Analysis: The recent decline of Bitcoin shows signs of "decoupling" from the US stock market
According to Bloomberg, Bitcoin is heading towards its fourth annual decline in history, and this is the first time this downturn has occurred without being accompanied by a major scandal or a systemic collapse in the industry. This decline comes as institutional participation expands, the regulatory environment matures, and the crypto industry receives public support from U.S. President Trump, which has surprised the market.Since hitting an all-time high above $126,000 in early October, Bitcoin has quickly retraced, with current trading volumes low and investors continuously withdrawing from related products. Data shows that since October 10, there has been a net outflow of over $5.2 billion from Bitcoin spot ETFs listed in the U.S., the market depth has decreased by about 30% from this year's peak, and there is a noticeable lack of willingness in the derivatives market to bet on a rebound.Unlike previous bear markets, this round of decline was not triggered by exchange collapses, regulatory crackdowns, or systemic risk events. The previous three annual declines occurred during the Mt. Gox collapse (2014), the ICO bubble burst (2018), and the industry crisis triggered by the FTX incident (2022). Analysts point out that Bitcoin has shown signs of "decoupling" from the U.S. stock market during this decline. This year, the S&P 500 index has repeatedly hit new highs, with an increase of about 16% year-to-date, and tech stocks have performed particularly well, while Bitcoin continues to face pressure.Apollo Crypto stated that despite numerous positive factors, the price lacks sustained follow-through, reflecting a clear weakening of market sentiment. Overall, this round of Bitcoin adjustment appears more like a reallocation of funds and a decline in risk appetite against a high backdrop, rather than a panic sell-off triggered by a single event.