believe

AI startup Tavus released a new model called Griffin on October 1, referring to it as the first "human interaction model" that can understand and generate face-to-face conversations, paying attention not only to wording but also to expressions and pauses. Tavus stated that in tests, after a one-minute video call with Griffin-Lite, 26 out of 54 participants (48%) believed the other party was a real person; its previous generation system only convinced 1 out of 41 participants.Participants were told they would have a one-minute video call with another person to discuss things they were looking forward to this year, and only at the end of the call were they asked if they suspected the other party was not a real person. Tavus noted that those who became suspicious typically noticed within 20 seconds. This result comes from Tavus's own research page, where participants were recruited through a channel they call an independent research platform. Community comments on X pointed out that these results have not been independently verified and do not meet standard protocols.In the NVIDIA VideoFDB benchmark, Tavus claimed Griffin-Lite ranked first, with a generation dimension score of 3.83, the next best system scoring 2.8, and human reference scoring 3.92; the perception dimension score was 3.73, with the strongest baseline at 3.44 and human reference at 4.2. Tavus stated that NVIDIA independently conducted this evaluation. Griffin supports full duplex, allowing it to listen, see, and speak simultaneously, with an average audio-video delay of 0.43 seconds on the NVIDIA H100 chip. Tavus completed a $40 million Series B funding round led by CRV in November 2025.

Writer and author of "The Price of Tomorrow," Jeff Booth, stated in a video interview with Bitcoin Magazine that the price target of $1 million for Bitcoin is "thinking too small." He believes that pricing Bitcoin in a constantly depreciating fiat currency is equivalent to valuing it within a system manipulated by currency devaluation, making such a target invalid. In his view, Bitcoin is not just a token or an asset, but the beginning of a decentralized, secure, and privacy-focused protocol stack, which will ultimately resemble the internet, and it is also the first true free market in human history.In the interview, Booth also discussed AI valuation and technological deflation. He believes that a free market will drive the prices of AI services toward zero, and this deflationary force brought by AI will conflict with a monetary system built on debt. He mentioned the United States' debt of up to $40 trillion, bond yields, and a financial system that is approximately $350 trillion in size and essentially insolvent, linking AI singularity theory, market fear, and monopolistic regulation.In the longer-term section, Booth talked about the adoption timeline of Bitcoin and emphasized that Bitcoin is not just an asset. He also discussed the global expansion of Bitcoin payments and the circular economy, as well as ideas such as private equity supported by Bitcoin and permanently held enterprises, outlining a deflationary future priced in Bitcoin.

The whale "First set 10 big goals" posted on social media, stating, "I mentioned at the beginning of the month that if BTC stabilizes at 80,000 USD, it will aim for 100,000 USD, the last opportunity to board."

The White House spokesperson stated that the Federal Reserve's interest rate hike is "quite regrettable." Higher rates will not change oil prices.U.S. President Trump still believes in the independence of the Federal Reserve.

White House economic advisor Hassett stated, "Both Trump and I believe there is no reason to raise interest rates, and it is important for the Federal Reserve to maintain the status quo before the election. Trump fully respects Waller's independence."

Cryptocurrency KOL XXAntiWar posted on platform X again after nearly a year, stating: "Believe that the bull will come, and the bull will come; believe that you will get rich, and money will come into your pocket."Subsequently, XXAntiWar wrote "Come Wealth" continuously and added the text "With gratitude, I receive. Money loves me and I believe."

According to market news, Binance founder Zhao Changpeng recently attended the Bitcoin Asia Conference 2026 in Hong Kong, and in an exclusive interview, he discussed his autobiography "Binance Life," his experiences in prison, and Binance's $4.3 billion fine.He revealed that most of the initial draft of the autobiography was completed while he was in prison, constrained by the conditions of using a computer for only 15 minutes at a time and being unable to copy and paste, so he could only write during fragmented moments.

The latest survey by the National Institute on Retirement Security (NIRS) shows that 77% of Americans believe that cryptocurrencies in workplace retirement plans are risky, with 46% considering the risk to be extremely high, and 53% opposing employers offering cryptocurrencies as an investment option. The survey was conducted by Greenwald Research from October 24 to November 14, 2025, with a sample of 1,203 Americans aged 25 and older.The survey also revealed that 80% of respondents believe the U.S. is facing a retirement crisis, up from 67% in 2020; 61% expressed concern about achieving financial security in retirement, 68% believe it is becoming more difficult to prepare for retirement, and 77% stated that debt hinders adequate savings. Meanwhile, the Trump administration and federal regulators are pushing to expand access to alternative assets in retirement accounts.In May 2025, the U.S. Department of Labor rescinded previous guidance urging 401(k) fiduciaries to exercise "extreme caution" regarding cryptocurrency investments. Trump signed an executive order on August 7, 2025, directing the Department of Labor and the SEC to consider easing regulations. In March 2026, the Department of Labor proposed a draft rule allowing 401(k) plans to include alternative assets, but faced opposition from Senators Bernie Sanders, Elizabeth Warren, and others.

The signals sent by the bond market to Treasury Secretary Basant in recent days indicate that one cannot simply sweep the $40 trillion U.S. national debt under the rug and pretend nothing is wrong. Basant announced plans to increase the scale of long-term Treasury buybacks this fall, promising to utilize the Treasury's vast "toolbox" to support the market, and mentioned upcoming measures to curb the ever-expanding U.S. debt burden.John Arnold, former Enron energy trader, billionaire, and founder of the Arnold Ventures charity, stated that the turmoil in the bond market this summer may ultimately just be "another quickly settled episode," but the greater concern is that the lack of change in the U.S. fiscal situation will persist until it ultimately triggers a crisis.Tracy Chen, global portfolio manager at Brandywine Global, expressed that she feels very anxious because Basant has failed to rein in long-term Treasury yields. The performance of the bond market indicates that bond vigilantes still do not trust him. Basant needs to do more to convince investors that the Trump administration is taking U.S. fiscal issues seriously, but discussing tax increases or austerity measures to boost revenue before the midterm elections in November will be unpopular.

Duan Yongping responded on Xueqiu regarding the recent changes in his holdings of Pop Mart, stating that he has "never directly sold a single share of Pop Mart." The changes in his holdings mainly come from options trading and expiration exercises, and do not indicate a long-term bearish view on Pop Mart.Duan Yongping mentioned that when the position of selling puts approaches the limit, he will adopt the strategy of "buying stocks + selling calls." After expiration, if the stocks are called away, it is essentially a similar trading strategy to selling puts that are exercised at expiration. Currently, the options premium for Pop Mart is about 5% per month, and this strategy may continue to be used for a longer period in the future.Regarding the valuation of Pop Mart, Duan Yongping stated, "Currently, I believe the price of Pop Mart is not expensive in the long term, but I don't know about the short term." He emphasized that there is no specific time or price set for selling Pop Mart, and it may be a long time before that happens.

According to Forbes' real-time billionaire rankings, Justin Sun surpassed Wang Jianlin with an asset worth $8.5 billion compared to Wang's $4.4 billion.In response, Justin Sun stated, "There are no waves, only awakenings. Wang Jianlin was once the god of versions, just as I was an unbelievable young person. The cruelest part of version updates is that those at the peak are always the last to notice.So if today a young person tells me something I don't understand, or even something I want to mock, I find it hard to have the same confidence as Wang Sicong. I would serve him a cup of tea and listen to him talk about his world. Because arrogance is always the first asset to be liquidated. We can never predict the future, but believing in young people is always right."In 2019, after Justin Sun purchased a charity lunch with Buffett for about 31.54 million yuan, Wang Sicong shared related articles on his social media with a mocking caption.

According to Jinshi reports, Federal Reserve official Daly stated that he does not believe the labor market will bring significant inflationary pressure.

According to a report by Reuters, informed sources revealed that the PayPal board believes the $53 billion acquisition offer from competitor Stripe and Advent International undervalues the company and faces regulatory and financing hurdles. The sources stated that PayPal has not formally responded yet, and the board is evaluating the trade-offs between the offer and the management's strategy to turn around the company, initially considering that the offer of $60.5 per share, while a premium over recent stock prices, does not fully reflect the company's future potential.The acquirers have secured approximately $50 billion in financing commitments from JPMorgan and Morgan Stanley, along with $17 billion in equity raised by Stripe and Advent, to support the $53 billion acquisition offer. If antitrust regulations are violated, the acquirers have considered remedies such as divesting the Braintree business to Advent. Block was initially involved but withdrew before the latest offer submission. Investors will be paying attention to PayPal's earnings report on July 28.

On the 8th, U.S. President Trump said at the NATO summit that he believes the U.S.-Iran memorandum of understanding "has ended."

According to Bitcoin.com, the Central Bank of Brazil stated at a congressional hearing that stablecoins have the attributes of payment tools and should be classified as electronic money instruments rather than general digital assets, thus falling under a stricter regulatory framework.The Brazilian Association of Crypto Economy opposed this, arguing that such classification could lead to regulatory conflicts, hinder the application of stablecoins in institutional and retail markets, and divert Brazil from international regulatory trends. Meanwhile, the Central Bank of Brazil has recently increased regulatory requirements for virtual asset service providers, which may put pressure on the operations of small and medium-sized crypto institutions.