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CryptoQuant analyst Axel Adler Jr stated that Bitcoin is once again testing a low point of around $62,000, while the current 7-day net realized losses have reached approximately $7 billion, higher than the levels during the low point in February this year, but still below the peak loss of about $14 billion during the winter market panic.Currently, the Bitcoin price has clearly fallen below the cost basis of short-term holders (STH) at around $76,000. If it continues to decline, the main support left is the average realized price across the network at about $54,000, as well as the cost basis of long-term holders (LTH) at around $49,000. These two areas corresponded to the full capitulation phase and the formation of the cycle bottom in historical cycles.However, as long as Bitcoin remains above $54,000, the market will not enter a full capitulation phase; if it falls below and continues to operate below the market low point from February this year, it may further test the final defense line near $54,000 in this round.

Ki Young Ju, the founder of CryptoQuant, posted on social media that the price of Bitcoin is the same now as it was two years ago, but one thing has changed. The "6 months to 2 years" holding group that entered during this cycle currently accounts for 53% of the realized market cap, while two years ago this proportion was only 15%. In the previous cycle, when this proportion reached 68%, Bitcoin bottomed out. Currently, short-term holders are gradually evolving into long-term holders.

According to on-chain analysis platform Lookonchain (@lookonchain), institutions and whales continue to increase their holdings of HYPE: Galaxy Digital withdrew 179,000 HYPE (approximately $12.62 million) from Coinbase in the past 7 hours; meanwhile, the new wallet address 0x6436 withdrew 135,824 HYPE (approximately $9.73 million) again 8 hours ago, bringing the total withdrawal amount over the past two days to 399,730 HYPE (approximately $28.92 million).

According to The Defiant, Ethereum researchers Thomas Coratger, Justin Drake, and others released a proposal on June 1 at the Ethereum research forum, planning to establish a dedicated XMSS public key registry as the first concrete protocol upgrade for Ethereum's migration to post-quantum cryptography.This registry allows approximately 1 million validators to pre-register quantum-safe XMSS keys before the full switch to the BLS signature system, serving as an important "preheating phase" to reduce the impact of the subsequent switch on network stability. This proposal has been included in the Ethereum Foundation's protocol team's Strawmap roadmap, marking the first protocol fork on that roadmap.

According to monitoring by Catcher Predict, in the "Elon Musk Tweet Count Prediction" event on the prediction market Polymarket, the "Yes" option in the sub-market "140-159" experienced a sharp fluctuation in winning probability, dropping from 90.9% an hour ago to the current 71.7% (a fluctuation of 19.2%). Please note the impact of related breaking news.

The Tether AI research team announced the open-source release of the TurboQuant production version and its integration into the QVAC SDK 0.12.0.TurboQuant is based on a memory compression algorithm from Google Research, which can compress the KV cache of AI runtime by up to 5 times while maintaining output quality close to that of uncompressed models.This means that laptops, mobile phones, and edge devices can handle longer conversations, larger files, and more complex tasks without the need to upload data to the cloud.This open-source release includes a complete quantization pipeline, mainstream inference framework adapters, and developer documentation, aimed at developers and startups deploying AI on consumer-grade hardware, edge devices, and peer-to-peer networks.

The Huobi HTX VIP private class "AI + Trading from Theory to Practice" was held in Shanghai, where early Bitcoin miner and pyra.io CTO Tian Jia shared the development of quantum computing and the impact of AI on trading.He believes that the average time it takes to threaten "Bitcoin addresses with exposed public keys" is 7 to 8 years, with a range of 5 to 15 years. The required number of logical qubits is between 1200 and 2400, while the number of physical qubits is less than 500,000. Additionally, Bitcoin also has defensive measures; it can migrate to PQC, or post-quantum cryptography, although there are significant challenges, such as the locking issue of Satoshi's coin.

Circle released a quantum security white paper, proposing a phased upgrade plan covering Arc, USDC, smart contracts, and the validator system to address potential security risks posed by future quantum computing.

ZeroTier CEO Andrew Gault stated that the potential threat of quantum computing to the Bitcoin industry may not be limited to the security of wallet private keys; encrypted communication and authentication data between institutions also face long-term risks.

Circle released the "Post-Quantum Security White Paper," proposing a phased post-quantum resilience roadmap focused on the long-term security of the Arc blockchain ecosystem.The roadmap covers multiple technical directions, including quantum secure signatures, private execution environments, validator hardening, infrastructure migration, and account recovery, applicable to core components such as the Arc network, USDC, smart contracts, and validators.Circle stated that it plans to provide post-quantum signature support when the Arc mainnet launches (in 2026) to enhance the ecosystem's ability to respond to future quantum computing threats.

CryproQuant founder and CEO Ki Young Ju posted on social media, "Once profit-taking begins to form a chain reaction, Bitcoin investors' profit and loss levels (PnL) typically continue to decline for about 18 months. Since this trend reversed in October 2025, the current bear market may last until early 2027.The trend will only truly reverse when unrealized profits start to rise again and realized profits begin to decline. However, at present, we have not seen this situation occur."

According to The Block, CryptoQuant's research director Julio Moreno stated that the accumulation of Bitcoin whales (wallets holding 1,000 to 10,000 Bitcoins, excluding exchanges and mining pools) and dolphins (wallets holding 100 to 1,000 Bitcoins, primarily dominated by ETFs and corporate treasury companies) has stagnated, with demand continuing to weaken. The year-on-year contraction rate of whale balances is the fastest this year, while the annual growth rate of dolphin balances, although still positive, has significantly slowed, and the monthly growth rates for both are approaching zero, indicating that the structural demand engine is in a state of ongoing slowdown.Although the supply of long-term holders has reached a record 15,800,000 Bitcoins, this is not a bullish signal, as short-term demand is too weak to absorb the tokens of long-term holders. The supply of short-term holders has decreased from 6,400,000 Bitcoins in December 2025 to about 4,200,000 Bitcoins, of which approximately 900,000 Bitcoins came from Coinbase exchange reserves that have been passively converted to long-term holdings due to holding periods exceeding 155 days. Moreno reiterated that the current market conditions are similar to the bear market pattern of March 2022.

According to a video shared by DEGEN NEWS, Nic Carter, a partner at Castle Island Ventures, stated that Solana needs a complete rebuild to defend against quantum attacks. He pointed out, "This will be tricky for Solana because they have highly optimized around a certain variant of elliptic curve and have also made targeted optimizations at the hardware level.The entire core idea of Solana is high throughput. Ultimately, they may adopt lattice-based cryptography, but the speed will slow down, and the throughput may decrease, which is precisely what Solana is all about."

CryptoQuant analyst MorenoDV_ pointed out that Bitcoin's recent price trend has shown a dangerous divergence: the Taker buy volume on Binance has continued to decline, reaching a low not seen in months, indicating a significant weakening of the market's willingness to buy actively; meanwhile, the funding rate on Binance has risen back into positive territory, suggesting that traders are increasing their long positions through leverage.Historical patterns show that when the funding rate rises while spot demand simultaneously shrinks, it often signals that the market is entering a later stage of speculation—leverage-driven trends lack support from spot capital, making them structurally fragile. If buying pressure does not effectively rebound, the current high funding rate may reflect more potential risks rather than market strength.

According to Bloomberg, quantum computing company Quantinuum Inc. is seeking to raise $1.05 billion through its initial public offering (IPO) in the U.S., leveraging current investor enthusiasm for quantum computing technology to drive the listing process.According to documents the company submitted to the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) on Tuesday, Quantinuum plans to issue approximately 21 million shares at a price of $45 to $50 per share. Based on the upper limit of the issuance range and the number of shares disclosed in the documents, Quantinuum's market capitalization would reach approximately $12.7 billion. The company, supported by Honeywell International Inc., is one of the most closely watched firms in the current quantum computing field.

According to Aastocks, Hong Kong-listed company Guofu Quantum announced the acquisition of a total of 11.89 million issued shares of the decentralized social and messaging platform Luffa AI for $19.8 million (approximately HKD 154 million), and additionally invested $20 million (approximately HKD 156 million) to subscribe for a total of 10 million new shares of Luffa AI. After the transaction is completed, it will hold a 19.9% stake in Luffa AI.Luffa AI is primarily engaged in the development and operation of communication and social network products and related services based on artificial intelligence and Web3, using end-to-end encryption and distributed technology to protect user data, and providing decentralized identity, permission management, and other services as the infrastructure layer for autonomous artificial intelligence agents.

According to on-chain data analysis platform CryptoQuant (@cryptoquant_com), Bitcoin spot demand has fallen to the most bearish level of the year, and the Bitcoin capital flow ratio has also dropped to a key area that historically marks each major market turning point. Although the short-term trend is bearish, such environments have historically created better positioning opportunities for long-term investors.

According to CoinDesk, several researchers in the fields of post-quantum cryptography and blockchain security have stated that AI is accelerating the development of quantum computing and forcing the encryption industry to reassess the reliability of existing security systems.Project Eleven CEO Alex Pruden pointed out that researchers are using machine learning to optimize quantum error correction—one of the biggest engineering bottlenecks in the field of quantum computing. NEAR Protocol co-founder and former Google AI researcher Illia Polosukhin warned that the "harvest now, decrypt later" strategy has become a real threat, where attackers collect encrypted traffic now and decrypt it later when quantum computers mature, "this is likely already happening."Since most blockchain networks rely on the same elliptic curve cryptography as the internet, once quantum computers become powerful enough, they could theoretically derive private keys from public keys, thereby compromising wallets and systems. Researchers noted that the combination of AI and quantum computing is creating a continuous arms race in security, where security measures will no longer be static infrastructure but must continuously evolve and upgrade. Currently, multiple blockchain ecosystems such as Ethereum, Solana, and NEAR are actively promoting post-quantum cryptography migration solutions.

CryptoQuant analyst Axel Adler stated that Bitcoin has lost its structural upward momentum amid a sharp deterioration in the macro environment, which is an important signal indicating that the market is currently more in a "Risk-off" phase. Until its on-chain "Impulse" indicator returns above the zero axis, every rebound of BTC still lacks confirmation.He pointed out that the recently released fourth part of "Decision Architecture for Bitcoin" focuses on building a macro framework based on the Dollar Index (DXY), 10-year U.S. Treasury yield, and VIX volatility index. The core idea is that not all macro fluctuations will disrupt on-chain structure, but when macro factors truly enter a "dominant mode," even if on-chain data is positive, the market may temporarily lose upward momentum.In addition, CryptoQuant has added a U.S. spot Bitcoin ETF dashboard this week, covering data such as weekly net inflows, cumulative flow, 30-day ETF Flow Momentum, changes in demand over the past four weeks, and fund distribution among various ETFs. Currently, the 30-day ETF momentum is only $362.8 million, while this indicator reached a peak of $13.21 billion in December 2024 and fell to a low of -$5.36 billion in November 2025.Adler emphasized that the Coinbase Premium Index remains an important indicator for observing U.S. spot demand: when this index consistently stays above zero, it indicates that U.S. buying is still supporting the market; if it turns negative, even if BTC rises, its movement may lack genuine support from U.S. demand.

CryptoQuant analyst Darkfost tweeted that since October 10 of last year, the Bitcoin derivatives market has undergone an 8-month deleveraging process, with Binance futures positions once falling below the 180-day moving average.However, this trend began to change in early May. Binance Open Interest rebounded from $6.4 billion in March to approximately $8.96 billion currently, re-establishing itself above the 180-day moving average (around $8.75 billion), marking the basic end of the deleveraging phase.Darkfost pointed out that traders re-entering the market have provided support for the current rebound, but the macro environment remains severe, and the trend is still relatively weak.