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BTC $77,864.57 +4.93%
ETH $2,450.11 +5.72%
BNB $645.46 +3.26%
XRP $1.50 +5.43%
SOL $90.32 +5.10%
TRX $0.3255 -0.35%
DOGE $0.1019 +5.50%
ADA $0.2657 +5.61%
BCH $458.89 +4.30%
LINK $9.82 +5.17%
HYPE $45.19 +2.80%
AAVE $118.32 +8.74%
SUI $1.03 +6.12%
XLM $0.1766 +8.02%
ZEC $344.72 +3.02%

eset

Analyst: The recent rise in Bitcoin is driven by position resetting and reduced supply elasticity

According to Decrypt, the Bitcoin rebound continues, breaking through $71,000 for the first time in three weeks, but whether this upward trend can be sustained still depends on the overall liquidity environment and geopolitical risks.Ranveer Arora, co-founder and CEO of Altura, stated, "The continuous inflow of ETF funds provides structural buying support, but the more direct driving factors seem to be position resets, reduced supply elasticity post-halving, and improved liquidity expectations. In the crypto market, once selling pressure is digested and positions start to rotate, the flow of leverage and derivatives often accelerates the price discovery process." Arora believes that Bitcoin's performance is still closely related to the global liquidity environment. He pointed out that Bitcoin's performance "is less like a traditional defensive asset and more like a high-beta expression of global liquidity conditions."Alex J., Chief Product Officer of LetsExchange, stated that Bitcoin's rise to $71,000 is "mainly driven by escalating geopolitical tensions and rising uncertainty." When asked whether this rebound can be sustained, Alex J. said, "It's unlikely. But the price is also not expected to drop significantly." He explained that when the global financial system experiences severe turmoil, significantly affecting the liquidity flows between different assets, Bitcoin struggles to compete with conservative assets like gold.

CryptoQuant: BTC valuation reset is underway, and the market is gradually returning to fundamentals

According to market news, CryptoQuant analyst MorenoDV_ stated that a valuation reset for Bitcoin is occurring.By observing the Bitcoin NVT golden cross indicator (smoothed with a 100-day moving average), the relationship between market valuation and on-chain economic activity can be assessed. NVT is considered the price-to-earnings ratio for Bitcoin, where transaction volume replaces earnings to answer the question of whether the network's market value aligns with actual economic activity. The current NVT golden cross indicator shows that short-term NVT is significantly below the long-term trend, indicating that Bitcoin's market value is undervalued relative to on-chain activity.Historically, when the indicator shows a deep negative divergence, it typically reflects low market sentiment and structural undervaluation of the network. In this cycle, the indicator fell to a historical low of -0.58 and has now rebounded to about -0.32, indicating that prices are gradually realigning with the transaction-driven fundamentals, but still remain in a conservative valuation range. This phenomenon usually occurs during deleveraging and risk-averse phases, followed by a market accumulation period that drives healthier price discovery. The current market is transitioning from deep undervaluation to equilibrium, with selective capital strengthening, which may signal structural improvements and long-term opportunities in the crypto market.
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