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As the first centralized exchange (CEX) to connect with Polymarket, Gate's data shows that in the prediction event "How will the Federal Reserve's April interest rate decision change?", the market estimates the probability of interest rates remaining unchanged at a high of 99%. Currently, the overall sentiment in the macro market is cautious, with most participants expecting to maintain a wait-and-see stance in this month's meeting, awaiting more economic data guidance. Keeping interest rates unchanged helps stabilize market liquidity and risk appetite, and various assets, including stock indices and commodities, are expected to attract investor interest. Gate has a comprehensive layout of traditional asset categories, covering the widest range in the network.In addition, users can directly access the prediction market through the Gate App, entering the Polymarket page from the platform's homepage Alpha and using USDT in their exchange account to participate in event predictions. This integration marks a key step for Gate in the fusion of the crypto trading ecosystem and prediction markets, also bringing users a more open and diverse market participation experience.

According to Jinshi reports, Deutsche Bank expects that the Federal Reserve will keep interest rates unchanged in 2026, whereas the previous forecast was for a rate cut in September.

The native companion asset of Bitcoin, DMT-NAT (abbreviated as NAT), has now landed on the Spider Mining Pool. Miners can simultaneously receive NAT rewards while mining BTC in the same block, achieving dual earnings and ushering in an era of dual-layer rewards in the industry.It is reported that NAT shares computing power, blocks, and addresses with BTC, allowing for simultaneous production without additional operations. This asset is produced every 10 minutes in sync with Bitcoin blocks, with approximately 386 million NAT (currently valued at about 38 USD) produced per block, corresponding to a total market value of about 38 million USD. The output will gradually decrease with block height and mining difficulty, and the code is fully open source.When the single block reward reaches 50,000 USD (market value of 50 billion USD), it can cover part of the miners' costs, thereby enhancing the overall network's computing power. Against the backdrop of Bitcoin halving, it injects new momentum for Bitcoin miners.

Charles Hoskinson, the founder of Cardano, stated that Bitcoin's quantum defense proposal BIP-361 has been mischaracterized as a soft fork, and is actually closer to a hard fork, and it cannot protect approximately 1.7 million early BTC generated before 2013, including about 1 million bitcoins attributed to Satoshi Nakamoto.He mentioned that the zero-knowledge proof recovery scheme in the proposal relies on BIP-39 mnemonic phrases, while early wallets used different key generation methods that cannot provide the required proof, thus the relevant assets may be permanently frozen under the current scheme. Reports also indicated that BIP-361 co-author Jameson Lopp described it as a rough concept for an emergency plan, rather than a final specification.

According to Jinshi reports, CME's "Fed Watch" shows that the probability of the Federal Reserve raising interest rates by 25 basis points in April is 0.5%, while the probability of keeping rates unchanged is 99.5%. In addition, the probability of the Federal Reserve cumulatively cutting rates by 25 basis points by June is 1.4%, the probability of keeping rates unchanged is 98%, and the probability of cumulatively raising rates by 25 basis points is 0.5%.

According to Jin Shi reports, Federal Reserve Governor Milan stated that, given the inflation situation that had already emerged before the Middle East conflict, he may lower his expectations for interest rate cuts again this year. Milan mentioned that if he were to draw the dot plot now, he would lean towards cutting rates 3 times, possibly 4 times, but has not made a final decision yet. In March, he expected to cut rates 4 times this year, each by 25 basis points, but the pace of cuts may slow down if price trends become "less favorable."

According to Jinshi reports, Federal Reserve Governor Milan stated that it is likely that there will only be three interest rate cuts for the remainder of this year.

Deribit officially tweeted that tomorrow at 08:00 UTC (16:00 Beijing time), approximately 2.1 billion dollars worth of cryptocurrency options will expire on the platform.Among them, the notional value of BTC options is about 1.63 billion dollars, with a put/call ratio of 1.02, having flipped from bullish dominance to bearish dominance since last week; the notional value of ETH options is about 445 million dollars, with a put/call ratio of 0.94, and the open interest (OI) for Ethereum has increased week-on-week.Deribit pointed out that despite overall market volatility, both major assets are currently operating below their maximum pain price levels. The maximum pain for BTC is 71,000 dollars, and for ETH it is 2,250 dollars.

According to Jinshi reports, New York Fed President Williams reiterated that monetary policy remains in a favorable position to address the threat of long-term supply shocks caused by the Middle East war. He stated that the current monetary policy stance can balance the risks to employment and inflation targets. Williams expects U.S. economic growth this year to be between 2% and 2.5%, with an unemployment rate of about 4.25% to 4.5%, and an inflation rate between 2.75% and 3%.

Gate is hosting an F1 Red Bull Racing car display parade in Hong Kong, with the display cars appearing around Victoria Harbour and proceeding along a designated route, attracting market and public attention.This parade serves as an important offline action in the cross-industry collaboration between Gate and the F1 Red Bull Racing team, bringing top-tier racing culture into urban landmark scenes, enhancing brand exposure and discussion.From April 18 to 24, Gate will also launch the "Racing the Future" outdoor cross-industry exhibition at the K11 MUSEA waterfront promenade in Hong Kong, which will focus on showcasing Red Bull Racing cars and related equipment, as well as setting up interactive experience areas.As the official sponsor of the F1 Red Bull Racing team, this exhibition will be the first to showcase the brand new 2026 Red Bull Racing car and core equipment, introducing an immersive interactive experience area that recreates the fusion of top racing engineering and the aesthetics of speed.In addition, Gate will hold the "Gate 13 Blue Carpet Ceremony" on April 20, where the unveiling of the F1 Red Bull Racing display car and brand collaboration will take place. That evening, Gate will also host a high-end anniversary dinner event at the Rosewood Hong Kong, where platform founder and CEO Dr. Han will be present, and it is expected that over 300 representatives from top industry institutions and partners will be invited to participate in the exchange.

According to The Block, the Washington think tank Cato Institute published an article criticizing the current Bitcoin tax policy in the United States. Researcher Nick Anthony pointed out that the current tax framework treats Bitcoin as "property" rather than "currency," requiring users to calculate capital gains or losses for each transaction individually, even for everyday small purchases. This makes tax reporting extremely cumbersome and effectively hinders the adoption of Bitcoin as a payment tool.In response, the Cato Institute proposed several reform suggestions, including completely eliminating the capital gains tax on cryptocurrency payments and introducing a tax-free threshold for small transactions. The report also mentioned the existing "Virtual Currency Tax Fairness Act," which aims to exempt cryptocurrency transactions under $200, but Anthony believes this threshold is too low to cover the actual spending levels of consumers. Currently, the Trump administration has expressed support for establishing a small tax exemption for cryptocurrency transactions and will continue to evaluate related legislative options.

According to Lookonchain monitoring, trader 7Be6hv spent 0.1 SOL (8.5 USD) to buy 6636 BELIEF and staked it, earning 25.06 SOL (2160 USD) and 2.9 million BELIEF (currently worth 7768 USD) as staking rewards.

Crypto fund manager McCann is under investigation in Zanzibar, Tanzania, after his fiancée was suspected to have died by suicide. McCann's passport has been confiscated by local police, and he has been asked to remain in the area while awaiting the results of the forensic autopsy.Recently, 31-year-old American influencer Ashlee Jenae died at a luxury resort in Tanzania. Her fiancé Joe McCann is the founder of the crypto hedge fund Asymmetric. McCann claims his wife hanged herself, but Jenae's family and friends strongly deny this and have issued an open letter stating that she would never commit suicide, demanding a thorough investigation by the authorities. Public information shows that Joe McCann's fund suffered a 78% loss in July 2025 and was forced to close. The timeline from the fund's collapse to the sudden death after their engagement has led the crypto community to question whether it is merely a coincidence.

Brevis co-founder and CEO Michael confirmed attendance at the "Crypto 2026: From Cryptocurrency to Smart Economy" themed forum to be held in Hong Kong on April 19, and will participate in a roundtable discussion. This event is co-hosted by ChainCatcher and RootData, and is one of the important peripheral activities of the Hong Kong Web3 Carnival.Brevis is a zero-knowledge verifiable computing platform for Web3, allowing applications to move complex and expensive computations off-chain while providing trustworthy proofs on-chain. Its core components include Pico zkVM, ZK data co-processor, and the decentralized proof market ProverNet, which has generated hundreds of millions of proofs for over 40 protocols, covering 6 mainstream blockchains. This forum will focus on the paradigm shift under the deep integration of AI technology and crypto networks, engaging in in-depth discussions on cutting-edge tracks such as AI Agent economy, smart payments, RWA, and crypto infrastructure. At the intersection of technological leaps and economic restructuring, this themed forum not only provides insights into the current state of the industry but also offers a forward-looking reflection on the future smart economic system.Event registration: https://luma.com/18v6vwpf

AI native infrastructure and programmable IP blockchain Story announced the launch of the Confidential Data Rails (CDR) testnet, a universal secure data transmission architecture designed to enable the secure flow and compliant use of sensitive data in AI and general scenarios, under the premise that data is always encrypted and does not leave the domain.CDR supports end-to-end encryption, preset access permissions, and provides secure sharing capabilities for API keys and integration credentials. In addition, Story, as the infrastructure provider for the Seoul Exchange over the next two years, will provide ongoing technical and ecological support for the Korean RWA market.

Famous trader Killa (@KillaXBT) posted that there is a CME exhaustion gap around $84,000 for Bitcoin, just before the waterfall decline. This gap is similar to two gaps in 2022, which took 290 days and over 500 days to fill, respectively. Killa believes that the current Bitcoin trend is highly similar to the 2022 pattern, suggesting that the $84,000 gap is unlikely to be filled in the short term, so the local top may be closer than most people expect to the $80,000 target.He reminds traders that the current market's expectation of chasing highs may face downward pressure rather than a quick rebound. In previous news, Killa announced that he had shorted Bitcoin at $74,688, with a stop-loss price of $80,000. As a quantitative trader focused on BTC, Killa predicted the peak of this bull market in May 2025 and has over 180,000 followers on the X platform.

BitMEX co-founder Arthur Hayes stated in his latest article that his fund Maelstrom is currently in a "No Trade Zone," and aside from a slight increase in long positions in Hyperliquid, trading operations have basically ceased in the first quarter.Hayes believes the current market faces two key variables: first, the large-scale proliferation of AI agents will destroy the flexible labor market in the West, leading to a wave of unemployment among knowledge workers and a deflationary financial collapse; second, the war against Iran led by the Trump administration has been ongoing for seven weeks, posing a serious threat to shipping in the Strait of Hormuz.

According to on-chain analyst Yu Jin's monitoring, the last whale trader on Hyperliquid has completely closed a long position in ETH and BTC worth approximately $398 million, with a total profit of about $68.47 million.This trader opened long positions of 120,000 ETH and 1,500 BTC through four addresses between February and March, and began to take profits in batches after a significant rebound in the crypto market. The opening range for ETH was approximately $2,000 to $2,150, with profits taken around $2,390; the opening price for BTC was around $68,420, with profits taken around $74,700.