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BTC $77,943.63 +4.22%
ETH $2,447.69 +4.51%
BNB $643.89 +3.00%
XRP $1.49 +4.05%
SOL $90.15 +3.86%
TRX $0.3252 -0.15%
DOGE $0.1008 +3.13%
ADA $0.2642 +4.14%
BCH $458.81 +3.92%
LINK $9.77 +3.28%
HYPE $45.34 +1.34%
AAVE $116.75 +5.94%
SUI $1.02 +4.00%
XLM $0.1748 +5.95%
ZEC $345.10 +1.61%

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Analysis: The prospects for US-Iran talks are bleak, but a narrow path to reaching an agreement still exists

According to Jinshi Data, the prospects for a diplomatic resolution to the US-Iran war remain bleak, but analysts believe that there is still a channel for reaching an agreement.Turkey, Egypt, and Pakistan, as mediators, are pushing for US and Iranian officials to meet as soon as this week. US President Trump and his political allies have expressed a positive attitude towards negotiations. It is reported that the US and Israel have temporarily removed Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi and Parliament Speaker Mohammad-Bagher Ghalibaf from the assassination list for 4 to 5 days to create conditions for the negotiations to start.The demands of both sides after the war have significantly exceeded their pre-war positions. Iran demands that the US compensate for war damages, close military bases in the Middle East, and charge shipping companies passing through the Strait of Hormuz; the US demands that Iran stop uranium enrichment, restore freedom of navigation in the Strait, and limit its missile program and support for regional militias.Analysts believe that if both sides determine that the cost of war is unbearable, they may first reach a ceasefire agreement and postpone core issues such as uranium stock disposal, verification mechanisms, and sanctions relief to subsequent negotiations. Michael Singh from the Washington Institute stated that a path for a minimum ceasefire agreement to proceed alongside a complete agenda is still feasible.

The U.S. cryptocurrency bill is in a new deadlock, and its prospects are uncertain

The U.S. cryptocurrency legislation negotiations have hit a new deadlock. The banking sector has stated that it cannot support the compromise proposed by the White House, which allows stablecoin issuers to offer yield products in specific scenarios such as peer-to-peer payments, but prohibits providing yields on idle holdings. Crypto companies have accepted this compromise, but banks still wish to strictly limit the scope of businesses that can offer rewards, believing that the relevant terms may trigger deposit outflows.Standard Chartered estimates that by the end of 2028, stablecoins could siphon off about $500 billion in deposits from the U.S. banking system. Trump stated on the Truth Social platform that he would not allow the banking sector to "undermine our strong crypto agenda." Crypto industry participants, including Coinbase, Ripple, and the Blockchain Association, have been involved in the negotiations. Blockchain Association CEO Summer Mersinger stated that "the path to a viable agreement is clearer than it was a month ago." The bill also faces other challenges: it needs the support of at least 7 Democratic senators, with some Democrats calling for a ban on elected officials profiting from crypto businesses, while other lawmakers are urging the inclusion of stricter anti-money laundering provisions. The bill also needs to be reconciled with the version from the Senate Agriculture Committee and compete for scheduling against other bills, such as housing policy reforms, in the limited Senate agenda.Adrian Wall, Managing Director of the Digital Sovereignty Alliance, stated that if the bill is not submitted to the president for signing before July, the midterm elections will close the window for passage.
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