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BTC $77,394.07 +3.28%
ETH $2,428.15 +3.71%
BNB $642.25 +1.35%
XRP $1.48 +2.28%
SOL $89.07 +0.13%
TRX $0.3271 +0.00%
DOGE $0.1001 +1.51%
ADA $0.2606 +1.25%
BCH $454.78 +2.08%
LINK $9.64 +1.60%
HYPE $44.53 +2.59%
AAVE $116.59 +2.20%
SUI $1.01 +2.59%
XLM $0.1744 +4.57%
ZEC $326.75 -4.46%

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Bitwise: Geopolitical conflicts are enhancing Bitcoin's safe-haven attributes, with $1 million potentially becoming the benchmark price

Bitwise Asset Management points out that the recent strength of Bitcoin is not contrary to a risk-averse environment, but is directly driven by geopolitical conflicts. Since the escalation of the situation in the Middle East at the end of February, BTC has risen by about 12%, while the S&P 500 index has fallen by about 1% and gold has dropped by about 10%, showing a clear divergence in performance.Bitwise CIO Matt Hougan and research director Ryan Rasmussen state that Bitcoin is simultaneously embodying two logics: "store of value asset" and "potential international settlement currency." As the financial system becomes "weaponized" and the global payment system fractures, the appeal of non-sovereign neutral assets continues to rise. The report suggests that geopolitical fragmentation is prompting some countries to explore alternative paths to bypass the traditional financial system, such as attempting to introduce Bitcoin settlements in trade. This trend enhances BTC's potential position in the global monetary system. Based on the aforementioned changes, Bitwise indicates that the Bitcoin valuation framework is being reshaped; if it captures both store of value and transaction settlement demand, long-term price expectations may be underestimated, and $1 million could shift from a target ceiling to a "benchmark level."

Robinhood excludes some prediction market contracts due to concerns about market manipulation and insider trading risks

As Robinhood accelerates its layout in the prediction market, it has proactively excluded certain contract products due to concerns that they may foster market manipulation and insider trading risks. Robinhood UK President Jordan Sinclair stated that the company is highly attentive to market abuse issues and will not offer all prediction markets or event contracts to users, but will selectively launch products that are more suitable for customers.Recently, several "precise betting" incidents have raised regulatory concerns. For example, there were unusually large bets placed on Polymarket before U.S. actions against Iran; Israeli regulators have also sued two individuals who used confidential information to place bets. Additionally, "mention markets" (such as words that will appear in a speech being bet on) have been explicitly excluded from Robinhood's product range due to their susceptibility to manipulation.Currently, Robinhood primarily provides compliant prediction market services through partnerships with Kalshi and ForecastEx, prioritizing regulated platforms to reduce information abuse and cross-border compliance risks. In contrast, the less regulated Polymarket allows users to trade through cryptocurrency wallets with relatively loose identity verification.Robinhood previously anticipated that prediction markets would become an important growth engine, with CEO Vlad Tenev stating that this business could become one of the fastest-growing segments by 2025, potentially driving the formation of a trillion-dollar annual trading scale in the future.

Illustration of Robinhood's 12 Web3 business partners: Compliance capabilities are transforming into competitive barriers

The Web3 asset data platform RootData has outlined Robinhood's Web3 partners, whose crypto supply chain covers key aspects such as data services, risk control compliance, and trading liquidity. Compliance capabilities are shifting from a "cost item" to a "competitive barrier."Structurally, Robinhood's crypto layout emphasizes compliance first and robust expansion: on one hand, it holds multiple financial and crypto-related licenses in the U.S. and several other regions, giving it a first-mover advantage in advancing its business within the regulatory framework; on the other hand, its partner selection clearly favors suppliers with strong compliance capabilities and mature institutional-level services.In the risk control and compliance aspects, Robinhood has introduced service providers like TRM Labs and Sardine to enhance on-chain transaction monitoring and anti-fraud capabilities; at the infrastructure level, it ensures system stability and data reliability through established networks and service providers such as Arbitrum, Polygon, Alchemy, and Chainlink; in terms of trading and liquidity, it supports platforms like Bitstamp and WonderFi that have compliance operating experience. Related compilation: 【Robinhood Crypto Partner Network Compilation (Continuously Updated)】Crypto projects actively showcasing their partner networks have become a key way to enhance transparency and market trust. It is reported that RootData welcomes Web3 project parties to claim data and continues to track and open more project business relationship disclosure channels. The platform has continuously released multiple editions of the crypto project ecosystem map, nominating Web3 ecosystem partners for upstream clients such as Visa, Stripe, and Coinbase.If you wish to nominate your project in future ecosystem maps, please fill out the 【RootData 2026 Industry Ecosystem Mapping】 form to supplement your important clients and partners.
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