Scan to download
BTC $77,782.94 +4.88%
ETH $2,445.90 +5.51%
BNB $642.71 +3.67%
XRP $1.49 +5.34%
SOL $89.91 +4.76%
TRX $0.3247 -0.73%
DOGE $0.1007 +5.04%
ADA $0.2653 +6.36%
BCH $459.49 +4.83%
LINK $9.77 +5.58%
HYPE $44.94 +0.88%
AAVE $116.18 +9.43%
SUI $1.02 +6.13%
XLM $0.1741 +8.26%
ZEC $345.87 +2.80%
BTC $77,782.94 +4.88%
ETH $2,445.90 +5.51%
BNB $642.71 +3.67%
XRP $1.49 +5.34%
SOL $89.91 +4.76%
TRX $0.3247 -0.73%
DOGE $0.1007 +5.04%
ADA $0.2653 +6.36%
BCH $459.49 +4.83%
LINK $9.77 +5.58%
HYPE $44.94 +0.88%
AAVE $116.18 +9.43%
SUI $1.02 +6.13%
XLM $0.1741 +8.26%
ZEC $345.87 +2.80%

dov

Dovey Wan: The circle in Hong Kong is very small, I haven't heard of any institution getting into trouble

Dovey Wan, founding partner of Primitive Ventures, posted on X regarding the rumor that "the market drop may be due to a Hong Kong hedge fund's liquidation from IBIT options trading." Being in the "Hong Kong fund" circle in Asia, I have to share a contrary opinion.About taxes: Hong Kong does not have capital gains tax (Cap Gains) at all, so the so-called "tax optimization harvesting" perspective is basically viewed from the American standpoint, which does not apply to us.About the rumors: We are conducting due diligence (DD) on Hong Kong's largest Bitcoin options strategy fund. From their performance in recent months and our communications with them, there has been no drama since October 11. The Hong Kong circle is small, and everyone loves gossip; if something really happened, it would be impossible to keep it under wraps. For example, when the Hong Kong-based 3AC-related market maker Taipingshan faced issues, we knew about it almost the next day.About capital flows: Long before the in-kind redemption mechanism appeared, many old-school Bitcoin whales in Asia had already swapped their assets one way into compliant channels like IBIT (at that time, only Galaxy could do this; those who understand know). This was mainly done to: ensure safer custody; reduce operational and counterparty risks; facilitate collateral flow within the traditional financial (TradFi) system; and allow for cleaner transitions to other traditional financial assets.About trading habits: Starting from the second half of 2025, Bitcoin trading activity will structurally lean more towards U.S. stock trading hours (especially the early morning session when New York opens), and the spot selling pressure across major exchanges reflects this. In recent days, Binance has also seen significant spot selling pressure during these times, which is actually a chain reaction caused by ETF redemptions.Additionally, why would a Bitcoin fund "blow up" just because of writing options? Unless they are naked shorting or engaging in leveraged basis trades, resulting in liquidation due to an unexpected widening of the price difference between IBIT and spot. Therefore, it is likely that this is a traditional financial (TradFi) fund with a cross-margin mechanism, rather than a purely "old-school Bitcoin believer" fund.

Analysis: The market expects the Federal Reserve to pause interest rate cuts this week, and dovish or hawkish signals from Powell may affect Bitcoin's trend

According to CoinDesk, the market widely expects the Federal Reserve to maintain interest rates this Wednesday.The key focus of this meeting is the statement from Fed Chairman Powell during the post-meeting press conference, as his remarks may provide directional guidance for risk assets, including Bitcoin. The core concern for the market is whether this pause in rate cuts will be interpreted as a "hawkish pause" or a "dovish pause." If Powell emphasizes inflation risks, it could dampen rate cut expectations and put pressure on risk assets; conversely, if he suggests that the pause in rate cuts is temporary and opens the door for resuming cuts in the coming months, it could boost risk assets like Bitcoin.Additionally, if officials appointed by Trump cast dissenting votes on the decision to maintain interest rates, it could strengthen market expectations for future easing policies. Powell's explanation for the decision to maintain rates may provide support for the dollar, thereby putting pressure on Bitcoin priced in dollars. He may also be asked about the Trump administration's recent housing affordability measures (which could raise short-term inflation), the judicial investigations targeting him personally, and the bond market volatility triggered by Japan, as these statements could exacerbate market fluctuations.
app_icon
ChainCatcher Building the Web3 world with innovations.