Scan to download
BTC $76,568.39 +2.44%
ETH $2,390.61 +2.05%
BNB $636.50 +2.33%
XRP $1.46 +3.20%
SOL $89.27 +4.30%
TRX $0.3242 -0.71%
DOGE $0.1000 +3.30%
ADA $0.2612 +3.92%
BCH $451.27 +2.49%
LINK $9.64 +3.02%
HYPE $44.12 -1.93%
AAVE $116.42 +8.78%
SUI $1.00 +2.94%
XLM $0.1710 +5.83%
ZEC $341.23 -0.75%
BTC $76,568.39 +2.44%
ETH $2,390.61 +2.05%
BNB $636.50 +2.33%
XRP $1.46 +3.20%
SOL $89.27 +4.30%
TRX $0.3242 -0.71%
DOGE $0.1000 +3.30%
ADA $0.2612 +3.92%
BCH $451.27 +2.49%
LINK $9.64 +3.02%
HYPE $44.12 -1.93%
AAVE $116.42 +8.78%
SUI $1.00 +2.94%
XLM $0.1710 +5.83%
ZEC $341.23 -0.75%

cow

TD Cowen: The review window for the US cryptocurrency bill may be extended to the August recess, and if not passed, it may be postponed until 2027

According to The Block, investment bank TD Cowen stated that the time window for the U.S. to pass the crypto market structure bill may extend to the August recess, breaking the previous expectation that legislation needed to be completed before the Easter recess.Jaret Seiberg, managing director of TD Cowen's Washington research team, pointed out that the Easter recess is not a critical milestone, and legislative work can continue before and after the recess. With the conclusion of the primaries, some lawmakers will have greater flexibility for negotiations. Seiberg believes that the August recess is the last meaningful legislative window, after which Congress will only meet for 12 days in September and 2 days in October, which is only enough time to handle spending bills and defense authorization bills.He also reiterated that if control of Congress changes after the 2026 midterm elections, the bill may be delayed until 2027. It is expected that the House may shift to Democratic control, at which point the Democrats may choose to delay until 2027 to gain greater leverage. Currently, the crypto bill is stalled due to opposition from the banking sector regarding stablecoin yields and the Democrats seeking conflict-of-interest provisions for government officials, but both sides are reportedly close to reaching a compromise. Seiberg stated that if the bill does not pass in 2026, the SEC will provide the regulatory actions needed for the crypto industry.

TD Cowen: The U.S. Congress is close to permanently banning the Federal Reserve from issuing CBDC

Investment bank TD Cowen stated that the U.S. Congress may be close to passing legislation to permanently prohibit the Federal Reserve from issuing a Central Bank Digital Currency (CBDC). This move could benefit stablecoin issuers but may also introduce new complexities for cryptocurrency market structure legislation.Last week, U.S. Senator Ted Cruz proposed an amendment in the housing bill "21st Century ROAD to Housing Act," calling for a permanent ban on the Federal Reserve issuing CBDC. The amendment aims to convert the currently effective temporary ban, which lasts until 2030, into a permanent provision. The housing bill is expected to be submitted for a Senate vote as early as this week.Jaret Seiberg, Managing Director of TD Cowen's Washington research department, indicated that the housing bill ultimately submitted for the president's signature is likely to include this ban, and the possibility of a permanent ban is higher than that of a temporary one. Seiberg pointed out that the amendment is primarily aimed at solidifying the current policy stance.The Federal Reserve has repeatedly stated that it will not issue a digital dollar without explicit authorization from Congress. Meanwhile, several U.S. lawmakers have recently co-signed a letter to congressional leadership, urging for a permanent ban on CBDC. Congressman Ralph Norman stated that unlike cash, CBDC could allow the government to track transactions and monitor individual spending behavior, thus a permanent ban is necessary to protect the privacy and freedom of Americans.It is noteworthy that the U.S. House of Representatives passed the "Anti-CBDC Surveillance State Act" last year, which prohibits the Federal Reserve from directly issuing CBDC to individuals. Cruz has also been actively pushing for similar legislation in the Senate.

Investment bank TD Cowen: If Trump agrees to fill the Democratic vacancies at the SEC and CFTC, the progress of the CLARITY Act may be effectively promoted

According to The Block, investment bank TD Cowen stated that filling the Democratic vacancies at the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission and the Commodity Futures Trading Commission could help advance negotiations on the U.S. crypto market structure bill.The investment bank pointed out that the biggest obstacle to the passage of this bill is not its core framework (i.e., whether digital assets should be regulated as securities by the SEC or as commodities by the CFTC), but rather a political dispute surrounding conflict of interest rules.Democrats are pushing for a ban to prevent senior government officials and their families from engaging in specific financial transactions involving digital assets. TD Cowen noted that, given Trump's involvement in the crypto project World Liberty Financial, this proposal would affect Trump and his family. Bloomberg estimated last month that Trump has made about $1.4 billion from his crypto project. The Trump family also holds a 20% stake in the mining company American Bitcoin.According to TD Cowen, it is unlikely that Democrats will abandon this demand, as the party has used Trump's crypto asset holdings as campaign material ahead of the midterm elections. Last month, no Democratic senators voted in favor of a bill in the Senate Agriculture Committee, citing concerns over Trump's crypto project. It remains unclear whether Democrats will support the Senate Banking Committee's bill.TD Cowen stated that Republicans oppose the proposal because they believe Trump would veto any legislation requiring his family to divest their crypto asset holdings. The report added that this disagreement has already caused a political stalemate, even as industry groups continue to negotiate the crypto regulatory framework.One possible path forward is for both parties to reach a compromise. In this scenario, Trump would agree to fill the Democratic vacancies at the SEC and CFTC. In return, Democrats would accept conflict of interest provisions that would only take effect after the next presidential inauguration.

TD Cowen: The cryptocurrency market structure bill may be delayed until 2027 for passage and implemented in 2029

According to The Block, investment bank TD Cowen stated that the U.S. legislative process aimed at establishing clear rules for the cryptocurrency market may take longer than expected, with the passage of related bills potentially delayed until 2027, and actual implementation possibly postponed until 2029.In a report released by TD Cowen on Monday, it was noted that while there is still a path to push the cryptocurrency market structure bill through this year, the political maneuvering in the U.S. Congress increases the likelihood of delays. The agency believes that the Democrats currently lack the motivation to accelerate the legislative process, especially considering their assessment that they may regain control of the House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections.It also stated that election outcomes are always filled with uncertainty, so Democrats may reach an agreement, which could happen quickly as staff have been researching technical terms for months. Timing is favorable for the passage of the bill; if the bill is passed in 2027 and takes effect in 2029, then the issues will disappear. The cryptocurrency industry needs to accept that the presidential election may affect the final rules, and Democrats also need to acknowledge that conflict of interest provisions do not apply to Trump.
app_icon
ChainCatcher Building the Web3 world with innovations.