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Trader: The memory sector is fluctuating while waiting for MU's earnings report, BTC may test the support at 82K

Trader degentrading (@degentradingLSD) pre-market analysis shows the following major signals in the current market:Macroeconomic Level: The 10Y yield has risen to 5.2%, and the 30Y has risen to 5.5%, approaching historical highs; the South Korean stock market opened down 2.5%, with the memory and semiconductor sectors (SK Hynix, Samsung, MU, SNDK) generally down 2% to 5%. It is expected that price movements will continue to fluctuate before MU's earnings report is released.New Cloud Computing: The investment payback period for computing projects is now less than a year, and market perceptions are changing. It is expected that the new cloud sector will undergo rapid revaluation, and the issue of power bottlenecks is also receiving increasing attention.Tech Stocks: META is weak pre-market, focusing on buying at the 690 support level or opportunities for breaking historical highs. If the large-scale data center sector breaks through as a whole, META, MSFT, and others will face paradigm-level repricing.Cryptocurrency Market: Mainstream coins and altcoins are generally weak, with BTC possibly testing the 82K support level; last week, TAO and DOGE were reduced, and CRDO was taken for profit to release risk capital. During the KBW period, crypto sentiment is usually somewhat positive, and this week's strategy focuses on finding short-term bullish opportunities.

first_img A memo from allies of Trump names Anthropic CEO, viewing him as a representative of the AI apocalypse theory

Axios reported that allies of Trump are attacking Dario Amodei, the CEO of the artificial intelligence company Anthropic, as a representative of the "doomsday" narrative surrounding artificial intelligence and one of the founders of the effective altruism movement. Sources say that during the midterm elections, allies may target Anthropic when countering his warnings about AI safety; due to his political stance and concerns about AI safety, he is seen as an easy target. This is concerning for investors as the company is preparing for an anticipated record-breaking initial public offering.The report states that a memo began circulating internally within the White House this week, attempting to portray effective altruism as a fringe, cult-like group detached from mainstream America, with Axios claiming to have obtained the document. The memo was written by a Trump political advisor not currently employed by the White House, stating that effective altruism "has established a doomsday pipeline for artificial intelligence," placing Amodei at the foundational position of the movement, while also mentioning his sister, Daniela Amodei, president of Anthropic, referring to these connections as "Anthropic nodes." A source close to the government said that Amodei embodies an ideology and globalist innovation path that contradicts the president's "America First" agenda.Anthropic has been distancing itself from effective altruism. Daniela Amodei stated in a 2025 Wired report that she does not agree with the term. Dario Amodei has insisted in interviews that he is not a member of the movement and has promoted the benefits of artificial intelligence.

first_img Acer Chen Junsheng: Memory is no longer in short supply, only 2 types of PC components are in tight supply

Acer Chairman Chen Junsheng stated on the 19th that there is no shortage of memory, as suppliers in mainland China are continuously releasing quantities, acting as price destroyers. The contract prices are currently experiencing high fluctuations, with chaotic ups and downs. Some components like LPDDR5 or DDR5 9600 paired with N1 or N1X are still in short supply, but more common components like DDR4 are in oversupply. Currently, there is also no shortage of CPUs, except for certain low-priced licensed models from Microsoft, such as those with Small Core specifications, which are in tight supply.Chen Junsheng pointed out that the price increases for key components this year are unprecedented, with customers going from complaining to scrambling for goods. Acer is increasing its inventory of low-priced components in response, facing pressure to raise PC prices each quarter, with different products still seeing price increases of 5% to 20% in the fourth quarter. The three major memory suppliers have expressed optimism about price increases until 2027, but the unlimited production capacity released by mainland China means that sustained price increases are unlikely.He expects that by 2027, Acer's costs for SSDs and memory will decline compared to this year, with a chance for prices to stabilize in the second half of next year. There may still be opportunities for price increases in the first quarter of 2027, but the increases should become narrower. The expansion of semiconductor production is expected to begin in mid-2027, after which prices may peak and enter a stable phase.

first_img Korean brokerage warns that Samsung and SK Hynix have less than 10 days of memory inventory

KB Securities warned that the inventory of memory semiconductors at Samsung Electronics and SK Hynix has fallen to less than 10 days of supply, and the available supply next year will be significantly insufficient. The agency reported on Monday that investment in artificial intelligence infrastructure is expanding at an unprecedented pace, leading to a severe supply shortage in the memory chip market. A key factor is the transition to HBM4, which requires about three times the wafers of traditional DRAM, and limited wafer capacity will reduce the available capacity of traditional DRAM.KB Securities expects that next year, the demand for DRAM and NAND will exceed supply by more than 10 percentage points. Research director Kim Dong-won stated that artificial intelligence servers will consume HBM, server DDR5, and enterprise-grade solid-state drives, potentially leading to a historic shortage. Global hyperscale data center operators have raised their expectations for artificial intelligence infrastructure investment next year to $1.3 trillion, a 60% increase from the previous year. The agency anticipates that memory semiconductors will account for 57% of total investment in artificial intelligence infrastructure next year, up from 14% last year, with TrendForce estimating this ratio could reach as high as 68%. Samsung Electronics' stock price has dropped nearly 28% from its peak, while SK Hynix has fallen nearly 40%.

first_img Dubai VARA signed a memorandum of understanding with Securitize to advance tokenization innovation

According to Cointelegraph, the Dubai Virtual Assets Regulatory Authority (VARA) has signed a Memorandum of Understanding (MoU) with the BlackRock-backed tokenization platform Securitize to advance the tokenization and digital asset infrastructure development in the UAE and Dubai. Both parties stated that the agreement will establish a collaborative framework to support regulated tokenization initiatives, promote institutional participation, and strengthen Dubai's digital asset ecosystem.A VARA spokesperson stated that the memorandum aims to combine VARA's regulatory perspective with Securitize's experience in institutional tokenization to determine how the collaboration can help Dubai develop a trustworthy and regulated tokenization market, with no specific projects to be announced at this stage. Carlos Domingo, co-founder and CEO of Securitize, stated that Dubai is one of the most forward-looking jurisdictions for global digital asset innovation, and collaborating with regulators is crucial for tokenization to move from concept to mainstream financial infrastructure.At the time of this announcement, investor demand for tokenized assets continues to rise. According to RWA.xyz data, the total number of tokenized asset holders has increased by 103% over the past 30 days to 3.2 million, and the total value of tokenized assets has grown by 2% to $38.5 billion. Securitize is currently the largest tokenization platform globally, with a tokenized asset management scale of $4.9 billion, while Ondo Finance ranks second with $3.5 billion.

first_img Google disassembles retired servers to recycle DDR4 in response to memory shortages

Google's Senior Director of Supply Chain Infrastructure, Nikhil Cherian, revealed that to overcome memory bottlenecks, Google is developing software and hardware solutions and dismantling retired servers to recycle DDR4 components to establish an internal recycling supply chain. Google has designed special hardware adapters to connect the previous generation DDR4 to the new generation of AI servers while importing retired servers to remove their DDR4 modules for recycling.Cherian stated that the AI industry has rapidly shifted from being compute-constrained to memory-constrained, with high-performance memory accounting for about 75% of the bill of materials cost for a given AI server. A Goldman Sachs report indicated that memory prices will continue to rise in the third quarter, with personal computer DRAM prices expected to increase by 18% to 23% and server DRAM prices expected to rise by 13% to 18%. Trendforce data shows that in August, the spot market prices for DDR4 8GB and DDR5 8GB rose to $142 and $133, respectively.The two TPU ASICs launched by Google this year have been optimized for memory design, claiming to reduce memory demand to one-sixth of the original. The TPU8i chip features a dedicated layered memory design that relies on a high-speed DDR5 memory architecture to perform host-level tasks, with each chip equipped with 288GB of HBM3e high-bandwidth memory.
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