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pow

traderpow is a trader who is passionate about meme coins and NFTs, preferring high-risk, high-reward operations.
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The founder of Personal AI Agent Instinct stated that the number of users increases by about 10% daily, and the computing power nearly doubles every week

Noah Shinn, founder of Personal AI Agent Instinct, stated that the company's user base has been growing by about 10% to 11% daily in recent weeks, leading to a corresponding demand for computing power that is close to doubling each week. He now spends about 40% of his time considering how much computing power to purchase in advance.Shinn indicated that computing power cannot be procured in sync with user growth. Purchasing only double the current computing power would be exhausted in about a week; buying five times would run out in less than three weeks; directly purchasing ten times would mean a significant upfront investment. Many resources need to be booked months in advance, and the price for temporarily supplementing computing power could be three to four times higher. He mentioned that purchasing too little makes it difficult to support growth, while purchasing too much would amplify costs when growth slows down.He estimates that even if the daily growth rate drops from 10% to 5% to 8%, after continuous growth for 3 to 4 months, it may still be necessary to prepare computing power for a scale of 100 million users, and the waiting time for new computing power to come online would be roughly the same. He believes that this is more challenging than scaling consumer internet products like Instagram and Facebook, because each new user of the personal agent continuously consumes a large amount of model inference. He stated that Instinct's current scaling speed is even faster than similar situations encountered by Claude Code and Codex in the past.

first_img Grayscale Research Director: Computing power is becoming a new scarce digital asset

On September 24, Zach Pandl, the research director of the cryptocurrency asset management company Grayscale, published an article in the column The Stack stating that in the wave of artificial intelligence, the demand and supply paths for the computing power required to train, run, and operate models are diverging. Grayscale believes that this imbalance favors owners of already powered and operational computing capacity and brings growth-oriented investment opportunities.Zach Pandl stated that digital demand can expand instantly, but physical infrastructure such as electricity, data centers, chips, memory, and cloud services takes years to approve, access, and build. When artificial intelligence agents perform multi-step tasks, they may consume 5 to 50 times more compute tokens than typical chatbot interactions, and increased application layer activity will transmit to the underlying computing infrastructure.The article cites data from the International Energy Agency and Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory, stating that data centers are expected to account for about half of the growth in electricity demand in the United States by 2030, and new projects may take more than five years to connect to the grid. Even if electricity is secured, permits, specialized labor, electrical equipment, cooling systems, GPUs, high-bandwidth memory, and networks are still needed. Continuous value will flow to power producers, data center operators, and artificial intelligence cloud service providers that can convert electricity into computation.

Analysis: Global debt continues to rise, Bitcoin benefits from the decline in fiat currency purchasing power

According to Forbes, Bitcoin approached $90,000 earlier this month. Meanwhile, global debt continues to rise, and the "currency depreciation trade" surrounding the decline in purchasing power of fiat currency has become one of the factors driving up assets like Bitcoin and gold.Data from the Institute of International Finance shows that global debt increased by $10 trillion in the first half of this year, surpassing $365 trillion in total. The U.S. debt has exceeded $40 trillion, with annual interest payments rising to $1.27 trillion, surpassing defense and Medicare spending, and only lower than Social Security spending. The institute warns that as benchmark interest rates rise, interest costs will also increase.Nic Puckrin, founder of Coin Bureau and cross-asset analyst, stated that the current environment is favorable for "currency depreciation assets" like Bitcoin and gold, which is part of the reason for Bitcoin's recent rise. The larger the debt of major economies, the more likely it is to suppress real borrowing costs and allow inflation to erode the real value of debt, thereby enhancing the attractiveness of such trades.Analysts from The Kobeissi Letter pointed out that the purchasing power of the dollar has declined by 23% since 2020; if assets only increased by 30% during the same period, investors have essentially just broken even in terms of real purchasing power. The U.S. inflation rate has been above the Federal Reserve's 2% target for 60 consecutive months.
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