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Bloomberg senior ETF analyst Eric Balchunas posted on the X platform that BlackRock's spot Bitcoin exchange-traded fund IBIT has been rising almost daily for the past three weeks, increasing by about 3.5% again, and has accumulated a rise of about 19% since the market sell-off triggered by the conflict between the U.S. and Iran. As concerns about geopolitical impacts have eased, fund sentiment has clearly recovered, driving Bitcoin-related ETFs to continue strengthening.

Despite Bitcoin rising to $76,300 at one point this week, market sentiment remains low, with the Fear and Greed Index still in the "extreme fear" range at 21, indicating a clear divergence between price and sentiment. Institutional views suggest that this round of increases is more akin to "valuation repair" rather than a trend reversal. QCP Capital referred to it as a "relief rally," as macro-level inflation, energy, and policy pressures have not fully dissipated.Glassnode pointed out that Bitcoin is still about 5% lower than the key resistance level of the "real market average" at approximately $78,100, and the current rebound has limited depth. The funding structure is also showing divergence. Spot demand and ETF fund flows have warmed up, but profit-taking has increased, and institutional participation remains cautious, with the derivatives market continuing to lean towards downward hedging. Exchange data also shows that demand is more from offshore and retail funds rather than dominated by U.S. institutions. Analysts state that around $75,000 has become a key support/validation level. If subsequent buying cannot sustain, the price may retreat to the range of $70,000 to $71,000.On the macro front, U.S. stocks continue to hit new highs, and oil prices remain high but have not surged further, which has warmed market risk appetite but still carries uncertainty. The market's focus is shifting towards the Federal Reserve's policy path, and the overall environment still poses constraints on crypto assets. In summary, while Bitcoin maintains its rebound, it oscillates near resistance levels, and the market tone remains cautious, with no consistent bullish trend formed yet.

According to the official announcement, the Binance Alpha blind box is now live. The airdrop pool includes tokens from three projects: Hana Network (HANA), Reservoir (DAM), and Alaya Governance Token (AGT). Users holding at least 242 Binance Alpha points can claim the airdrop.

Product leader Jerry from Mentis confirmed attendance at the "Crypto 2026: From Cryptocurrency to Smart Economy" themed forum to be held on April 19 in Hong Kong, and will participate in a roundtable discussion. This event is co-hosted by ChainCatcher and RootData, and is one of the important peripheral activities of the Hong Kong Web3 Carnival.Mentis is an on-chain AI assistant designed to combine artificial intelligence and blockchain data to help users better understand the market, discover signals, and take action more quickly. This forum will focus on the paradigm shift under the deep integration of AI technology and cryptocurrency networks, engaging in in-depth discussions on cutting-edge tracks such as the AI Agent economy, smart payments, RWA, and cryptocurrency infrastructure. At the intersection of technological leap and economic restructuring, this themed forum not only provides insights into the current state of the industry but also offers a forward-looking reflection on the future smart economic system.Event registration: https://luma.com/18v6vwpf

According to Cryptoquant, the Bitcoin Comprehensive Market Index (BCMI), composed of MVRV, NUPL, SOPR, and the Fear and Greed Index, is currently testing a historically key pivot zone. Analyst Woominkyu (@Woo_Minkyu) stated that the BCMI index has fallen to the range of 0.2 to 0.3. While it does not guarantee an immediate "V-shaped" reversal, this area historically corresponds to deeply undervalued levels for BTC.Through data backtracking, BCMI confirms that the current pullback has reset realized value and market sentiment to levels not seen since the beginning of 2023; however, the 90-day moving average (white line) is still trending downward. From a conservative perspective, it is necessary to wait for this slope to flatten, which will signal the exhaustion of selling pressure. Additionally, analyst Woominkyu believes the market is entering a "value accumulation zone," where the downside potential is shrinking compared to the long-term upside potential. However, it is still necessary to wait for price stabilization to confirm the bottom signal of the index.

According to CoinDesk, Bitcoin is currently priced at $74,700, down 0.4% in the last 24 hours. News of ceasefire negotiations between the U.S. and Iran has boosted risk sentiment, with the S&P 500 index reaching a record high on Thursday. Trump stated that the prospects for a permanent ceasefire between the U.S. and Iran "look very optimistic," claiming that Iran has agreed to abandon its nuclear ambitions, hand over nuclear materials, and reopen the Strait of Hormuz, although Iran has not yet confirmed these concessions.Meanwhile, the market is closely monitoring the structural signals behind Bitcoin's price movements. ZeroStack CEO Daniel Reis-Faria stated, "The funding rate is so negative that it indicates the market is heavily short. If Bitcoin continues to rise in this context, a large number of short positions may be forced to close, further accelerating the price upward." He predicts that if the short base is forced to cover, Bitcoin could reach $125,000 within the next 30 to 60 days.On-chain analyst CryptoVizArt provided another perspective: Bitcoin's "True Market Mean" (TMM) shows that the average cost basis of active holders is currently above the market price, indicating that holders are overall in a state of unrealized losses. Since 2016, consistently falling below this mean has often coincided with Bitcoin's most severe downturns, including the bear market from 2018 to 2019 (with a maximum drop of 57%, lasting 282 days) and the decline following the Luna and FTX collapses from 2022 to 2023 (with a maximum drop of 56%, lasting 339 days).Analysts point out that these two judgments are not mutually exclusive—the short squeeze triggered by the extremely negative funding rate and the structural pressure of overall unrealized losses among active holders can coexist. The former may trigger a significant rise, but ultimately could be absorbed by selling from the latter. The future market direction may depend on whether the U.S.-Iran ceasefire can be sustained after its expiration next week.

According to The Block, Yuga Labs announced a management adjustment, with co-founder and CEO Greg Solano transitioning to the role of chairman of the board, and current Chief Product Officer Michael Figge taking over as CEO; Figge joined the company in 2021 and began his duties a few weeks ago. This adjustment comes as the company continues to advance its metaverse project, Otherside.

According to a report by Jinshi, StoneX analyst Matt Simpson stated in a research report that based on technical analysis, the US dollar index may see a slight increase in the short term. Currently, the US dollar index is maintaining around the level of 98.249, and on Thursday, the 200-day simple moving average formed a "slightly bullish" pattern, with the two-day relative strength index in an extremely oversold condition. However, there are multiple resistance levels, including the 200-day exponential moving average at 98.44 that the bulls need to test.

According to Whale Alert monitoring, Circle has issued an additional 250 million USDC on the Solana chain.

According to Fortune magazine, in the context of a downturn in the crypto market in 2025 and the distribution of profits to investors, the portfolio values of crypto venture capital firms such as Paradigm and a16z crypto have significantly shrunk.According to filings with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC), the total assets under management (AUM) of four crypto funds under a16z crypto dropped nearly 40% from 2024 to 2025, falling to $9.5 billion. Part of the reason is that the firm began returning capital to investors from earlier funds, and the timing of the returns coincided with the market peak in 2025, with a net DPI (distributions to paid-in capital) of 5.4 for its first crypto fund.Multicoin Capital's AUM has more than halved, dropping to about $2.7 billion. Paradigm's holdings also slightly decreased by about 6%. Meanwhile, the total size of a16z crypto's parent company, Andreessen Horowitz, has exceeded $100 billion.The report points out that the shrinkage in assets under management reflects the decline in portfolio value due to the market downturn, and is also a sign of normal exits by VCs and the return of funds to limited partners (LPs). Some firms, such as Haun Ventures, have seen their AUM grow by over 30%, reaching around $2.5 billion.Currently, Paradigm is seeking to raise a new fund of $1.5 billion, and a16z crypto is also raising up to $2 billion for its fifth fund.

CoinDesk analyst James Van Straten stated that the Bitcoin funding rate has fallen to its lowest level since 2023, and historical patterns show that such signals often coincide with market bottoms. According to Glassnode data, the seven-day moving average of the funding rate has dropped to about -0.005%.The funding rate is the fee that long and short positions pay each other periodically in perpetual contracts to keep the contract price aligned with the spot market. When the rate is positive, longs pay shorts, reflecting bullish market sentiment; when the rate is negative, shorts pay longs, indicating a bearish market. Despite the funding rate being persistently negative from March to April this year, Bitcoin still oscillated upward from the $60,000 to $65,000 range to about $75,000. Historically, a deeply negative funding rate often coincides with Bitcoin's phase bottoms: during the market crash triggered by the COVID-19 pandemic in March 2020, Bitcoin fell to about $3,000; it dropped to $30,000 during China's mining ban announcement in 2021; it hit a low of about $15,000 during the FTX collapse in November 2022; and it briefly fell below $20,000 during the Silicon Valley Bank crisis in 2023. During the yen arbitrage trade closure in August 2024 and the "Liberation Day" sell-off in April 2025, negative funding rates also appeared alongside phase lows. The continued negative funding rate indicates that even if the price trend is positive, short positions remain at a high level. This divergence may suggest that the market is climbing within a "wall of worry," and a large number of short positions could become fuel for further price increases.

According to CoinDesk, Bitcoin is currently hovering around $75,000, facing supply pressure, but institutional demand remains stable.Market sentiment is boosted by news of the extended ceasefire between the U.S. and Iran. The dollar has fallen to a near six-week low, and U.S. Treasury yields have also declined, conditions that typically support cryptocurrency prices; gold has risen in tandem, indicating that the market is seeking a balance between risk appetite and safe-haven demand.On-chain data shows that when prices reach a key cost benchmark for short-term holders, Bitcoin often experiences a supply surge. This level is around $76,800, which could constitute significant resistance, at which point investors may choose to take profits when breaking even.The newly established MSBT fund under Morgan Stanley has quickly attracted over $100 million in inflows due to the market's lowest fee rates, prompting competitors like Goldman Sachs to initiate a new round of competition.Meanwhile, the U.S. blockade of Iranian ports and Iran's threats to disrupt shipping in the Persian Gulf continue to cast a shadow over the global economic outlook. The impact on energy supply has begun to raise inflation expectations, which may influence central bank policy direction and, in turn, affect the cryptocurrency market.

Cuy Sheffield, the head of Visa's crypto business, stated that two American banks, Lead Bank and Cross River, have settled transactions using USDC on Solana.

Yili Hua posted on platform X, acknowledging that he is very ordinary yet important. Whether in the classical industry or entering the cryptocurrency space, we have always focused on primary investment Liquid Capital & investment bank Liquid Digital and secondary trading Trend Research (crypto) & Trend Investment (classical). Although operating projects and exchanges are very profitable, our energy and capabilities are indeed limited, leaving us only to envy and be jealous.In 2018, we incubated a market maker, but because the team kept the profits for themselves and left the losses to us, we were left battered and bruised. After exiting in 2019, we have not deeply participated in market making again; at most, we have seen some good trading teams and made some investments. Conspiracy theories are always the most popular, but I am not a hexagonal warrior; where would I have the ability and energy to manage projects? The exchanges are very clear about this.

Crypto fund manager McCann is under investigation in Zanzibar, Tanzania, after his fiancée was suspected to have died by suicide. McCann's passport has been confiscated by local police, and he has been asked to remain in the area while awaiting the results of the forensic autopsy.Recently, 31-year-old American influencer Ashlee Jenae died at a luxury resort in Tanzania. Her fiancé Joe McCann is the founder of the crypto hedge fund Asymmetric. McCann claims his wife hanged herself, but Jenae's family and friends strongly deny this and have issued an open letter stating that she would never commit suicide, demanding a thorough investigation by the authorities. Public information shows that Joe McCann's fund suffered a 78% loss in July 2025 and was forced to close. The timeline from the fund's collapse to the sudden death after their engagement has led the crypto community to question whether it is merely a coincidence.

The ETH/BTC exchange rate has risen to a 10-week high, with Ethereum's recent performance outperforming Bitcoin. This ratio has broken through the resistance level of a downward trend line since 2025 and is above the 50-day and 100-day exponential moving averages.XWIN Research points out that the employee statement released by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission explains that DeFi front-end and wallet interfaces do not need to register as broker-dealers under conditions such as non-custodial and neutral fee structures, which has boosted Ethereum's strength. On-chain data shows an upward trend in active addresses, and the Coinbase premium gap is also improving, indicating that U.S. institutional demand is recovering.Enterprise-level accumulation is accelerating, with Bitmine increasing its holdings by 279,000 ETH in the past 30 days, currently holding 4.87 million ETH, accounting for over 4% of the circulating supply. In the futures market, global ETH open interest has reached $16.37 billion, with the funding rate still negative, indicating that shorts are dominant. However, open interest on Binance has increased by 10.47% to $6.04 billion, and the funding rate has turned positive, creating an extreme imbalance between global shorts and Binance longs.

According to market news, boosted by the strength of technology stocks and optimistic expectations that the conflict between the United States and Iran may ease, the Nasdaq Composite Index rose to 24,016.02 points on Wednesday, up 1.59%; the S&P 500 Index rose to 7,022.95 points, up 0.8%, both reaching all-time highs.During the same period, Bitcoin briefly touched $75,229, rising 1.07% in 24 hours and nearly 10% over the past two weeks. Reports cited Fundstrat Chief Investment Officer Tom Lee's view that the next phase of the rally may be driven by Bitcoin, Ether, and technology stocks.

Bitcoin rose to about $74,935 during the Asian session, up 0.7% in the last 24 hours and 5.4% for the week. However, the derivatives market is sending mixed signals. Institutional firm QCP Capital pointed out that this round of increase is mainly driven by spot trading, rather than a broad recovery in risk appetite.Currently, the funding rate for Bitcoin perpetual contracts remains negative, and open interest has decreased, indicating that short sellers are still increasing hedges rather than passively closing positions. The options market is also leaning towards caution: short-term implied volatility is sluggish, with one-month volatility lower than three-month volatility, and the risk reversal indicator shows that the market's demand for downside protection is higher than for upside bets, indicating that traders are more inclined to pay for potential declines rather than chase upward movements. QCP believes this is more of a "bounce" rather than a trend reversal.On a macro level, long-term U.S. Treasury yields and gold prices have not confirmed a recovery in risk appetite, with gold still near high levels, indicating that safe-haven demand remains. Institutions point out that the current market is more driven by expectations of a ceasefire and "emotional repair," rather than a core risk being alleviated. Additionally, Ethereum has shown relatively strong performance, with the ETH/BTC ratio rising to about 0.0315, combined with on-chain transaction volumes and stablecoin supply reaching all-time highs, indicating signs of capital rotating towards high β assets. However, the market still needs to observe the evolution of subsequent risk events to confirm the sustainability of this round of increase.

CoW Swap tweeted that it has regained control of the cow.fi domain and has been operating normally on cow.finance for some time, and is currently gradually transitioning back to the original domain.The official statement indicated that the attacker deceived the DNS registrar with forged documents on April 14 to gain control of the cow.fi domain; the attacker deployed a highly realistic phishing website, implementing it in two phases: first, inducing users to sign malicious transactions through a wallet stealer, and then stealing mnemonic phrases and passwords through fake wallet pop-ups; this attack targeted the domain registrar and did not involve a breach of CoW Swap's own infrastructure or private keys. Affected users should use tools like Revoke.cash to revoke all authorizations and consider transferring funds to a new wallet.