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SOL $62.11 -4.26%
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HYPE $56.82 -4.86%
AAVE $60.73 -3.08%
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ZEC $352.76 -5.97%

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Grayscale: Bitcoin may enter a recovery period in the coming months, but forming a sustainable bottom still requires new buying support

Grayscale's research director Zach Pandl stated that after Strategy disclosed the sale of 32 BTC on June 1, it triggered a new round of volatility in the BTC market. He pointed out that the scale of the sale itself is not important, as Strategy still holds approximately 840,000 BTC on its balance sheet, valued at about $5.5 billion. However, as one of the largest digital asset treasury managers in the world, its strategic shift puts pressure on market sentiment.Pandl believes that more importantly, the recent volatility affects the price of Strategy's variable rate preferred stock tool STRC. STRC is designed to maintain a price of about $100 per share, with a current dividend yield of 11.5%. If the stock price falls below $100, it means investors are demanding a higher return. Strategy can increase dividends, but this will increase future cash flow obligations and may lead to more BTC sales, further suppressing BTC prices. Strategy's leveraged business model is under pressure, increasing volatility across the entire BTC market.At the current levels of STRC and MSTR stock prices, Grayscale believes that Strategy's ability to continue accumulating more BTC is limited. However, Grayscale believes that in the long term, reducing the BTC on the leveraged digital asset treasury balance sheet and allowing more BTC to be distributed across diversified corporate balance sheets will benefit the health of the Bitcoin ecosystem. But before a sustainable bottom for BTC prices is formed, other buyers need to enter the market. Grayscale expects BTC prices to recover in the coming months, but in the short term, BTC's performance may lag behind other segments of the crypto market that directly benefit from regulatory clarity.

Gray Scale: Hyperliquid or evolve into a giant in on-chain financial infrastructure, challenging the traditional derivatives market

According to CoinDesk, digital asset management company Grayscale pointed out in its latest report that the decentralized trading platform Hyperliquid is rapidly evolving from a cryptocurrency perpetual contract exchange into a blockchain financial infrastructure platform, and may even challenge traditional derivatives trading and exchange systems in the future, growing into a "financial services giant."The report shows that Hyperliquid is expected to achieve approximately $800 million in revenue by 2025, with an annual perpetual contract trading volume of about $2.9 trillion and an open interest size of around $7 billion, occupying a significant share of the cryptocurrency derivatives market. Grayscale believes that the platform is no longer limited to cryptocurrency trading but is expanding into tokenized stocks, commodities, and prediction markets through the HIP-3 and HIP-4 systems, gradually building an all-weather on-chain trading infrastructure.FalconX also pointed out in another report that Hyperliquid is competing with traditional derivatives exchanges such as CME Group and prediction market platforms like Kalshi and Polymarket, making progress in new markets such as Pre-IPO. The report also emphasizes that regulation remains a key variable. Although Hyperliquid currently restricts access for U.S. users, as the regulatory framework becomes clearer and institutions like Coinbase, Robinhood, and Kraken explore perpetual contract products, this sector may welcome broader growth opportunities in the future.
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