalation rather than a de-escalation of tensions.Macroeconomic pressures are mounting: oil prices surged by 9%, briefly surpassing $80; analysts have raised their Brent crude oil forecast to $100; gold prices approached $5,400, adding about $1 trillion in market value within hours; the stock market opened significantly lower, with the Dow Jones Industrial Average dropping over 500 points at one point; the VIX fear index reached its highest level since 2026.In the cryptocurrency market, despite over $1 billion in inflows into ETFs last week, ending five consecutive weeks of outflows, there has still been a net outflow of about $4.5 billion year-to-date, and institutional over-the-counter trading activity remains notably sluggish. The volatility indicator DVOL surged from the 30-40 range to about 55, with the options market anticipating a daily volatility of 2.5-3%. Wintermute's analysis suggests that if the conflict continues and keeps energy prices high, it could maintain elevated inflation levels and delay the Federal Reserve's interest rate cuts, thereby exerting broader pressure on risk assets such as cryptocurrencies.

UniSat: Will firmly support the development of the Bitcoin mainnet ecosystem and continue to invest in the infrastructure construction of Ordinals, Runes, and brc-20

UniSat officially stated on social media that the team has noticed recent changes in the Bitcoin ecosystem (Magic Eden will close its Bitcoin and EVM markets). However, for UniSat, it will continue to firmly support the development of the Bitcoin mainnet ecosystem and will keep investing in the infrastructure for Ordinals, Runes, and brc-20.The following phased adjustments and upgrades will be implemented in the future: UniSat Marketplace: gradually lowering the market participation threshold. Starting from March 1, 2026, UniSat Marketplace will implement a 90-day zero service fee policy across the platform. UniHexa: expanding the current invitation round. Next week, the early access invitation scope for UniHexa will be expanded. UniHexa is a unified on-chain exchange service for brc-20 and Runes. brc-20: a technical discussion on single-step transfers will soon begin. The team will soon share detailed technical discussions on implementing brc-20 single-step transfers on the Bitcoin mainnet. For developers: UniSat API upgrade. The UniSat API is expected to be upgraded to a fully functional MCP soon, capable of providing commercial-grade Bitcoin on-chain data. Long-term participation in the Fractal standard indexing service. UniSat will gradually purchase FB from the market to participate in the Fractal standard indexing service, which is planned to launch in Q2. The initial phase will purchase no less than 500,000 FB, and the first phase deployment will start and complete within 15 days. These FB will be used for long-term participation in index staking.
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