Scan to download
BTC $77,084.05 +3.23%
ETH $2,408.87 +3.52%
BNB $641.76 +1.96%
XRP $1.47 +2.44%
SOL $88.51 +0.80%
TRX $0.3268 +0.39%
DOGE $0.0985 +0.95%
ADA $0.2574 +1.00%
BCH $454.49 +0.98%
LINK $9.58 +1.68%
HYPE $45.13 +3.99%
AAVE $114.49 +0.81%
SUI $0.9981 +0.85%
XLM $0.1753 +5.53%
ZEC $339.93 +1.66%
BTC $77,084.05 +3.23%
ETH $2,408.87 +3.52%
BNB $641.76 +1.96%
XRP $1.47 +2.44%
SOL $88.51 +0.80%
TRX $0.3268 +0.39%
DOGE $0.0985 +0.95%
ADA $0.2574 +1.00%
BCH $454.49 +0.98%
LINK $9.58 +1.68%
HYPE $45.13 +3.99%
AAVE $114.49 +0.81%
SUI $0.9981 +0.85%
XLM $0.1753 +5.53%
ZEC $339.93 +1.66%

reasons

Li Hua Yi: Multiple reasons have led to the market's low-level fluctuations, and institutional large funds are formulating trading strategies with a medium to long-term perspective

Liquid Capital (formerly LD Capital) founder Yi Lihua expressed on social media:"The community is confused. Trend Research is buying heavily, BMNR and MicroStrategy are buying, Zhao Changpeng is calling for a super bull market cycle, yet the coin prices remain weak and volatile. What is the reason for this? After all, the stock market and gold/silver are skyrocketing. We see several main reasons including:Four-year cycle and the 1011 crashYen interest rate hikesNo new purchases in the U.S. BTC strategic reservesShort sellers taking advantage of the current situation to drive prices downSafe-haven funds in gold, silver, and the stock marketHowever, analyzing from a contrarian perspective, at a time when so many bearish factors are present, ETH remains stable, oscillating around 3000. This is also the reason we decided to build positions after liquidating at 4500. Many people suggested we wait to buy, as there would be better entry points, but investment trading does not have a god's eye view; it is difficult to know what the lowest point will be. The difference between investment and speculation is that we find it hard to engage in short-term trading; even if we have significant unrealized gains, we remain inactive, setting our buy and sell strategies based on a medium to long-term timeline."

Analysis: The "1011" clearing event and the increasingly difficult macro environment have become the main reasons for the recent decline

Bitcoin and Ethereum have erased all gains for the year—this is a sharp turnaround for a market that witnessed Bitcoin soar to a historic high of $126,000 just two months ago. VCs point out that there are two main reasons behind this round of correction: the liquidation event on October 11 and an increasingly difficult macro environment.Rob Hadick, a general partner at Dragonfly, stated that this deleveraging event, triggered by low liquidity, poor risk management, and weak oracle or leverage mechanisms, has caused significant losses and brought about tremendous uncertainty.Boris Revsin, a general partner and managing director at Tribe Capital, shares the same view, calling it a "leverage wash" that has created a ripple effect throughout the market. Meanwhile, the macro environment has also become less friendly: expectations for short-term interest rate cuts have faded, inflation remains stubborn, the job market is weakening, geopolitical risks are rising, and consumer pressures are increasing. VCs note that this series of factors has led to weak performance in most risk assets over the past two months.Anirudh Pai, a partner at Robot Ventures, further emphasized concerns about a slowdown in the U.S. economy. Key growth indicators—including the Citigroup Economic Surprise Index and the 1-year inflation swap (a derivative used to hedge against inflation risk)—have begun to weaken. Pai noted that this pattern has also appeared before previous recession concerns, driving broader risk-averse sentiment.Dan Matuszewski, co-founder of CMS Holdings, stated that aside from tokens supported by buyback mechanisms, the crypto market has seen almost no "incremental capital inflow," except for DAT (Digital Asset Treasury) companies. With new demand drying up and ETF inflows no longer providing effective support, price declines have accelerated.
app_icon
ChainCatcher Building the Web3 world with innovations.