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According to Catcher Predict monitoring, in the market prediction event "LoL: LOUD vs FURIA Esports - CBLOL Playoffs" on Polymarket, the "Yes" option for the sub-market "Both teams kill a dragon" has experienced a dramatic fluctuation in win rate, dropping from 99.95% an hour ago to the current 50% (a fluctuation of 49.95%). Please note the impact of related breaking news.

Variant Fund investment partner Alana Levin stated in her market thoughts for Q4 2026 that the bottom of the crypto market likely occurred at some point in July. She wrote in early July that the bottom seemed close, with Bitcoin at $59,000, Ethereum at $1,600, and ZEC at $420. She mentioned that the question has shifted to whether the bull market is genuinely starting or if it's a false rally, and which projects will benefit the most in the early bull market, assuming the market is in the early stages of a new crypto bull market.Levin indicated that the increasingly formed consensus is that marginal funds are most likely to flow into value storage protocols as currency and protocols that can generate income. She believes Bitcoin is the dominant asset for digital value storage currently, while other competing assets may be valued based on their market capitalization relative to Bitcoin's market cap and its changes. For income-generating protocols, she expects investors to examine whether the income comes from crypto-native activities (like Pump) or traditional financial activities (like Hyperliquid), whether it persists during market downturns, and profit margins; projects with exposure to real-world assets and stablecoin growth, which are expected to attract institutional users and are still led by founders after surviving a bear market, are more likely to achieve higher multiples.She also categorized on-chain projects that can benchmark against non-crypto businesses as a third category, believing that most belong to narrative trading rather than long-term investment. Themes include routing, reasoning, computing power, data collection, and interface-related directions in artificial intelligence, and she is skeptical about whether most scenarios require blockchain; if such projects significantly outperform, she would view it as a signal of nearing the top.

Austrian Bitcoin platform 21bitcoin announced that starting today, it will pay an annual interest rate of 1.21% on customers' uninvested euro balances, allowing customers to choose to receive it in BTC form without any exchange fees. The company claims to be the first service provider in Europe to directly pay savings interest in Bitcoin.The interest covers all euros in the account, including funds waiting for the next savings plan purchase or funds reserved for unexecuted limit orders, with no minimum deposit requirement and no lock-in period. The interest is paid by Germany's Volksbank Raiffeisenbank Bayern Mitte eG, which has held shares in 21bitcoin since 2023. Customers' euros are stored in a demand savings form in the bank's segregated trust account, and 21bitcoin states that it will pass on the full interest to customers without retaining any interest margin.This interest rate is a floating rate, and the interest is subject to German withholding tax. This launch follows the earlier introduction of a zero-fee Bitcoin savings plan earlier this year. 21bitcoin was established in 2021, holds an Austrian MiCAR license, and is authorized by Germany's BaFin, reporting over 100,000 users and a trading volume exceeding 650 million euros.

According to Law360, the cryptocurrency asset theft case involving Uranium Finance has begun trial in the U.S. District Court for the Southern District of New York.Prosecutors allege that Maryland cybersecurity consultant Jonathan Spalletta exploited a vulnerability in the protocol's smart contract to launch an attack in 2021, during which approximately $53.3 million was transferred from 26 liquidity pools in a second attack, leading to the protocol ceasing operations. The statements related to this are allegations by the prosecution and not a conclusion of guilt.

According to Fortune, the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) has filed lawsuits against two private fund cases, accusing the relevant fund advisors of raising funds under the pretext of investing in popular tech companies like OpenAI and SpaceX before their IPOs, but allegedly providing false information to investors and misappropriating some of the funds.The SEC stated that Meyer Global Management and its head Owen Meyer are suspected of raising at least $18.5 million from nearly 100 investors to purchase shares of companies before their IPOs, but misappropriated at least $1.27 million, including using fund money for personal consumption, paying entertainment expenses, and personal investments. Among them, the SEC accused Meyer of establishing a fund for investing in shares of OpenAI and SpaceX, but some of the funds did not actually hold the relevant assets.In another case, the SEC and federal prosecutors accused Beyond Alpha Ventures heads Christopher Dinelli and Jacob Frankel of raising over $8.7 million from 35 investors and falsely promoting that the fund held shares in companies like SpaceX and xAI.The SEC stated that the two provided false investment reports, with some of the funds being used for options trading, film investments, and personal use. The SEC emphasized that the accused tech companies and their management have not been found to have engaged in misconduct. Regulatory agencies have been continuously monitoring investment products that promote "acquiring shares before popular private company IPOs" and have launched multiple enforcement actions against relevant private fund advisors.

According to Gate market data, the Dow Jones Industrial Average opened down 365.52 points on September 28, a decrease of 0.71%, closing at 51,463.1 points; the S&P 500 opened down 35.72 points, a decrease of 0.46%, closing at 7,707.78 points; the Nasdaq Composite opened down 133.02 points, a decrease of 0.49%, closing at 26,935.7 points.

According to a disclosure by Compound community member ugurmersin, the Compound Foundation is suspected of violating the strict limitations of Proposal 536. This proposal originally entrusted 8.42 million DAI from the decentralized autonomous organization's (DAO) reserves to the foundation for management, explicitly stating that the funds could only be used to support protocol operations, strictly prohibiting autonomous trading or speculation, and could not be used to fund the foundation's own business.

According to Catcher Predict monitoring, in the market prediction on Polymarket for the event "LoL: FURIA Esports vs RED Canids - CBLOL Playoffs," the option "FURIA Esports" in the sub-market "Game 3 Winner" has experienced a dramatic fluctuation in winning probability, soaring from 71% an hour ago to the current 93.5% (a fluctuation of 22.5%). Please note the impact of related breaking news.

The Circle Foundation announced two grants to the United Nations Development Programme (UNDP) and the World Food Programme (WFP) to explore the application of digital payments and digital financial infrastructure in humanitarian aid and development projects.The Circle Foundation stated that the relevant programs will study how to utilize digital payments and regulated payment-type stablecoins to disburse funds to aid recipients more quickly, transparently, and at a lower cost.For the UNDP, the grant will be used to establish and operate a "Digital Asset Innovation Pool," helping country offices expand previous digital payment pilot projects conducted in Syria, Haiti, Guatemala, and Gambia from single projects to regular project execution, and provide support such as regulation, operations, and beneficiary protection; this mechanism will not replace traditional banking channels but will serve as a complementary option outside the existing payment system.For the WFP, the grant will support the establishment of governance, risk management, funding, reconciliation systems, and compliance tools necessary for stablecoin payments, and integrate local fintech and mobile payment services. Over the next three years, the WFP plans to test 2 to 3 payment channels connecting its payment system with local financial service providers and markets to assess the performance of stablecoin payments in terms of efficiency, transparency, and resilience.

predict.fun posted on platform X that the probability of Variational FDV reaching 1 billion dollars has increased by 11% in the past 5 hours, currently standing at 75%.

The on-chain derivatives protocol Variational announced that the Token Generation Event (TGE) for the token $VAR is scheduled for the fourth quarter of 2026. The initial token distribution includes 32% genesis allocation, 18% ecological reserve, and 50% for team and investor shares. The genesis tokens will be airdropped according to the proportion of Variational points held and will be 100% unlocked at TGE; the ecological reserve will be retained by the Variational Foundation for ecological growth and distributed at its discretion.The team and investor tokens will be locked for 12 months after TGE, followed by a minimum unlocking period of three years. Team members are also subject to individual vesting arrangements, and the specific shares for both parties will be announced before TGE. Variational stated that it plans to use all revenue directed to the treasury for the repurchase and destruction of $VAR. Weekly point distribution will continue until TGE, with 150,000 points distributed each week; accounts must hold at least 1 point to qualify for signing terms and receiving the genesis allocation, and any unclaimed portion will be destroyed.Variational originally planned to end the points program in the third quarter of 2026 and subsequently launch $VAR, but this timeline has been delayed due to significant strategic partnerships. In the final weeks before TGE, the project will conclude private testing, launch Omni on the public mainnet, expand exchange functions, and release trading APIs, while also announcing details on repurchase and token usage, and disclosing the impact of new partnerships on Omni, Pro, and traditional financial markets on-chain when conditions permit.

In the seventh live broadcast of the Huobi Expert Lecture, HTX Research asset analyst WZ pointed out that in the past, people were accustomed to explaining Crypto with Crypto, but today, the variables that determine the next phase of Crypto are increasingly occurring outside of Crypto. This marks a new pricing cycle that Crypto is entering.On the policy level, WZ believes that although the Clarity Act, which has systematic characteristics, is hindered in the Senate due to the need to secure bipartisan votes and issues involving the Trump family's interests and stablecoin profit distribution, U.S. crypto regulation has not stalled. For instance, the SEC recently released an "innovation exemption" plan that allows compliant institutions meeting certain conditions to tokenize specific stocks, accelerating the integration of traditional finance and crypto.On the macro level, WZ stated that the situation in the Middle East and the blockage risk in the Strait of Hormuz have raised the "risk premium" of crude oil. Rising oil prices can trigger inflation expectations, which in turn affect U.S. Treasury yields and global liquidity. When energy prices remain high and interest rates stay elevated, the upward potential for risk assets like Bitcoin may be constrained.WZ also pointed out that in this cycle, the direct inflow and outflow of ETF funds have changed the traditional logic of capital overflow, making a "general rise" pattern for altcoins difficult to achieve. However, in the new cycle, assets with a "new narrative" and strong consensus will still experience independent upward trends.

The web data infrastructure company Firecrawl announced on platform X that it has completed a $75 million Series B financing round, led by Smash Capital, and launched a knowledge base for AI agents called Alexandria, aimed at providing agents with unified access to real-time web, official data providers, and professional indexes.According to the official page, Alexandria currently integrates 82 data providers, 471 data capabilities, and over 113 million papers, READMEs, Issues, and technical documents, covering 28 categories including finance, government, code, shopping, and real estate, and supports access via MCP, CLI, and API. Firecrawl claims that its internal testing shows that Alexandria's answer quality on approximately 1,000 directory-type questions is 21% higher than that of built-in web tools.

The global memory market continues to face severe shortages, with AI and cloud applications driving demand and prices for DRAM and NAND Flash. China's two major memory manufacturers, Yangtze Memory Technologies and Changxin Memory Technologies, are set to break the current duopoly.Yangtze Memory Technologies will begin trial production of LPDDR5 DRAM by the end of 2026, while Changxin Memory Technologies aims to transition from DRAM to NAND Flash. Industry speculation suggests that the two companies may face off as early as 2028. Yangtze Memory Technologies has completed the development of 294-layer 3D NAND using Xtacking technology, and Samsung will enter into a patent licensing agreement with them in 2025, starting with the 10th generation V-NAND.Yangtze Memory Technologies' phase three plan is set to commence production by the end of 2026, with an initial capacity of approximately 25,000 wafers of DRAM, ramping up in 2027, targeting LPDDR5, and planning for subsequent expansions as well as HBM and 3D DRAM. Changxin is reported to be setting up a NAND research and production line in Beijing, with mass production expected as early as 2028 to 2029.

According to CriptoNoticias, a court in Costa Rica sentenced two men to 12 years in prison each for money laundering. The case involves the kidnapping and murder of American businessman William Shawn Crichton Kopko in 2018, for which his family paid a ransom of approximately 148 bitcoins, valued at around 1 million dollars.The court found that the two defendants received part of the ransom and deposited it into wallets under their control to conceal the source of the related assets.