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SOL $61.96 -4.77%
TRX $0.3212 -0.14%
DOGE $0.0810 -1.64%
ADA $0.1578 -1.95%
BCH $214.46 -1.66%
LINK $7.36 -0.60%
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XLM $0.2097 +8.59%
ZEC $361.05 +6.41%

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Grayscale: Bitcoin may enter a recovery period in the coming months, but forming a sustainable bottom still requires new buying support

Grayscale's research director Zach Pandl stated that after Strategy disclosed the sale of 32 BTC on June 1, it triggered a new round of volatility in the BTC market. He pointed out that the scale of the sale itself is not important, as Strategy still holds approximately 840,000 BTC on its balance sheet, valued at about $5.5 billion. However, as one of the largest digital asset treasury managers in the world, its strategic shift puts pressure on market sentiment.Pandl believes that more importantly, the recent volatility affects the price of Strategy's variable rate preferred stock tool STRC. STRC is designed to maintain a price of about $100 per share, with a current dividend yield of 11.5%. If the stock price falls below $100, it means investors are demanding a higher return. Strategy can increase dividends, but this will increase future cash flow obligations and may lead to more BTC sales, further suppressing BTC prices. Strategy's leveraged business model is under pressure, increasing volatility across the entire BTC market.At the current levels of STRC and MSTR stock prices, Grayscale believes that Strategy's ability to continue accumulating more BTC is limited. However, Grayscale believes that in the long term, reducing the BTC on the leveraged digital asset treasury balance sheet and allowing more BTC to be distributed across diversified corporate balance sheets will benefit the health of the Bitcoin ecosystem. But before a sustainable bottom for BTC prices is formed, other buyers need to enter the market. Grayscale expects BTC prices to recover in the coming months, but in the short term, BTC's performance may lag behind other segments of the crypto market that directly benefit from regulatory clarity.

Analysis: The cryptocurrency derivatives market is turning bearish; if Bitcoin falls below $60,000, it may trigger a larger-scale liquidation

The cryptocurrency market experienced a new round of selling and liquidation on Thursday, with Bitcoin briefly dropping to $61,300 before rebounding to $64,680, currently reporting around $62,500. Over the past two days, the total market leverage liquidation scale was about $3 billion. Data shows that in the past 24 hours, futures trading volume rose to $305 billion, but open interest fell by 8.5% to $111.4 billion, indicating that the market is primarily deleveraging rather than adding new positions.Bitcoin's open interest fell from yesterday's historical high of over 800,000 BTC to 766,000 BTC. Investors seem to be leaving the cryptocurrency market and turning towards AI narratives in traditional markets. The derivatives market has clearly shifted to a bearish stance. The skew of BTC and ETH put options has strengthened, showing that investors are willing to pay higher premiums for downside protection. The nominal open interest of BTC put options with a strike price of $60,000 on Deribit exceeds $1 billion, while the most actively traded options contracts in the past 24 hours were the $55,000 put options.Altcoins have seen deeper declines, with NEAR, ZEC, JUP, DASH, ENA, and FET all dropping over 10%, and HYPE falling 12% after reaching a new high this week. The subsequent performance of altcoins largely depends on whether Bitcoin can hold above $60,000; if it falls below this level, it may trigger more liquidations and put greater pressure on trading pairs with weaker liquidity.

Coinbase reviews the May outage incident: AWS cascading failure exposes architectural risks

Coinbase released a retrospective report on the large-scale service interruption event on May 7, 2026.The outage lasted approximately 8 hours, with full recovery taking about 12 hours. During this time, trading, deposits, withdrawals, and most core services were unavailable or severely degraded. Coinbase stated that the outage was caused by multiple cooling units failing simultaneously in the cooling system of a data center in one availability zone (use1-az4) in the AWS us-east-1 region, triggering cabinet thermal protection shutdowns, which led to EC2 instances and EBS volumes going offline, affecting multiple internet services.During the recovery process, the Coinbase trading matching engine lost quorum due to the cluster architecture deployed in a single AWS data center losing most nodes. It required urgent code adjustments and the reconstruction of a new node group to restore operation, gradually restarting market trading during the recovery.Additionally, the AWS-managed Kafka (MSK) service experienced control plane failures, preventing the automatic re-election of partition leaders, further blocking quotes, fees, and some settlement and data flow systems, which expanded the overall impact.After manual partition migration in collaboration with the AWS engineering team, the system gradually returned to normal. Coinbase stated that this incident exposed its shortcomings in cross-availability zone automatic switching capabilities and disaster recovery for managed middleware. The company will upgrade its cross-region hot backup architecture, strengthen regular failure drills, and migrate the Kafka system from dual availability zones to a three availability zone deployment, while also working with AWS to advance root cause fixes and improvements.

Gray Scale: Hyperliquid or evolve into a giant in on-chain financial infrastructure, challenging the traditional derivatives market

According to CoinDesk, digital asset management company Grayscale pointed out in its latest report that the decentralized trading platform Hyperliquid is rapidly evolving from a cryptocurrency perpetual contract exchange into a blockchain financial infrastructure platform, and may even challenge traditional derivatives trading and exchange systems in the future, growing into a "financial services giant."The report shows that Hyperliquid is expected to achieve approximately $800 million in revenue by 2025, with an annual perpetual contract trading volume of about $2.9 trillion and an open interest size of around $7 billion, occupying a significant share of the cryptocurrency derivatives market. Grayscale believes that the platform is no longer limited to cryptocurrency trading but is expanding into tokenized stocks, commodities, and prediction markets through the HIP-3 and HIP-4 systems, gradually building an all-weather on-chain trading infrastructure.FalconX also pointed out in another report that Hyperliquid is competing with traditional derivatives exchanges such as CME Group and prediction market platforms like Kalshi and Polymarket, making progress in new markets such as Pre-IPO. The report also emphasizes that regulation remains a key variable. Although Hyperliquid currently restricts access for U.S. users, as the regulatory framework becomes clearer and institutions like Coinbase, Robinhood, and Kraken explore perpetual contract products, this sector may welcome broader growth opportunities in the future.
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