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optimistic

Peter Brandt: Not optimistic about Bitcoin reaching a new high this year, expects to retest $60,000 in September or October

According to Cointelegraph, renowned trader and chart analyst Peter Brandt and prediction market users hold a pessimistic view on the prospect of Bitcoin reaching a new high in 2026. Peter Brandt stated, "I don't think Bitcoin will reach a new high in 2026; it may have to wait until the second quarter of 2027." He also added, "It's all speculation." The probability of Bitcoin returning to $120,000 in 2026 on Polymarket is only 15%.Regarding the low point of the year, Peter Brandt indicated that the $60,000 level on February 6 may not be the lowest of the year, predicting that it might retest that level or even "slightly lower" in September or October this year, at which point it will be the low point of the bear market cycle, initiating a new bull market. He also stated that his long-term logic regarding Bitcoin remains unchanged: "The story of Bitcoin is wealth storage; whether practicality can be built on Bitcoin may affect its price," and he mentioned that he holds a neutral or bearish stance on all other cryptocurrencies.Bitcoin analyst Willy Woo stated on March 17 that, from a liquidity perspective, Bitcoin has completed about "one-third of the bear market." SkyBridge managing partner Anthony Scaramucci also mentioned last week that Bitcoin is currently in the bear market phase of a four-year cycle, and pointed out that the established whale group that believes in the four-year cycle may create a self-fulfilling prophecy. In terms of sentiment, the spot Bitcoin ETF ended four weeks of consecutive net inflows, recording a net outflow of $296.18 million last week. The Crypto Fear and Greed Index reported 8 on Monday, remaining in the "extreme fear" range since March 20.

Circle's stock price reaches $90, analysts optimistic about the diversified growth of its stablecoin business

The stablecoin issuer Circle's stock price briefly rose above $90, reaching a new high for the year, before retreating to around $87. This followed the company's fourth-quarter performance, which exceeded market expectations, driving the stock price up approximately 30% after the earnings report was released. Bernstein analysts maintained an "outperform" rating on Circle, setting a target price of $190, believing that the company's performance shows a growth trend that has "clearly distinguished itself from the crypto market."The report noted that Circle's expansion in the infrastructure sector is bringing in new revenue sources with higher profit margins, rather than relying solely on stablecoin reserve earnings. Analysts stated that Circle's transaction-related revenue continues to grow, including blockchain rewards earned as a super validator on the Canton network. Meanwhile, the proportion of USDC directly held on the Circle platform has risen to 17% of the total supply, up from 14% in the previous quarter. The company expects the circulation of USDC to maintain an annual growth rate of about 40% in the future and anticipates that other business revenues, excluding reserve income, will reach approximately $170 million by 2026, up from about $110 million in 2025.Bernstein is also optimistic about Circle's expansion into new product areas, including the Arc platform, Circle Payments Network, and "automated payment" capabilities aimed at AI agents. At the same time, Mizuho analysts pointed out that as stablecoins are increasingly applied in new scenarios such as prediction markets, like the Polymarket platform, Circle's revenue structure is expected to further diversify. Overall, market attention is gradually shifting to whether Circle can establish a more balanced revenue structure during the expansion of the stablecoin ecosystem.

Consensys founder: Remains optimistic about the long-term development of the crypto space, ETH has stronger functional demand compared to BTC

According to Crowdfund Insider, Joseph Lubin, founder and CEO of Consensys and co-founder of Ethereum, recently shared his views on the current state and future trajectory of the cryptocurrency market during an interview in Hong Kong. Lubin expressed a cautiously optimistic outlook. He emphasized that the digital asset economy is continuously evolving, driven by functional utility rather than pure speculative forces.When discussing Bitcoin, Lubin believes it should not be viewed as a traditional safe-haven asset at this stage. He described the broader crypto landscape as still resembling a "startup ecosystem," suggesting that positioning Bitcoin as a secure store of value amidst current developmental challenges may be premature. In contrast, he highlighted that Ethereum's native cryptocurrency, ETH, has a stronger functional demand.Lubin believes that the practicality of ETH in driving decentralized applications, smart contracts, and broader ecosystem activities gives it an advantage in real-world adoption compared to Bitcoin's main narrative. He emphasized Ethereum's enduring importance in the evolving financial infrastructure.He pointed out that institutional participation is deepening, with major banks, trading platforms, and financial networks increasingly building on Ethereum-based technologies and layer two scaling solutions. He stated that this momentum at the institutional level indicates that even amid market fluctuations, Ethereum is transitioning towards becoming the next-generation financial foundation.Overall, Lubin's remarks reflect confidence in Ethereum's long-term potential under short-term market pressures. He portrayed the ecosystem as resilient and innovative, with tools like Ethereum and MetaMask poised to drive meaningful progress in the digital economy.
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