$80

Killa posted on platform X, stating that it believes the bottom for Bitcoin has already appeared. From the current level to $126,000, the maximum pullback in this bull market is expected to be around 10% to 15%. If Bitcoin forms a local high near $87,000 before further dropping to just above $70,000, that area may become the bottom for Bitcoin; if it reaches the relevant price level, it will significantly increase the continuation of the upward trend for long positions.Killa stated that Bitcoin is currently testing a key area near $80,000. If it can hold the previously broken range high, the upward trend may continue; it will only consider shorting near $90,000.

On-chain data shows that 1.4175 billion WLFI tokens, matching the holdings disclosed by U.S. President Trump, were transferred into a lock-up contract via a multi-signature transaction on May 19, establishing the first clear monetization timeline for his approximately $800 million holdings. Participants in this vesting plan must immediately burn 10% of the tokens upon entry and set a two-year cliff period, followed by a linear release over three years, with the earliest sale not possible until May 2028.On-chain data indicates that a total of six internal wallets transferred tokens into this contract, with the largest wallet depositing 1.575 billion WLFI, retaining 1.4175 billion after burning, consistent with Trump's disclosed holdings; two other wallets each deposited 375 million, and three wallets each deposited 225 million. This lock-up contract is currently the largest single holder of WLFI, holding 4.61 billion tokens, nearly half of the total supply. The total supply of WLFI has been reduced from a cap of 10 billion to 9.67 billion.This vesting plan was created through a governance proposal passed around May 6, with 11,537 wallets voting in support. Founders who hold tokens can choose to convert indefinite lock-up into a two-year cliff period plus a three-year vesting period, with participation being voluntary. A spokesperson for World Liberty Financial, David Wachsman, stated that the community voted in support of the founders burning tokens, and the co-founders transferred tokens into a smart contract to complete the burn, taking on the strictest lock-up conditions among all token holders.

Polymarket data shows that traders expect a 64% probability that Bitcoin will reach $80,000 in September, and a 68.5% probability that it will drop to $75,000. Market pricing indicates a higher likelihood of a downward scenario. The market stipulates that if the Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute K-line highest price reaches or exceeds $80,000 before September 30, it will be determined as "Yes."The market was created on September 7, and prices before creation are not counted; Bitcoin reached $81,265 and $80,329 on September 4 and September 7, respectively. Polymarket data shows that the total trading volume for the September price event is $5.17 million, with liquidity of about $1.46 million; Bitcoin's intraday high reached $79,505, just $495 away from triggering conditions. The probabilities for $90,000 and $100,000 are 8.5% and 1.75%, respectively, while the probabilities for $72,500 and $70,000 are 40.5% and 22.5%.

According to Catcher Predict monitoring, in the market prediction event "Bitcoin September Price Prediction" on Polymarket, the "Yes" option in the sub-market "Above $80,000" experienced a dramatic fluctuation in winning probability, soaring from 69% an hour ago to the current 85.5% (a fluctuation of 16.5%). Please note the impact of related breaking news.

According to Onchain Lens monitoring, after Elon Musk replied to the SLINK post from Shivon Zilis's hacked account, multiple traders rushed into the token. Just four traders lost about $807,000. The market capitalization of $SLINK once soared to about $80 million, then plummeted to about $2 million, a drop of over 97% from its peak.

According to Catcher Predict monitoring, in the market prediction event "Bitcoin September Price Prediction" on Polymarket, the "Yes" option for the sub-market "Breakthrough $80,000" has experienced a sharp fluctuation in winning probability, soaring from 76.55% an hour ago to the current 95.15% (a fluctuation of 18.6%). Please note the impact of related breaking news.

Greeks.live researcher Adam stated: "I see some people discussing the Strategy to restart buying coins. This short-term stimulus does not affect the long-term trend, and the Strategy is also a big trap. BTC now has no possibility of market manipulation, and no one can predict the trend. It can only be said that after the Strategy has floating profits, there is more room to buy coins. Looking at the long term, the overall ETF is still flowing out, and it is very difficult to stabilize at $80,000, with significant selling pressure.On the macro front, whether it is the Federal Reserve's hawkish remarks or the escalation of the US-Iran conflict, both are challenging the already fragile investors. The short-term volatility is decreasing rapidly, and it is difficult to support a bull market with just one bullish candle. I hope that after a slight correction, it can reach above $85,000; otherwise, arbitrageurs and sellers will create significant selling pressure. The Gex at the end of the month is gathering, and we need to maintain this momentum."

According to monitoring by Catcher Predict, in the "Bitcoin August Price Prediction" event on the prediction market Polymarket, the probability of the "Yes" option in the sub-market "Breakthrough $80,000" has experienced significant fluctuations, dropping from 38% an hour ago to the current 20.5% (a fluctuation of 17.5%). Please note the impact of related breaking news.

Rekt Capital posted on platform X that the stage lows of Bitcoin in February and June 2026 are in roughly the same price range, and the RSI is also at nearly the same oversold level. After both bottoms, Bitcoin rebounded to around $80,000.Compared to the peak in May 2026, when Bitcoin rises again to around $80,000, the overbought level of the RSI is significantly higher, but the price has formed lower highs. The RSI forming higher highs while the price forms lower highs indicates a hidden bearish divergence at the important resistance level of around $80,000 on the daily chart of Bitcoin. As long as the price of Bitcoin fails to break through and form a new higher high, this hidden bearish divergence will continue to exist.

CryptoQuant analyst Darkfost stated that the inflow of Bitcoin to exchanges has surged sharply in the past 7 days, peaking as BTC attempted to break through the $80,000 mark. Binance led with an average daily inflow of 10,700 BTC, followed by Coinbase Advanced with an average of 7,100 BTC, and both Kraken and OKX exceeding 2,000 BTC.He pointed out that $80,000 represents the average cost basis for all capital invested in BTC and is a critical breakeven point, where many investors choose to lock in small profits or stop losses. As the BTC price pulls back, selling pressure is weakening, and if the selling pressure continues to ease, Bitcoin may soon test this resistance level again.

According to Cointelegraph, Bitcoin failed to effectively break through the $80,000 mark, with BTC/USD dropping to $78,442 on the Bitstamp platform, a decline of about 1% for the day, after Federal Reserve Chairman Kevin Walsh delivered a cautiously toned speech in Jackson Hole. In his speech, Walsh reaffirmed the Fed's commitment to the 2% inflation target and downplayed the significance of the recent decline in CPI and PCE data.Walsh stated that although these broad inflation indicators have significantly retreated from their highs a few years ago, the progress over the past two years has been relatively modest. The better-than-expected PCE and CPI readings this summer do not indicate that the underlying trend has materially improved. He also noted that the forward guidance, a conventional practice introduced during the financial crisis, "is now outdated" and will not return in the future. U.S. stocks were not weighed down by his remarks, with the S&P 500 and Nasdaq indices both rising by about 0.5%.On-chain data shows that there is a dense resistance zone between the current spot price and $86,000, which suppresses upward momentum. QCP Capital analysis pointed out that even if the price breaks through, the derivatives market needs to support it by controlling funding rates and the growth rate of open interest. The key is whether the subsequent market movement is driven by spot participation or leveraged positions. As of the time of writing, BTC/USD has risen 26.35% this month, marking the best August performance since 2017.

The Aave on-chain dashboard shows that the current active loan scale of Aave V4 is $216 million. The V4 deployment covers Ethereum, Optimism, and Avalanche, with Ethereum Core deposits at $378 million, EtherFi Cash on Optimism at $257 million, Ethereum Global Dollar at $75 million, and Ethereum Prime at $63 million.User deposits for Aave V3 still reach $31 billion, with Ethereum Core at $25 billion. Aave's documentation states that V4 adopts a hub-and-spoke system to centralize liquidity and accounting, and sets independent borrowing rules and risk limits for different markets.

The Aave on-chain dashboard shows that V4 user deposits have reached $806 million, a 30% increase over 7 days, setting a new historical high. On August 19, deposits surpassed $500 million, on August 21 surpassed $600 million, and then within six days surpassed $800 million; on August 25, Ethereum V4 deposits alone exceeded $500 million.V4 active loans reached $206 million, with the EtherFi market having active loans of $62 million, and weETH collateral supporting WETH lending, with a utilization rate of 92%. The current market covers Ethereum, Optimism, and Avalanche deployments: Ethereum Core holds $378 million, EtherFi Cash on Optimism is $257 million, Ethereum Global Dollar is $75 million, Ethereum Prime is $63 million, Avalanche Core is $18 million, and Ethereum Plus is $15 million.In terms of deposit composition, weETH leads with $97 million, USDG $90 million, WETH and USDC each $81 million, liquidETH $77 million, liquidUSD $58 million, and WBTC $54 million. In comparison, V3 deposits reached $31 billion, while V4 replaces V3's market-per-pool design with a hub-and-spoke system.

According to CoinDesk, Bitcoin is currently stable around $80,000, with traders focusing on Federal Reserve Chairman Kevin Walsh's keynote speech at the Jackson Hole annual meeting. The annual seminar hosted by the Kansas City Fed opened on Wednesday, and Walsh will speak on Friday morning. Current inflation remains well above the Fed's 2% target, and long-term borrowing costs are near multi-year highs, with the Fed maintaining the benchmark interest rate range at 3.5%-3.75% in recent months.Mark Connors, Chief Investment Officer of Risk Dimensions, expects Walsh to keep the option of raising interest rates but not to raise rates before the midterm elections. The July PCE inflation rate reached 3.7%, partly driven by rising energy prices following the Iran war. Samir Kerbage, Chief Investment Officer of Hashdex, stated that Bitcoin does not directly respond to the September interest rate decision but follows global liquidity and long-end yield curve trends, similar to the drivers of gold. Last week, the U.S. Treasury announced an increase in long-term Treasury bond purchases after the 30-year Treasury yield hit a 19-year high, which pushed Bitcoin higher; Kerbage described this surge as "primarily a liquidity event."This year's Jackson Hole meeting focuses on financial innovation, payments, and policy, with stablecoins, tokenized deposits, and faster settlement systems becoming the discussion highlights. Kerbage believes that if Walsh views these technologies as part of the financial system rather than risks to be curtailed, the impact could extend beyond Bitcoin, with smart contract networks and protocols handling tokenized payments and settlements benefiting more directly from this shift.

According to monitoring by Catcher Predict, in the event "WTI Crude Oil August 2026 Price Prediction" on the prediction market Polymarket, the "Yes" option in the sub-market "Below $80" has experienced significant fluctuations in winning probability, soaring from 64.5% an hour ago to the current 83.5% (a fluctuation of 19%). Please note the impact of related breaking news.

According to Onchain Lens monitoring, Wintermute (0xecb...2b00) has reduced its short exposure on Hyperliquid from $212 million to $80.48 million since the last update, still holding $80.48 million in short positions and $5.51 million in long positions.Its HYPE short exposure increased from $5.6 million to $10.2 million, with an unrealized loss of $568,800.

According to Catcher Predict monitoring, in the "Bitcoin August Price Prediction" event on the prediction market Polymarket, the "Yes" option for the sub-market "Above $80,000" has experienced severe fluctuations in winning probability, dropping from 83% an hour ago to the current 57.5% (a fluctuation of 25.5%). Please note the impact of related breaking news.

CoinDesk cites data from Glassnode indicating that Bitcoin recently surged to $80,000, primarily driven by short sellers being forced to cover their positions, rather than a large influx of new buyers. This characteristic has historically made the market more sustainable.Data shows that as short positions were liquidated, Bitcoin futures open interest has dropped to 587,584 BTC, marking a nearly 5-month low. The market leverage level has decreased, providing a relatively more solid foundation for price trends.

"Whale" Jason stated, "Set 10 major goals." He indicated that he will look for opportunities to re-enter long positions. He believes that the strength of this trend exceeds previous expectations, and the subsequent space can be further adjusted upwards; even re-entering at $80,000 or higher would not be too late, as BTC still has upward potential.He anticipates that $100,000 is likely to arrive earlier than originally expected, at which point the further height of this trend will be reassessed.